Brewers vs Rockies Moneyline Prediction MLB 7/1

Brewers vs Rockies Moneyline Prediction MLB 7/1

© Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports

 

Milwaukee Brewers vs Colorado Rockies Moneyline Prediction

 

Game Summary

The Milwaukee Brewers will face the Colorado Rockies on July 2, 2024, at 3:41 AM ET. The Brewers are fighting for the top spot in the NL Central, while the Rockies aim to play spoiler and develop their young talent. Playing at Coors Field, known for its high altitude and hitter-friendly conditions, this game promises potential offensive fireworks. The Brewers have a well-rounded team with strong pitching and hitting, while the Rockies rely on their home-field advantage to boost their performance.

 

Odds

Bet Odds
Milwaukee Brewers -164
Colorado Rockies 138

 

Pitching Probables

Pitcher Team W-L ERA Strikeouts
Corbin Burnes MIL 11-4 2.95 164
German Marquez COL 7-8 4.67 130

 

Team Previews

Milwaukee Brewers

Hitting: The Brewers have a balanced lineup with power hitters like Christian Yelich and Willy Adames. They are effective at getting on base and can manufacture runs through both power and situational hitting.

Relief Pitching: The bullpen is a strength for the Brewers, with Devin Williams as the closer. They have a low collective ERA and are adept at maintaining leads late in games.

Fielding: The Brewers are strong defensively, with a high fielding percentage and few errors. They excel in turning double plays and have strong outfield arms.

Starting Pitchers: Corbin Burnes leads a talented rotation. The starters have been consistent in providing quality starts and keeping the team competitive in most games.

Colorado Rockies

Hitting: The Rockies thrive offensively at Coors Field. Players like Kris Bryant and Ryan McMahon provide power, and the team benefits from the altitude, which boosts their slugging percentages.

Relief Pitching: The bullpen has been a weak spot, with struggles in closing out games and maintaining leads. They have one of the higher bullpen ERAs in the league.

Fielding: Fielding is solid, with few errors and good defensive metrics. The Rockies are particularly strong at home, where they are accustomed to the unique challenges of their ballpark.

Starting Pitchers: German Marquez is the ace of the staff but has been inconsistent. The rest of the rotation has struggled, particularly in the high-scoring environment of Coors Field.

 

Projected Starting Lineups

# Milwaukee Brewers Colorado Rockies
1 Christian Yelich Charlie Blackmon
2 Willy Adames Ryan McMahon
3 William Contreras Kris Bryant
4 Rowdy Tellez CJ Cron
5 Jesse Winker Brendan Rodgers
6 Brian Anderson Yonathan Daza
7 Garrett Mitchell Elias Diaz
8 Owen Miller Ezequiel Tovar
9 Victor Caratini Jurickson Profar

 

Betting Trends

  • Milwaukee is 7-3 in their last 10 games.
  • Colorado is 4-6 in their last 10 games.
  • Milwaukee is 5-2 in their last 7 games against Colorado.
  • Colorado is 3-4 in their last 7 home games against Milwaukee.
  • The favorite has won 6 of the last 8 games between these two teams.

 

Recent Games

Date Opponent Score W/L
June 30 Cardinals 8-6 W
June 29 Cardinals 4-3 W
June 28 Cardinals 7-5 L
June 27 Reds 3-2 W
June 26 Reds 5-4 L
Date Opponent Score W/L
June 30 Dodgers 9-8 L
June 29 Dodgers 7-5 W
June 28 Dodgers 11-6 L
June 27 Giants 5-4 W
June 26 Giants 8-5 L

 

Team Rankings

Category Brewers Rockies
Hitting 12th 15th
Starting Pitching 6th 20th
Relief Pitching 9th 28th
Fielding 7th 12th

 

Significant Betting Stats

  • Milwaukee has won 65% of their games as favorites.
  • Colorado has lost 60% of their games as underdogs.
  • Corbin Burnes has a career win percentage of 67% against the Rockies.
  • German Marquez has a WHIP of 1.40 in night games this season.
  • The Brewers' bullpen has a save percentage of 83% in June.
  • Colorado has hit 18 home runs in their last 10 games.
  • Milwaukee is 5-2 in Burnes' last 7 starts against the Rockies.
  • Colorado is 3-7 in their last 10 home games.
  • The Brewers have a combined winning percentage of .620 in night games this season.
  • There have been fewer than 3 runs scored in the first inning in 7 of the Brewers' last 10 games.

 

Prediction

Pick: Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline -164

The Milwaukee Brewers have the upper hand in this matchup, with a strong pitching performance expected from Corbin Burnes and a reliable bullpen. The Rockies have struggled with consistency, particularly in their bullpen. Given the Brewers' recent form and historical success against the Rockies, betting on the Brewers moneyline at -164 is the best choice.

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