Carson Kelly MLB Props - Tigers vs Guardians 7/23

- Mr Wager
- Jul 23, 2024, 7:19:26 AM
Carson Kelly's MLB Props - Tigers vs Guardians 7/23
Game Summary
The Detroit Tigers (50-51), sitting fourth in the AL Central, will be facing off against the Cleveland Guardians (59-40), who currently top the division, on Tuesday, July 23, 2024, at Progressive Field in Cleveland. The game is scheduled to start at 6:40 p.m. EDT. The Tigers have had a slight edge over the Guardians this season, winning 5 out of their 8 encounters.
Both teams come into this game with contrasting recent performances. The Guardians have struggled lately, losing their last three games and going 3-7 in their last 10, with a batting average of just .211. On the other hand, the Tigers have been in better form, winning 7 of their last 10 games with a batting average of .277.
This game is particularly important for Cleveland, who will be looking to stop their losing streak and maintain their lead in the division. Detroit, meanwhile, will be aiming to continue their recent good form and climb up the standings.
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Player Prop Odds
Carson Kelly's prop odds for the game include:
Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+360.0), Under 0.5 (-600.0)
Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+160.0), Under 0.5 (-225.0)
Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+135.0), Under 0.5 (-185.0)
Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+115.0), Under 0.5 (-155.0)
Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+135.0), Under 1.5 (-185.0)
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Player Analysis
Carson Kelly has been a consistent performer for the Tigers this season. With a batting average of .268, Kelly has contributed significantly to the Tigers' offense. His ability to get on base and drive in runs makes him a key player for Detroit. Over the past 10 games, Kelly has shown promising form, making him a valuable pick for prop bets.
Opposing Analysis
The Guardians will have Xzavion Curry on the mound. Curry has had a tough season so far, with a 0-2 record and a 5.19 ERA. He has struggled with consistency, allowing 19 hits and 4 home runs in 17.1 innings pitched. The Tigers' lineup, which has been in good form recently, will look to exploit Curry's vulnerabilities.
Pitching Probables
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| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Undecided (DET) | -- | -- | -- |
| Xzavion Curry (CLE) | 0-2 | 5.19 | 12 |
Team Previews
Detroit Tigers
The Tigers have a .242 team batting average, ranking 16th in the league. Their 464 runs scored rank 12th, while their 105 home runs rank 9th in the AL. Detroit's bullpen has been solid, with 34 saves, the second-most in the league. The team has shown resilience on the road with a 26-27 record and will look to leverage their recent form to make a mark in this game.
Cleveland Guardians
The Guardians have a .234 team batting average, ranking 23rd in the league, and have scored 437 runs, ranking 16th. Their bullpen has struggled, with only 22 saves, ranking 23rd. Despite their recent struggles, Cleveland's home record of 31-14 highlights their capability to perform well at Progressive Field. However, their recent form and injuries have been a concern.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kerry Carpenter | OF | Spine | 60-Day IL |
| Reese Olson | SP | Shoulder | 15-Day IL |
| Parker Meadows | OF | Hamstring | 10-Day IL |
| Casey Mize | SP | Hamstring | 15-Day IL |
| Sawyer Gipson-Long | RP | Groin | 60-Day IL |
| Player | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Hentges | RP | Undisclosed | 15-Day IL |
| Matthew Boyd | SP | Elbow | 15-Day IL |
| Shane Bieber | SP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| Trevor Stephan | RP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| James Karinchak | RP | Shoulder | 60-Day IL |
Recent Games
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Detroit Tigers
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Toronto | W 5-4 | W |
| @ Toronto | W 7-3 | W |
| @ Toronto | L 5-4 | L |
| @ Cleveland | W 8-2 | W |
| @ Cleveland | Upcoming | -- |
Cleveland Guardians
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs San Diego | W 7-0 | W |
| vs San Diego | L 7-0 | L |
| vs San Diego | L 2-1 | L |
| vs Detroit | L 8-2 | L |
| vs Detroit | Upcoming | -- |
Prediction
Given Carson Kelly's recent form and the struggles of Xzavion Curry, betting on Kelly’s props seems like a good option. Considering Curry’s high ERA and tendency to allow hits, Kelly stands a good chance to make an impact.
Pick: Over 1.5 Total Bases (+135)
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