Carlos Santana's MLB Props - Phillies vs Twins 7/23

Game Summary

The Philadelphia Phillies (63-37, first in the NL East) face off against the Minnesota Twins (55-44, second in the AL Central) on July 23, 2025, at Target Field in Minneapolis. The game is set to start at 7:40 p.m. EDT. This matchup marks the second time these teams have squared off this season, with the Twins currently leading the series 1-0.

The Twins have been solid at home with a 28-20 record and boast the 10th-ranked team ERA in the American League at 4.13. On the other hand, the Phillies have been strong on the road with a 26-21 record and have the fourth-best team on-base percentage in the majors at .329.

Recent performances from both teams have been a mixed bag. The Twins are 5-5 in their last 10 games with a .247 batting average and a 3.62 ERA, though they have been outscored by three runs during this period. Similarly, the Phillies are also 5-5 in their last 10 games, achieving a .252 batting average but a higher ERA of 5.48. They have been outscored by two runs in these games.

Top performers include Carlos Santana for the Twins, who leads the team with 14 home runs while slugging .433. Meanwhile, for the Phillies, Alec Bohm has been a key player with 33 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs, and 71 RBIs, while hitting .296. Trea Turner has also been in excellent form, going 14-for-39 with five home runs in the last 10 games.

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Player Prop Odds

For Carlos Santana, the following player prop odds are available:

Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+320)

Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-175)

Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+210)

Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+125)

Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+105)

Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+155)

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Player Analysis

Carlos Santana has been a consistent performer for the Twins this season. Leading the team with 14 home runs and a slugging percentage of .433, Santana has shown his ability to drive the ball deep. In the past 10 games, he has been a significant contributor, going 11-for-38 with four home runs and seven RBIs. His recent form suggests he is in a good rhythm, making him a key player to watch in this matchup.

Opposing Analysis

On the mound for the Phillies is Zack Wheeler, who has been exceptional this season with a 10-4 record, a 2.70 ERA, and a 0.99 WHIP. Wheeler has struck out 126 batters in 116.2 innings while allowing only 81 hits. However, he has given up 11 home runs, showing that he can be vulnerable to power hitters like Santana.

The Phillies' bullpen has also been a point of concern, with a collective ERA of 4.12, which ranks 19th in the league. This could provide additional opportunities for Santana and the Twins' lineup to capitalize if Wheeler is unable to go deep into the game.

Pitching Probables

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Pitcher	W-L	ERA	WHIP	Strikeouts
Zack Wheeler (PHI)	10-4	2.70	0.99	126
Simeon Woods Richardson (MIN)	3-1	3.51	1.15	71

Team Previews

Philadelphia Phillies

The Phillies have been strong offensively, ranking 6th in the league with 484 runs and 9th with 855 hits. Their team batting average stands at .254, ranking 7th. However, their pitching has been a bit of a mixed bag with a team ERA of 4.12, placing them 19th in the league. The bullpen has recorded 30 saves, ranking 7th, but the team has committed 47 errors, ranking 24th.

Minnesota Twins

The Twins have been one of the stronger teams in the league this season. They rank 3rd in hits with 878 and are tied for 4th in runs scored with 493. Their team batting average is .258, also ranking 3rd. On the pitching side, the Twins have a team ERA of 3.48, which is 3rd best in the league. They have recorded 26 saves, ranking 12th, and have committed 57 errors, placing them 10th in fielding.

Team Injuries

Philadelphia Phillies

Player	Position	Injury	Status
Brandon Marsh	LF	Elbow	Probable for Jul 23
Michael Rucker	RP	Hand	Expected to be out until at least Jul 23

Minnesota Twins

Player	Position	Injury	Status
Carlos Correa	SS	Heel	Expected to be out until at least Aug 5
Kyle Farmer	2B	Shoulder	Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
Chris Paddack	SP	Forearm	Expected to be out until at least Aug 6
Royce Lewis	3B	Groin	Expected to be out until at least Jul 26

Recent Games

Philadelphia Phillies

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Date	Opponent	Score	W/L
Fri, Jul 19	@ Pittsburgh	7-8	L
Sat, Jul 20	@ Pittsburgh	1-4	L
Sun, Jul 21	@ Pittsburgh	6-0	W
Mon, Jul 22	@ Minnesota	2-7	L

Minnesota Twins

Date	Opponent	Score	W/L
Sat, Jul 20	vs Milwaukee	4-8	L
Sun, Jul 21	vs Milwaukee	7-8	L
Mon, Jul 22	vs Philadelphia	7-2	W

Prediction

Pick: Carlos Santana Over 0.5 Hits (-175)

Carlos Santana has been in good form recently and is facing a pitcher who, despite his strong stats, has given up 11 home runs this season. Santana's ability to get on base and his current hitting streak makes the over 0.5 hits prop a strong pick.

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