MLB Prediction: Chicago Cubs vs St. Louis Cardinals
Introduction
The Chicago Cubs (49-51) are preparing for a clash with the St. Louis Cardinals (46-57) at Busch Stadium. Despite their slightly better overall record, ESPN Analytics predicts a tight game, with the Cubs slightly favored at 52.9%. After analyzing the probable pitchers, batting performance, and recent injuries, we'll provide our best bet for the game.
Chicago Cubs (49-51, 22-25 AWAY)
Pitching Analysis
Justin Steele is the slated starter for the Cubs. Steele boasts a 10-3 record, a commendable 2.95 ERA, and a 1.11 WHIP. In addition, Steele's 96 strikeouts indicate a strong presence on the mound, especially considering his dominance over the Cardinals this season.
Hitting Analysis
Patrick Wisdom is leading the Cubs in home runs with 17, while Nico Hoerner is the team's leader in batting average (.277) and RBIs (55). This combination of power and consistency could pose a threat to the Cardinals' pitching.
Injuries
Unfortunately, the Cubs' injury list includes Brandon Hughes, Nick Madrigal, Brad Boxberger, and Nick Burdi. While these absences could weaken the Cubs' lineup, Steele's formidable pitching has proven to be a significant advantage.
St. Louis Cardinals (46-57, 22-26 HOME)
Pitching Analysis
The Cardinals are expected to start Miles Mikolas. With a 6-5 record, a 4.33 ERA, and a 1.31 WHIP, Mikolas has shown consistency but hasn't dominated. His relatively high ERA and lower strikeout rate (86) compared to Steele could be a disadvantage against the Cubs' hitters.
Hitting Analysis
Nolan Arenado is leading the Cardinals with 22 home runs and 77 RBIs. Meanwhile, Brendan Donovan has been consistent at the plate with a .288 average. Despite these strong performers, the team's overall batting hasn't been enough to overcome their pitching struggles.
Injuries
Ryan Helsley's placement on the 60-day IL could be a notable loss for the Cardinals' bullpen.
Prediction
Given Justin Steele's strong pitching record this season, particularly his success against the Cardinals, and the Cubs' recent winning momentum, a victory for the Cubs seems to be the most plausible outcome. Steele's impressive ERA and WHIP, coupled with the Cubs' robust hitting, make them a formidable opponent against the Cardinals, who have struggled more significantly this season.
While the Cardinals have powerful hitters like Arenado and Donovan, the Cubs' recent form and Steele's proven track record against the Cardinals tilt the scales in favor of Chicago. Expect an intense matchup, but ultimately, Steele's performance should guide the Cubs to victory.
Pick: Cubs ML
