Cardinals vs Pirates Over/Under Prediction 7/2

Cardinals vs Pirates Over/Under Prediction 7/2

Game Summary


The St. Louis Cardinals will take on the Pittsburgh Pirates on July 2, 2024, at 6:41 PM at Busch Stadium. The Cardinals are in a battle for the NL Central, while the Pirates are rebuilding and looking to their young talent for the future. St. Louis has been steady, relying on their balanced lineup and strong pitching staff. The Pirates, although struggling, have shown promise with their young core and are looking to play spoiler.

Odds and Betting Lines

 

Market Odds
Over 8.5 +100
Under 8.5 -122

 

Pitching Probables

 

Pitcher W-L ERA Strikeouts
Jack Flaherty (STL) 9-3 2.85 120
Roansy Contreras (PIT) 3-7 4.12 95

 

Team Previews

 

St. Louis Cardinals

Hitting: The Cardinals have a balanced lineup, led by Paul Goldschmidt and Nolan Arenado, capable of scoring in bunches.

Relief Pitching: The bullpen has been reliable, with key contributions from Giovanny Gallegos and Genesis Cabrera.

Fielding: St. Louis has one of the best defenses in the league, particularly in the infield.

Starting Pitchers: Flaherty is an ace, consistently delivering quality starts.

Pittsburgh Pirates

Hitting: The young lineup, featuring players like Ke’Bryan Hayes, has shown flashes but lacks consistency.

Relief Pitching: The bullpen has struggled, often giving up leads late in games.

Fielding: The Pirates have had issues with errors, costing them crucial runs.

Starting Pitchers: Contreras has potential but has been inconsistent.

Projected Starting Lineups

 

# St. Louis Cardinals Pittsburgh Pirates
1 Tommy Edman Ke’Bryan Hayes
2 Paul Goldschmidt Bryan Reynolds
3 Nolan Arenado Jack Suwinski
4 Tyler O'Neill Andrew McCutchen
5 Willson Contreras Ji Hwan Bae
6 Dylan Carlson Carlos Santana
7 Brendan Donovan Rodolfo Castro
8 Lars Nootbaar Henry Davis
9 Paul DeJong Nick Gonzales

 

Betting Trends

 

  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 7 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games.

 

Recent Games

 

Team Opponent Score W/L
Cardinals Brewers 5-4 W
Cardinals Cubs 3-2 W
Cardinals Cubs 2-6 L
Pirates Reds 4-7 L
Pirates Diamondbacks 1-4 L

 

Team Rankings

 

Team Hitting Starting Pitching Relief Pitching Fielding
Cardinals 8th 10th 12th 3rd
Pirates 25th 26th 28th 23rd

 

Significant Betting Stats

 

  • St. Louis is 5-2 SU in their last 7 home games.
  • Pittsburgh is 1-6 SU in their last 7 road games.
  • Jack Flaherty has a 2.20 ERA at home this season.
  • Roansy Contreras has a 4.75 ERA in night games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the last 7 meetings between these teams.
  • St. Louis's bullpen has a 3.60 ERA in the last 10 games.
  • Pittsburgh has scored 3.5 runs per game over their last 5 games.
  • St. Louis averages 4.9 runs per game at home.
  • Pittsburgh is 1-5 in Contreras's last 6 starts.
  • St. Louis is 6-1 in Flaherty's last 7 starts.

 

Prediction

 

With Flaherty on the mound for the Cardinals and Contreras having shown flashes of potential, this game is likely to be a low-scoring affair. The trends and team strengths point towards a game that stays under the 8.5 run total.

Pick: Under 8.5 runs
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