Brenton Doyle Player Props: Mets vs Rockies 8/6

Mr Wager
Aug 6, 2024, 11:07:42 AM

Game Summary

The Colorado Rockies are set to host the New York Mets for the opening game of a three-game series at Coors Field in Denver on August 6, 2024. The Rockies, currently sitting at 41-72, sit at the bottom of the NL West, while the Mets are 59-53, placing them third in the NL East. The matchup features two teams heading in different directions, with the Mets looking to solidify their playoff chances while the Rockies are playing for pride.

The Rockies have struggled this season, with a 24-29 record at home. Their offense has produced a respectable 127 home runs, ranking eighth in the National League, but their pitching has let them down, leading to a team ERA of 5.50, which is one of the worst in the league. In contrast, the Mets have a solid on-base percentage of .321, ranking sixth in the NL, and their pitching staff has shown improvements lately, with a 3.68 ERA over their last 10 games.

Historically, the Mets have had the edge in this matchup, winning two of the three contests played this season. Both teams will look to capitalize on the other’s weaknesses, making for an exciting game at the hitter-friendly Coors Field.

Player Prop Odds

- Brenton Doyle Total Bases: Over 1.5 (-125)
- Brenton Doyle Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+450)
- Brenton Doyle RBIs: Over 0.5 (+120)
- Brenton Doyle Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-140)
- Brenton Doyle Hits: Over 1.5 (+185)
- Brenton Doyle Stolen Bases: Over 0.5 (+360)
- Brenton Doyle Doubles: Over 0.5 (+265)
- Brenton Doyle Singles: Over 0.5 (-120)

Player Analysis

Brenton Doyle has been one of the bright spots for the Rockies this season. With a combination of speed and power, he has emerged as a key contributor in the lineup. Currently boasting a .253 batting average, he has accumulated 19 home runs and 55 RBIs, making him a constant threat at the plate. Over the last 10 games, Doyle has been hitting .280, showcasing his ability to get on base and drive in runs.

Doyle's versatility allows him to contribute in multiple ways, whether it’s through extra-base hits or stealing bases. His recent form suggests that he is poised for a strong performance against the Mets, especially given the struggles of their pitching staff.

Opposing Analysis

The Mets will send Luis Severino to the mound, who has been solid this season with a 3.93 ERA and 96 strikeouts. However, he has shown vulnerability, allowing 14 home runs over 123.2 innings pitched. This could open the door for Doyle to capitalize on any mistakes Severino makes. The Mets' bullpen has also been shaky at times, which could give Doyle additional opportunities to score runs or drive in RBIs.

Additionally, the Rockies' lineup has the potential to put pressure on Severino with their power-hitting capabilities. If Doyle can get on base, he could be in a position to score or drive in runs, especially considering the Rockies' ability to hit home runs.

Pitching Probables

Player	W-L	ERA	Strikeouts
Luis Severino (NYM)	7-4	3.93	96
Kyle Freeland (COL)	3-4	5.64	48

Team Previews

New York Mets

The Mets have struggled with consistency this season. They have a 59-53 overall record and are currently competing for a wild card spot. Their offense is led by J.D. Martinez, who boasts a .262 batting average, and Jeff McNeil, who has been hot at the plate lately with 12 hits in his last 35 at-bats. As a team, they have posted a .242 average and accumulated 477 runs, which ranks them in the middle of the pack in the league.

On the pitching side, the Mets have a collective ERA of 5.50, which is concerning as they head into the final stretch of the season. However, Severino's recent form has been better, and if he can maintain his composure, he can be an asset against the Rockies.

Colorado Rockies

The Rockies have had a tough year, sitting at 41-72. Offensively, they are ranked seventh in the league in runs scored with 543. Brenton Doyle is leading the offense, but consistent contributions from other players will be crucial if they want to compete. The team is hitting .249 as a unit, and the power numbers are there, but the pitching has been a significant liability.

With a 4.11 team ERA, the Rockies' pitching staff has struggled to keep runs off the board. Kyle Freeland has shown flashes of brilliance but has been inconsistent overall. If he can pitch effectively, the Rockies may have a chance to steal a win against a potent Mets lineup.

Team Injuries

New York Mets

Player	Position	Injury Status
Kodai Senga	SP	60-Day IL (calf)
Starling Marte	OF	10-Day IL (knee)
Ronny Mauricio	IF	60-Day IL (knee)

Colorado Rockies

Player	Position	Injury Status
German Marquez	SP	60-Day IL (elbow)
Nolan Jones	OF	10-Day IL (back)
Charlie Blackmon	DH	Probable for Aug 6

Recent Games

New York Mets

Opponent	Score	W/L
@ Los Angeles	W5-1	W
@ Los Angeles	L5-4	L
@ Los Angeles	L3-2	L
@ St. Louis	W6-0	W
vs Minnesota	W15-2	W

Colorado Rockies

Opponent	Score	W/L
@ San Diego	L10-2	L
@ San Diego	L3-2	L
@ Los Angeles	W2-1	W
@ Los Angeles	W5-4 F/10	W
@ Los Angeles	L11-4	L

Prediction

Given the current form of Brenton Doyle and the pitching matchup against Severino, I predict that he will have a significant impact in this game. My pick is for Doyle to hit over 1.5 total bases (-125). With his ability to reach base and score, there’s also value in considering the over on runs scored (0.5, -140) and RBIs (0.5, +120) as well. Doyle's recent performance and the Mets' pitching vulnerabilities make this a favorable matchup for him.