Cardinals vs Mets Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 13 (9/13): MLB

Cardinals vs Mets Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 13 (9/13): MLB

Credit: photo by Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports

 
Odds
Time 7:10 p.m. EST
Cardinals money line -115
Cardinals run line -1.5 (+150)
Mets money line -105
Mets run line +1.5 (-175)
Over / under 8 (+100)

 

Key stats
  Cardinals Mets
Record 73-69 72-72
Road / home record 34-36 43-28
Last 10 record 5-5 5-5
Streak 2W 1W
Over / under record 63-71-8 63-74-7
Runs / game 4.11 3.98
Runs allowed / game 4.25 4.00

 

Preview

Tonight we have the Cardinals traveling to New York to take on the Mets.  The Cards enter this game 1 game back for the second NL wilcard spot behind the Padres and Reds.  They've gone 4-1 in their last 5 games, picking up 2 wins against the Reds in their 3 game series over the weekend.  They'll look to finish out the month strong if they want to make the postseason.  The Mets enter this game after taking 2 games from the Yankees over the weeked in their 3 game series.  They enter this one 5 games back in the NL East, and sit 3 games back for the second NL wilcard spot.  From here on out these are big games for these teams as they look to make a push for the postseason.

Pitching matchup

Cardinals

Adam Wainwright (15-7, 2.98 ERA) will take the mound today when they travel to take on the New York Mets.  Wainwright enters this game with a 1.03 WHIP and 4.13 XFIP.  This season he boasts a 21.5% strikeout rate paired with a 5.7% walk rate.  Wainwright has been spectacular for the Cards this year, in his last 7 outtings he has gone 6-1, throwing 51.2 innings, striking out 39 hitters, while only allowing 9 total earned runs. He carried some very good numbers in that sample to a tune of a 0.81 WHIP and 1.57 ERA.  Wainwright has limted premium conact and power this year against opposing hitters and he's had great success doing it.  He comes into this one off 8.1 innings, 4k's and a 4 earned run game against the Dodgers. He will look to continue his impressive season and pick up his 16th win of the year.

Mets

Rich Hill (0-2, 3.71 ERA) will be on the mound for the Mets when they take on the visiting Cardinals.  Hill enters this game with a 1.17 WHIP and 4.88 XFIP.  This season he carries a 22.1% strikeout rate paired with a 7.7% walk rate.  Hill has been able to put the mets in a position to win almost everytime he toes the rubber.  He is succeptible to the long ball though, so he will have to keep these power bats in check tonight. He will be taking on a projected Cardinals offense that boasts very good numbers against left handed pitching this year.  The Cards are projected to have all right handed bats in their lineup tonight that combine for a .252 ISO and .365 wOBA and only strikeout at a 20.9% clip against left handed hurlers this year.  Those are very good numbers and Hill will have his work cut out for him in this one tonight.

Prediction

Looking at the numbers I see this as an easy win for the visiting Cards.  Wainwright has been great all year and goes against a Mets team that has struggled to find their footing all season until recently.  The Cards bats profile great against Hill and I expect them to have plenty of chances to score some runs in this one.

PICK: Cardinals -1.5 (+150)

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