Bryce Harper MLB Props - Phillies vs Twins 7/23

- Lm Tipster
- Jul 23, 2024, 7:07:51 AM
Bryce Harper's MLB Props - Phillies vs Twins 7/23
Game Summary
The Philadelphia Phillies (63-37, first in the NL East) will face the Minnesota Twins (55-44, second in the AL Central) at Target Field in Minneapolis on Tuesday, July 23rd at 7:40 p.m. EDT. The Twins currently lead the series 1-0 after a dominant 7-2 win in the first game. The Twins have been strong at home with a 28-20 record and hold the 10th-ranked team ERA in the AL at 4.13.
The Phillies, who have a 26-21 record on the road, boast the fourth-best team on-base percentage in the majors at .329. This will be the second meeting between these two teams this season. Minnesota's Carlos Santana has been a key performer, leading the team with 14 home runs while slugging .433, and Carlos Correa has been hot with four home runs and seven RBIs over the last 10 games. For the Phillies, Alec Bohm has been impressive with 33 doubles, 11 home runs, and 71 RBIs while hitting .296. Trea Turner has also been in excellent form, going 14-for-39 with five home runs in the past 10 games.
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Player Prop Odds
For Bryce Harper, the prop odds for the game are as follows:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+280)
- Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+220)
- Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+350)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+130)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-145)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-105)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (-110)
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Player Analysis
Bryce Harper is having another stellar season for the Phillies. With a batting average of .297, he leads his team in this category. Harper has hit 23 home runs and driven in 71 runs, showcasing his power and run-producing abilities. Over the course of the season, Harper has maintained a high on-base percentage and continues to be one of the most feared hitters in the league. His recent form has been particularly impressive, hitting consistently and delivering in key moments.
Harper's ability to hit for power and average makes him a constant threat, especially in clutch situations. His disciplined approach at the plate, combined with his ability to adjust to different pitchers, enhances his value as a hitter. In the upcoming game, Harper will look to continue his strong form and contribute significantly to the Phillies' offensive efforts.
Opposing Analysis
The Minnesota Twins will be starting Simeon Woods Richardson, who has a 3-1 record with a 3.51 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP over 82 innings pitched. While Woods Richardson has been effective, he has allowed 8 home runs this season, which could be an area of opportunity for Harper. The Twins' bullpen has also been solid, but they have had moments of inconsistency, which Harper could capitalize on.
Considering Woods Richardson’s tendency to give up the long ball and Harper’s power-hitting capabilities, there is a good chance Harper could go deep in this game. Additionally, the Twins' bullpen has been middle-of-the-road, and if Harper can get to them, he could add to his RBI and total bases tally.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zack Wheeler (PHI) | 10-4 | 2.70 | 0.99 | 126 |
| Simeon Woods Richardson (MIN) | 3-1 | 3.51 | 1.15 | 71 |
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Team Previews
Philadelphia Phillies: The Phillies have been solid overall with a .254 team batting average, ranking 7th in the majors. Their pitching staff has an ERA of 4.12, placing them 19th. Defensively, they have committed 47 errors, ranking 24th. Led by Bryce Harper, Alec Bohm, and Trea Turner, the Phillies' lineup has been productive, and they will look to bounce back after the series-opening loss.
Minnesota Twins: The Twins, hitting .258 as a team, rank 3rd in batting average and have scored the 4th most runs in the league with 493. Their pitching staff has been impressive with a 3.48 ERA, ranking 3rd. Defensively, they have committed 57 errors, ranking 10th. Carlos Santana and Carlos Correa have been key contributors, and they will aim to continue their dominance at home.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Marsh | LF | Probable (Elbow) |
| Michael Rucker | RP | Expected to be out until at least Jul 23 (Hand) |
| Carlos Correa | SS | Expected to be out until at least Aug 5 (Heel) |
| Kyle Farmer | 2B | Expected to be out until at least Jul 26 (Shoulder) |
| Chris Paddack | SP | Expected to be out until at least Aug 6 (Forearm) |
| Royce Lewis | 3B | Expected to be out until at least Jul 26 (Groin) |
Recent Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ Pittsburgh | L 8-7 | L |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Pittsburgh | L 4-1 | L |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Pittsburgh | W 6-0 | W |
| Mon, Jul 22 | @ Minnesota | L 7-2 | L |
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Prediction
Pick: Over 1.5 Total Bases (-110)
Bryce Harper is in excellent form and has a favorable matchup against the Twins' Simeon Woods Richardson, who has allowed 8 home runs this season. Harper's consistent hitting and power make him a strong candidate to exceed 1.5 total bases in this game. Additionally, with odds of -110, this prop provides a good value for bettors.
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