Game Summary

The Pittsburgh Pirates (64-73) are set to take on the Chicago Cubs (71-67) in the second game of a three-game series at Wrigley Field. The Pirates lead the series 1-0 after their recent victory. As the teams prepare to meet for the 12th time this season, the Cubs hold a slight edge with a 6-5 advantage in the 2024 season series.

In their last 10 games, the Pirates have struggled, posting a 4-6 record with a .260 batting average and a 7.16 ERA. Conversely, the Cubs have been on a roll, going 8-2 with a .310 batting average and outscoring their opponents by 42 runs. The Cubs thrive in games where they achieve at least eight hits, with a record of 54-21 in such scenarios.

For the Cubs, Seiya Suzuki leads the team with a .275 batting average and 19 home runs, while Ian Happ has been hot lately, going 17-for-44 with a home run and 10 RBIs over the last 10 games. On the Pirates' side, Bryan Reynolds leads with a .282 batting average and 22 home runs, while Oneil Cruz is also showing promise with a recent 15-for-41 stretch, contributing five RBIs.

The game will feature Paul Skenes (8-2, 2.23 ERA) for the Pirates, who has been a dominant force on the mound, facing off against Kyle Hendricks (3-10, 6.75 ERA) of the Cubs. With both teams looking to gain momentum, this matchup will be crucial for their playoff aspirations.

Player Prop Odds

For Oneil Cruz's player prop odds:

• Stolen Bases: 0.5 (Over Odds: +290)

Player Analysis

Oneil Cruz has been an impactful player for the Pirates this season. With a batting average of .275 and 22 home runs, he has demonstrated power at the plate. His recent form has been encouraging as he has been getting on base consistently and contributing to the team's offense.

In terms of speed, Cruz's ability to steal bases adds another dimension to his game. His potential for stealing bases is highlighted by the odds for his prop, set at 0.5. With the Cubs' catcher struggling with throwing out baserunners, Cruz may be in an excellent position to capitalize on this opportunity.

Opposing Analysis

The Cubs' pitching staff has shown vulnerability in allowing stolen bases, particularly with Kyle Hendricks on the mound. His slower delivery gives base stealers like Cruz a chance to take advantage. The Cubs' game plan may also focus on minimizing damage from Cruz and other key players, adding pressure on their pitchers.

Analyzing the Cubs' hitters, they have been productive against left-handed pitchers, which could give Cruz more chances to steal bases if he gets on base. With a solid lineup supporting him, Cruz may find himself in advantageous situations throughout the game.

Prop Analysis

Considering the odds for Cruz's stolen bases prop, set at 0.5, the +290 odds for the over suggest that the sportsbooks see value in Cruz potentially stealing at least one base. Given his speed and the Cubs' catching situation, this prop is enticing for bettors looking to capitalize on Cruz's skills.

Furthermore, Cruz's recent performance indicates he is capable of making impactful plays on the bases. If he reaches base, the chances of him attempting a steal increase significantly, especially against a slower pitcher like Hendricks.

Starting Pitching Summary - Pirates

Paul Skenes has been a significant asset for the Pirates this season, boasting an impressive 2.23 ERA and 136 strikeouts over 109 innings pitched. His ability to keep hitters off balance has been crucial in the Pirates' success. Skenes' command and effectiveness can set the tone for the game, allowing the Pirates to play aggressively on the bases.

Starting Pitching Summary - Cubs

Kyle Hendricks has struggled this season with a 6.75 ERA and a WHIP of 1.53. His inconsistency on the mound could open the door for aggressive base running by the Pirates. If he has trouble early in the game, it could lead to more opportunities for Cruz and other Pirates to take advantage of the situation.

Bullpen Summary - Pirates

The Pirates' bullpen has shown resilience this season, with a collective ERA of 3.80. Their depth allows them to manage games well, especially if Skenes delivers a strong outing. Should the Pirates maintain a lead, they can rely on their bullpen to close out the game effectively.

Bullpen Summary - Cubs

The Cubs' bullpen has faced challenges this season, with a 4.13 ERA. If Hendricks struggles early, the Cubs may need to rely heavily on their bullpen, which could create additional opportunities for Cruz and the Pirates to capitalize on any weaknesses.

Team Previews

The Pirates have a batting average of .240, ranking 19th in the league. They have accumulated 629 runs this season, showing potential in their offensive capabilities. Their pitching staff has been solid, with a 3.80 ERA, placing them 7th in the league.

The Cubs, on the other hand, have a batting average of .236, ranking 23rd overall. They have scored 577 runs, indicating struggles in offensive consistency. Their pitching staff has a 4.13 ERA, which can be a liability in close games.

Team Injuries

Recent Games