Brewers vs Cubs Prediction MLB Picks Today 5/30

Brewers vs Cubs Prediction MLB Picks Today 5/30

© Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports

 

MLB Preview and Prediction: Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers

The Chicago Cubs face off against the Milwaukee Brewers at American Family Field in an intriguing National League Central matchup. Both teams aim to gain ground in the standings with a win.

 

Game Overview:

  • Date: May 30, 2024
  • Time: 10:10 AM
  • Location: American Family Field, Milwaukee, Wisconsin
  • Weather: 65°F

Team Breakdown:

Chicago Cubs:

The Cubs enter this game with a 28-27 record and a 13-16 away record. Jameson Taillon is the probable starting pitcher for Chicago.

Key Players:

  • Home Runs: Christopher Morel (9 HR)
  • Batting Average: Mike Tauchman (.265 AVG)
  • Runs Batted In: Christopher Morel (33 RBI)

Jameson Taillon has a 3-2 record with a 2.58 ERA and a WHIP of 1.28 over 38.1 innings. His performance has been solid, but he allows a fair number of hits and walks, which could be exploited by the Brewers' lineup.

Milwaukee Brewers:

The Brewers have a 31-23 record and a 13-10 home record. Colin Rea is set to start for Milwaukee.

Key Players:

  • Home Runs: Rhys Hoskins (9 HR)
  • Batting Average: William Contreras (.324 AVG)
  • Runs Batted In: William Contreras (43 RBI)

Colin Rea has a 4-2 record, a 3.98 ERA, and a WHIP of 1.36 over 54.1 innings. His higher ERA and WHIP suggest that he is prone to giving up runs, which the Cubs could take advantage of.

Game Odds:

Team Moneyline Total Run Line
CHC (28-27) EVEN o8.5 (-105) -1.5 (+165)
MIL (31-23) -120 u8.5 (-115) +1.5 (-200)

Prediction:

For this matchup, we predict the over of 8.5 runs is the best pick. Here's why:

Both teams have shown the ability to score runs consistently, with the Cubs having scored 234 runs this season and the Brewers 266. The probable pitchers, Jameson Taillon and Colin Rea, while competent, have WHIPs that suggest they allow a considerable number of base runners. This increases the likelihood of runs being scored.

Taillon's ERA of 2.58 is solid, but his WHIP of 1.28 indicates he allows a decent amount of hits and walks, providing scoring opportunities for the Brewers. Similarly, Rea's ERA of 3.98 and WHIP of 1.36 suggest he is vulnerable to giving up runs, especially against a Cubs lineup that can capitalize on these opportunities.

Additionally, recent games between these two teams have shown a trend towards higher scoring, with the Cubs winning 6-3 in extra innings in their last matchup. Both teams' offensive capabilities, combined with the pitchers' tendencies to allow base runners, make the over 8.5 runs a promising bet.

Pick: Over 8.5 Runs (-105)

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