Brewers vs Rockies Over/Under Prediction MLB Picks 7/1
- Lm Tipster
- Jul 1, 2024, 6:01:05 AM
© Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports
Milwaukee Brewers vs Colorado Rockies Over/Under Prediction
Game Summary
The Milwaukee Brewers will take on the Colorado Rockies on July 2, 2024, at 3:41 AM ET. The Brewers are in a tight race for the NL Central, while the Rockies are looking to play spoiler and develop their young talent. This game at Coors Field, known for its high altitude and hitter-friendly environment, could see plenty of offensive fireworks. The Brewers have a solid lineup and reliable pitching, whereas the Rockies rely heavily on their home-field advantage to boost their offensive numbers.
Odds
| Bet | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over 11.5 | -102 |
| Under 11.5 | -120 |
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | Team | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corbin Burnes | MIL | 11-4 | 2.95 | 164 |
| German Marquez | COL | 7-8 | 4.67 | 130 |
Team Previews
Milwaukee Brewers
Hitting: The Brewers have a mix of power and contact hitters, including Christian Yelich and Willy Adames. They are effective at getting on base and can manufacture runs through both long balls and situational hitting.
Relief Pitching: The bullpen is a strength for the Brewers, with Devin Williams as the closer. They have a low collective ERA and are adept at maintaining leads late in games.
Fielding: The Brewers are one of the better defensive teams in the league, with a high fielding percentage and few errors. They excel in turning double plays and have strong outfield arms.
Starting Pitchers: Corbin Burnes leads a talented rotation. The starters have been consistent in providing quality starts and keeping the team competitive in most games.
Colorado Rockies
Hitting: The Rockies thrive offensively at Coors Field. Players like Kris Bryant and Ryan McMahon provide power, and the team benefits from the altitude, which boosts their slugging percentages.
Relief Pitching: The bullpen has been a weak spot, with struggles in closing out games and maintaining leads. They have one of the higher bullpen ERAs in the league.
Fielding: Fielding is solid, with few errors and good defensive metrics. The Rockies are particularly strong at home, where they are accustomed to the unique challenges of their ballpark.
Starting Pitchers: German Marquez is the ace of the staff but has been inconsistent. The rest of the rotation has struggled, particularly in the high-scoring environment of Coors Field.
Projected Starting Lineups
| # | Milwaukee Brewers | Colorado Rockies |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Christian Yelich | Charlie Blackmon |
| 2 | Willy Adames | Ryan McMahon |
| 3 | William Contreras | Kris Bryant |
| 4 | Rowdy Tellez | CJ Cron |
| 5 | Jesse Winker | Brendan Rodgers |
| 6 | Brian Anderson | Yonathan Daza |
| 7 | Garrett Mitchell | Elias Diaz |
| 8 | Owen Miller | Ezequiel Tovar |
| 9 | Victor Caratini | Jurickson Profar |
Betting Trends
- The total has gone over in 6 of Milwaukee's last 8 games.
- The total has gone over in 5 of Colorado's last 7 home games.
- Milwaukee is 7-3 in their last 10 games.
- Colorado is 4-6 in their last 10 games.
- The total has gone over in 7 of the last 10 meetings between these two teams.
Recent Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| June 30 | Cardinals | 8-6 | W |
| June 29 | Cardinals | 4-3 | W |
| June 28 | Cardinals | 7-5 | L |
| June 27 | Reds | 3-2 | W |
| June 26 | Reds | 5-4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| June 30 | Dodgers | 9-8 | L |
| June 29 | Dodgers | 7-5 | W |
| June 28 | Dodgers | 11-6 | L |
| June 27 | Giants | 5-4 | W |
| June 26 | Giants | 8-5 | L |
Team Rankings
| Category | Brewers | Rockies |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 12th | 15th |
| Starting Pitching | 6th | 20th |
| Relief Pitching | 9th | 28th |
| Fielding | 7th | 12th |
Significant Betting Stats
- Milwaukee has scored an average of 5.1 runs per game in their last 10 games.
- Colorado has allowed an average of 6.2 runs per game at home this season.
- Corbin Burnes has a career ERA of 3.15 against the Rockies.
- German Marquez has a WHIP of 1.40 in night games this season.
- The Brewers' bullpen has a save percentage of 83% in June.
- Colorado has hit 18 home runs in their last 10 games.
- The total has gone over in 7 of Milwaukee's last 10 road games.
- The total has gone over in 6 of Colorado's last 10 games against NL Central opponents.
- Both teams have a combined batting average of .270 in night games this season.
- There have been 3 or more runs scored in the first inning in 8 of the Brewers' last 10 games.
Prediction
Pick: Over 11.5 runs
Given the high-scoring environment of Coors Field and the recent trends, this game is likely to see plenty of runs. Both teams have shown the ability to score, with German Marquez inconsistency and the Brewers potent lineup, the over 11.5 runs is the logical choice. Corbin Burnes is an excellent pitcher, but Coors Field can be unforgiving even to the best. Expect a high-scoring affair with both teams contributing to the total.
