Braves vs Phillies Prediction MLB Picks Today 7/6

Braves vs Phillies Prediction MLB Picks Today 7/6

© Brett Davis-USA TODAY Sports

 

MLB Preview and Prediction: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves

Prepare for an exciting showdown as the Philadelphia Phillies visit the Atlanta Braves at Truist Park. With both teams vying for dominance in the NL East, expect a thrilling game filled with high-stakes action.

 

Game Overview:

  • Date: July 6, 2024
  • Time: 4:15 PM
  • Location: Truist Park, Atlanta, Georgia
  • Line: PHI -115
  • Over/Under: 8.5
  • Coverage: FOX

Team Breakdown:

Philadelphia Phillies:

The Philadelphia Phillies come into this game with an impressive 57-30 record, holding the best record in the National League. Their consistent performance has made them a formidable opponent this season.

Last 5 Games:

  • 7/4/24: @ CHC, L 10-2
  • 7/3/24: @ CHC, W 5-3
  • 7/2/24: @ CHC, W 6-4
  • 6/30/24: vs MIA, W 7-6
  • 6/29/24: vs MIA, L 3-2

Injury Report:

  • Michael Rucker (RP): 60-Day IL, expected return July 5
  • Dylan Covey (RP): 60-Day IL, expected return July 5
  • Nick Snyder (RP): 60-Day IL, expected return July 5
  • Simon Muzziotti (CF): 7-Day IL, expected return July 6
  • Kyle Schwarber (DH): 10-Day IL, expected return July 9

Pitching Analysis:

Ranger Suarez will start for the Phillies, boasting a 10-2 record with a 2.27 ERA. Suarez has been a reliable ace for the Phillies, consistently delivering strong performances on the mound. His ability to control the game and limit the Braves' offense will be crucial.

Batting Leaders:

  • Home Runs: Bryce Harper (20 HR)
  • Batting Average: Bryce Harper (.303 AVG)
  • Runs Batted In: Alec Bohm (70 RBI)

With Bryce Harper and Alec Bohm leading the offensive charge, the Phillies have a potent lineup capable of producing significant runs.

Atlanta Braves:

The Atlanta Braves, with a 47-38 record, aim to close the gap in the NL East standings. Known for their strong home performance, the Braves will look to leverage their home-field advantage in this matchup.

Last 5 Games:

  • 7/4/24: vs SF, L 4-2
  • 7/3/24: vs SF, W 3-1
  • 7/2/24: vs SF, L 5-3
  • 6/30/24: vs PIT, L 4-2
  • 6/29/24: vs PIT, W 2-1 (F/10)

Injury Report:

  • Ramon Laureano (RF): Day-to-Day, expected return July 5
  • Huascar Ynoa (SP): 60-Day IL, expected return July 5
  • Jimmy Herget (RP): 15-Day IL, expected return July 6
  • Brian Anderson (RF): 10-Day IL, expected return July 8
  • Michael Harris II (CF): 10-Day IL, expected return July 19

Pitching Analysis:

Spencer Schwellenbach will start for the Braves, with a 1-4 record and a 5.68 ERA. Schwellenbach has struggled this season, and he will face a tough task against the Phillies' potent lineup.

Batting Leaders:

  • Home Runs: Marcell Ozuna (21 HR)
  • Batting Average: Marcell Ozuna (.296 AVG)
  • Runs Batted In: Marcell Ozuna (67 RBI)

Marcell Ozuna's performance will be critical in providing the Braves with the necessary offensive firepower to compete with the Phillies.

Head to Head Record:

The Braves currently lead the season series 2-1 against the Phillies. The previous games were as follows:

  • 3/29: Braves 9, Phillies 3
  • 3/30: Braves 12, Phillies 4
  • 3/31: Phillies 5, Braves 4

Game Odds:

Team ML Total Spread
PHI (57-30) -115 o8.5 (-105) -1.5 (+150)
ATL (47-38) -105 u8.5 (-115) +1.5 (-180)

 

Prediction:

For this matchup, we're predicting a victory for the Philadelphia Phillies on the money line (ML). Here's why:

Ranger Suarez has been outstanding on the mound, with a 10-2 record and a 2.27 ERA. His consistent performance gives the Phillies a significant advantage, especially against Spencer Schwellenbach, who has struggled this season.

The Phillies have a strong lineup led by Bryce Harper and Alec Bohm, who have consistently driven in runs and provided the necessary offensive support. This potent lineup will be crucial against the Braves.

Given the Phillies' overall performance and Suarez's reliability on the mound, we expect the Phillies to secure a win.

Pick: Philadelphia Phillies ML

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