Braves vs Phillies Prediction MLB Picks Today 7/7

Braves vs Phillies Prediction MLB Picks Today 7/7

© Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports

 

MLB Preview and Prediction: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves

Get ready for an exciting showdown as the Philadelphia Phillies visit the Atlanta Braves at Truist Park. With both teams battling for supremacy in the NL East, expect a thrilling game filled with high-stakes action.

 

Game Overview:

  • Date: July 7, 2024
  • Time: 10:35 AM
  • Location: Truist Park, Atlanta, Georgia
  • Line: ATL -175
  • Over/Under: 8.5
  • Coverage: ESPN+

Team Breakdown:

Philadelphia Phillies:

The Philadelphia Phillies come into this game with an impressive 58-30 record, holding the best record in the National League. Their consistent performance has made them a formidable opponent this season.

Last 5 Games:

  • 7/5/24: @ ATL, W 8-6
  • 7/4/24: @ CHC, L 10-2
  • 7/3/24: @ CHC, W 5-3
  • 7/2/24: @ CHC, W 6-4
  • 6/30/24: vs MIA, W 7-6

Injury Report:

  • Simon Muzziotti (CF): 7-Day IL, expected return July 6
  • Michael Rucker (RP): 60-Day IL, expected return July 6
  • Dylan Covey (RP): 60-Day IL, expected return July 6
  • Nick Snyder (RP): 60-Day IL, expected return July 6
  • Kyle Schwarber (DH): 10-Day IL, expected return July 9

Pitching Analysis:

Michael Mercado will start for the Phillies, with a 1-0 record and a 1.50 ERA. Mercado has shown promise in his limited appearances, but he'll face a tough challenge against the Braves' strong lineup.

Batting Leaders:

  • Home Runs: Bryce Harper (20 HR)
  • Batting Average: Bryce Harper (.303 AVG)
  • Runs Batted In: Alec Bohm (70 RBI)

With Bryce Harper and Alec Bohm leading the charge, the Phillies have a potent lineup capable of producing significant runs.

 

Atlanta Braves:

The Atlanta Braves, with a 47-39 record, aim to close the gap in the NL East standings. Known for their strong home performance, the Braves will look to leverage their home-field advantage in this matchup.

Last 5 Games:

  • 7/5/24: vs PHI, L 8-6
  • 7/4/24: vs SF, L 4-2
  • 7/3/24: vs SF, W 3-1
  • 7/2/24: vs SF, L 5-3
  • 6/30/24: vs PIT, L 4-2

Injury Report:

  • Ramon Laureano (RF): Day-to-Day, expected return July 6
  • Huascar Ynoa (SP): 60-Day IL, expected return July 6
  • Jimmy Herget (RP): 15-Day IL, expected return July 6
  • Brian Anderson (RF): 10-Day IL, expected return July 8
  • Michael Harris II (CF): 10-Day IL, expected return July 19

Pitching Analysis:

Reynaldo Lopez will start for the Braves, with a 6-2 record and a 1.83 ERA. Lopez has been exceptional on the mound, providing consistent and dominant performances. His ability to control the game and limit the Phillies' offense will be crucial.

Batting Leaders:

  • Home Runs: Marcell Ozuna (22 HR)
  • Batting Average: Marcell Ozuna (.296 AVG)
  • Runs Batted In: Marcell Ozuna (70 RBI)

Marcell Ozuna continues to be the centerpiece of the Braves' offense, leading the team in home runs, batting average, and RBIs.

Head to Head Record:

The Phillies currently lead the season series 1-0 against the Braves. The previous game was as follows:

  • 7/5: Phillies 8, Braves 6

Game Odds:

Team ML Total Spread
PHI (58-30) +150 o8.5 (-110) +1.5 (-135)
ATL (47-39) -175 u8.5 (-110) -1.5 (+115)

 

Prediction:

For this matchup, we're predicting a victory for the Atlanta Braves on the money line (ML). Here's why:

Reynaldo Lopez has been outstanding on the mound, with a 6-2 record and a 1.83 ERA. His consistent performance gives the Braves a significant advantage, especially against Michael Mercado, who has limited experience this season.

The Braves have a strong lineup led by Marcell Ozuna, who has consistently driven in runs and provided the necessary offensive support. This potent lineup will be crucial against the Phillies.

Given the Braves' overall performance and Lopez's reliability on the mound, we expect the Braves to secure a win.

Pick: Atlanta Braves ML

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