Byron Buxton MLB Props - Phillies vs Twins 7/23
- Mr Wager
- Jul 23, 2024, 7:11:32 AM
Byron Buxton's MLB Props - Phillies vs Twins 7/23
Game Summary
The Philadelphia Phillies, boasting a strong season record of 63-37, will face off against the Minnesota Twins, who are currently 55-44, in the second game of their series on Tuesday, July 23, 2024, at Target Field in Minneapolis. The game is set to start at 7:40 p.m. EDT, and it promises to be an exciting matchup with both teams looking to secure a win.
The Phillies have been dominant this season, leading the NL East, and have a solid on-base percentage of .329, which is the fourth-best in the majors. On the other hand, the Twins, who are second in the AL Central, have a respectable home record of 28-20 and an overall record of 55-44. The Twins' pitching staff has the 10th-ranked team ERA in the AL at 4.13, making them a formidable opponent.
In their recent performances, the Phillies have gone 5-5 in their last 10 games, hitting .252 with a team ERA of 5.48, while the Twins have also gone 5-5, hitting .247 with a team ERA of 3.62. Historically, the Phillies and Twins have had competitive matchups, and this game is expected to be no different.
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Player Prop Odds
Byron Buxton - Minnesota Twins
Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+290)
Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+290)
Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+450)
Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+175)
Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+105)
Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+120)
Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+110)
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Player Analysis: Byron Buxton
Byron Buxton has been a key player for the Minnesota Twins this season. Known for his speed and power, Buxton has the ability to change the game with his bat and his legs. So far, Buxton has hit 14 home runs and driven in 47 RBIs, showcasing his power-hitting capabilities. Additionally, his speed on the bases makes him a constant threat to score runs and steal bases.
In his last 10 games, Buxton has hit .247 with four home runs and seven RBIs. His recent form indicates that he is seeing the ball well and could provide some fireworks against the Phillies' pitching staff. Buxton's ability to hit for extra bases and his knack for driving in runs make him an intriguing option for various prop bets.
Opposing Analysis: Philadelphia Phillies' Pitching
Opposing Buxton and the Twins will be Zack Wheeler, who has been one of the best pitchers in the league this season. Wheeler boasts a 10-4 record with a 2.70 ERA and 126 strikeouts in 116.2 innings pitched. His ability to command the strike zone and limit baserunners, as evidenced by his 0.99 WHIP, makes him a tough opponent for any hitter.
However, Wheeler has shown some vulnerability to the long ball, having given up 11 home runs this season. This could play into Buxton's strengths as a power hitter. Additionally, Wheeler has allowed 35 walks, which could give Buxton opportunities to get on base and make things happen with his speed.
Pitching Probables
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| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zack Wheeler (PHI) | 10-4 | 2.70 | 0.99 | 116.2 | 81 | 126 | 35 | 11 |
| Simeon Woods Richardson (MIN) | 3-1 | 3.51 | 1.15 | 82.0 | 70 | 71 | 24 | 8 |
Team Previews
Philadelphia Phillies
The Phillies have been one of the best teams in the majors this season, with a record of 63-37. They have an impressive lineup that includes Bryce Harper, Alec Bohm, and Trea Turner, all of whom have been producing at a high level. The Phillies rank 7th in batting average (.254) and 6th in runs scored (484), making them a potent offensive team.
On the pitching side, the Phillies have a team ERA of 4.12, which ranks 19th in the majors. Their bullpen has been reliable with 30 saves, ranking 7th in MLB. Defensively, the Phillies have committed 47 errors, ranking 24th, which shows some vulnerability in the field.
Minnesota Twins
The Twins have also had a strong season, with a record of 55-44. Their offense is led by Carlos Santana, who has hit 14 home runs, and Carlos Correa, who has been hot recently with four home runs in his last 10 games. The Twins are hitting .258 as a team, which ranks 3rd in the majors, and have scored 493 runs, tied for 4th.
On the mound, the Twins have a team ERA of 3.48, which is the 3rd best in the majors. Their bullpen has recorded 26 saves, ranking 12th. Defensively, the Twins have committed 57 errors, tied for 10th, showing they are solid in the field.
Team Injuries
Philadelphia Phillies
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Marsh | LF | Probable (Elbow) |
| Michael Rucker | RP | Expected to be out until at least Jul 23 (Hand) |
Minnesota Twins
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Correa | SS | Expected to be out until at least Aug 5 (Heel) |
| Kyle Farmer | 2B | Expected to be out until at least Jul 26 (Shoulder) |
| Chris Paddack | SP | Expected to be out until at least Aug 6 (Forearm) |
| Royce Lewis | 3B | Expected to be out until at least Jul 26 (Groin) |
Recent Games
Philadelphia Phillies
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Pittsburgh | L 8-7 | L |
| @ Pittsburgh | L 4-1 | L |
| @ Pittsburgh | W 6-0 | W |
| @ Minnesota | L 7-2 | L |
Minnesota Twins
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Milwaukee | L 8-4 F/12 | L |
| vs Milwaukee | L 8-7 | L |
| vs Philadelphia | W 7-2 | W |
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Prediction
Given Byron Buxton's recent form and his ability to hit for power and get on base, along with Zack Wheeler's occasional susceptibility to the long ball, one of the best bets in this matchup is for Buxton to hit a home run. The odds for Buxton to hit a home run are +450, making it a high-value bet.
Additionally, considering Buxton's speed and the Phillies' defensive vulnerabilities, betting on Buxton to score a run at +105 is also a strong option.
Pick: Byron Buxton to hit a home run (+450)
Pick: Byron Buxton to score a run (+105)
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