Carson Kelly's MLB Props - Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians 7/23

Game Summary

The Detroit Tigers will face off against the Cleveland Guardians on Tuesday, July 23, 2024, at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio. The game is scheduled to begin at 6:40 PM EDT. The Guardians, who are currently first in the AL Central with a 59-40 record, will be looking to snap a three-game losing streak. They have been strong at home this season, boasting a 31-14 record at Progressive Field. However, they've struggled in games where they have given up home runs, losing 13 out of 39 such games.

The Tigers, with a 50-51 record and positioned fourth in the AL Central, are also fighting to improve their standings. They have a 26-27 record on the road and have been impressive with the long ball, hitting 105 home runs to rank ninth in the AL. The Tigers lead the season series against the Guardians 5-3, adding a layer of confidence as they head into this matchup.

For player performances, the Guardians' José Ramírez has been a standout, hitting 23 home runs along with 21 doubles. On the Tigers' side, Riley Greene leads with 17 home runs and a slugging percentage of .493. Additionally, Matt Vierling has been in fine form, hitting .326 over the last 10 games. The Guardians have been outscored by 18 runs over their last 10 games, whereas the Tigers have outscored their opponents by 21 runs in the same period.

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Player Prop Odds

For Carson Kelly, the available player prop odds are as follows:

• Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+360), Under 0.5 (-600)
• Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+160), Under 0.5 (-225)
• Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+135), Under 0.5 (-185)
• Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+115), Under 0.5 (-155)
• Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+135), Under 1.5 (-185)

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Player Analysis

Carson Kelly has been a critical player for the Detroit Tigers this season. As a reliable catcher, Kelly has shown his ability to contribute both defensively and offensively. Although his batting average currently stands at .234, his performance in the last few games has shown signs of improvement. Kelly has also contributed 8 home runs and 30 RBIs this season, making him a versatile option at the plate.

His recent form has been encouraging, with a .278 batting average over the past 10 games. Kelly has also managed to get on base frequently, with an on-base percentage of .340 during this period. Given his recent performances and the Tigers' current form, Kelly is expected to play a significant role in this game.

Opposing Analysis

Kelly will face off against Xzavion Curry, who has had a challenging season so far. Curry has a 0-2 record with a 5.19 ERA and 1.27 WHIP. Despite his struggles, Curry has managed to strike out 12 batters in 17.1 innings pitched. However, his propensity to give up home runs (4 HRs allowed this season) could be an area Kelly looks to exploit.

The Guardians have not been stellar in their recent outings, particularly in pitching. Over their last 10 games, the Guardians' pitching staff has an ERA of 4.03 and has been outscored by 18 runs. This could provide Kelly with opportunities to boost his stats, especially given Curry's struggles with consistency.

Pitching Probables

Player	W-L	ERA	Strikeouts
Undecided	--	--	--
Xzavion Curry (CLE)	0-2	5.19	12

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Team Previews

Detroit Tigers

The Tigers have been relatively strong in hitting this season. They rank 22nd in hits (791) and 12th in runs scored (464) while maintaining a batting average of .242, which places them 16th in the league. The bullpen has also been effective, with 34 saves (2nd in MLB).

Defensively, the Tigers have committed 53 errors, tying them for 14th in the league. The starting rotation and relief pitchers have managed an ERA of 3.69, ranking them 6th overall. This balance between offense and defense has kept them competitive throughout the season.

Cleveland Guardians

The Guardians have struggled more on the offensive side, ranking 18th in hits (797) and 16th in runs scored (437) with an average of .234 (23rd in MLB). Their bullpen has 22 saves, ranking them 23rd. Defensively, they have committed 59 errors, which ties them for 6th in the league.

The starting pitchers have an ERA of 3.93, placing them 14th overall. Despite their struggles, the Guardians' ability to perform in key moments has kept them atop the AL Central.

Team Injuries

Player	Position	Injury	Injury Status
Kerry Carpenter	OF	Spine	60-Day IL
Reese Olson	SP	Shoulder	15-Day IL
Parker Meadows	OF	Hamstring	10-Day IL
Casey Mize	SP	Hamstring	15-Day IL
Sawyer Gipson-Long	RP	Groin	60-Day IL

Player	Position	Injury	Injury Status
Sam Hentges	RP	Undisclosed	15-Day IL
Matthew Boyd	SP	Elbow	15-Day IL
Shane Bieber	SP	Elbow	60-Day IL
Trevor Stephan	RP	Elbow	60-Day IL
James Karinchak	RP	Shoulder	60-Day IL

Recent Games

Detroit Tigers

Opponent	Score	W/L
@ Toronto	W 5-4	W
@ Toronto	W 7-3	W
@ Toronto	L 5-4	L
@ Cleveland	W 8-2	W

Cleveland Guardians

Opponent	Score	W/L
vs San Diego	W 7-0	W
vs San Diego	L 7-0	L
vs San Diego	L 2-1	L
vs Detroit	L 8-2	L

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Prediction

Given Carson Kelly's recent form and the current struggles of Xzavion Curry, the prediction is that Kelly will score at least one run in this game. The Tigers have been in good form, and Kelly's ability to get on base provides him with a good opportunity to score. With the Guardians' pitching staff struggling, this prop bet offers good value.

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