Cardinals vs Pirates Prediction MLB Picks Today 6/11

Cardinals vs Pirates Prediction MLB Picks Today 6/11

© Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports

MLB Preview and Prediction: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals

The Pittsburgh Pirates visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals in a National League Central showdown. Both teams are closely matched in the standings, making this a pivotal game for both sides.

 

Game Overview:

  • Date: June 11, 2024
  • Time: 4:45 PM
  • Location: Busch Stadium, St. Louis, Missouri
  • Weather: 77°F, Clear

Team Breakdown:

Pittsburgh Pirates:

The Pirates enter this game with a 31-34 record and a 15-17 record on the road. Paul Skenes will start for the Pirates, with a 3-0 record, 3.00 ERA, and 1.00 WHIP over 27 innings. Skenes' impressive strikeout ability will be key for the Pirates.

Offensively, the Pirates are led by Oneil Cruz, who has 9 home runs and a .247 batting average. Bryan Reynolds provides additional power and run production with 8 home runs and 35 RBIs.

Key Players:

  • Home Runs: Oneil Cruz (9 HR)
  • Batting Average: Connor Joe (.263 AVG)
  • Runs Batted In: Bryan Reynolds (35 RBI)

The Pirates will rely on their pitching and timely hitting to secure a win.

St. Louis Cardinals:

The Cardinals have a 31-33 record and a 15-14 record at home. Miles Mikolas will be on the mound for St. Louis, with a 4-6 record, 5.32 ERA, and 1.28 WHIP over 71 innings. Mikolas will need to find his form to contain the Pirates' hitters.

Offensively, the Cardinals are led by Nolan Gorman, who has 14 home runs and a .223 batting average. Masyn Winn has been consistent with a .306 batting average and a .355 OBP.

Key Players:

  • Home Runs: Nolan Gorman (14 HR)
  • Batting Average: Masyn Winn (.306 AVG)
  • Runs Batted In: Nolan Gorman (32 RBI)

The Cardinals will need strong performances from both their pitchers and hitters to edge out the Pirates.

Game Odds:

Team Moneyline Total Run Line
PIT (31-34) -125 o7.5 (-105) -1.5 (+135)
STL (31-33) +105 u7.5 (-115) +1.5 (-160)

 

Prediction:

The prediction for this game is for the total runs to go under 7.5. Here’s why:

Paul Skenes has been very effective on the mound, with a 3.00 ERA and 1.00 WHIP, indicating his ability to limit opposing offenses. His high strikeout rate (38 Ks in 27 innings) suggests he can keep the Cardinals' hitters in check.

While Miles Mikolas has struggled with a 5.32 ERA, he has the potential to pitch better than his stats suggest, especially in a home game where he might find his rhythm.

Both teams have shown offensive inconsistencies, which could lead to a lower-scoring game. The Pirates and Cardinals both have batting averages in the lower .230s and on-base percentages just above .300, indicating they might struggle to generate significant runs against solid pitching.

Given the pitching matchup and the offensive trends of both teams, a lower-scoring game seems likely.

Pick: Under 7.5 Runs

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