Braves vs Phillies Prediction MLB Picks Today 7/5

Braves vs Phillies Prediction MLB Picks Today 7/5

© Kyle Ross-USA TODAY Sports

 

MLB Preview and Prediction: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves

Prepare for an exciting showdown as the Philadelphia Phillies visit the Atlanta Braves at Truist Park. With both teams competing for dominance in the National League, expect a thrilling game with high stakes.

 

Game Overview:

  • Date: July 5, 2024
  • Time: 4:20 PM
  • Location: Truist Park, Atlanta, Georgia
  • Line: ATL -140
  • Over/Under: 7.5
  • Coverage: Apple TV+

Team Breakdown:

Philadelphia Phillies:

The Philadelphia Phillies come into this game with an impressive 57-30 record, holding the best record in the National League. Their consistent performance has made them a formidable opponent this season.

Last 5 Games:

  • 7/3/24: @ CHC, W 5-3
  • 7/2/24: @ CHC, W 6-4
  • 6/30/24: vs MIA, W 7-6
  • 6/29/24: vs MIA, L 3-2
  • 6/28/24: vs MIA, W 2-0

Injury Report:

  • Michael Rucker (RP): 60-Day IL, expected return July 4
  • Dylan Covey (RP): 60-Day IL, expected return July 4
  • Nick Snyder (RP): 60-Day IL, expected return July 4
  • Simon Muzziotti (CF): 7-Day IL, expected return July 6
  • Bryce Harper (1B): 10-Day IL, expected return July 9

Pitching Analysis:

Aaron Nola will start for the Phillies, boasting a 9-4 record with a 3.43 ERA. Nola has been a reliable ace for the Phillies, consistently delivering strong performances on the mound. His ability to control the game and limit the Braves' offense will be crucial.

Batting Leaders:

  • Home Runs: Bryce Harper (20 HR)
  • Batting Average: Bryce Harper (.303 AVG)
  • Runs Batted In: Alec Bohm (70 RBI)

With Bryce Harper and Alec Bohm leading the offensive charge, the Phillies have a potent lineup capable of producing significant runs.

 

Atlanta Braves:

The Atlanta Braves, with a 47-38 record, are aiming to close the gap in the standings. Known for their strong home performance, the Braves will look to leverage their home-field advantage in this matchup.

Last 5 Games:

  • 7/3/24: vs SF, W 3-1
  • 7/2/24: vs SF, L 5-3
  • 6/30/24: vs PIT, L 4-2
  • 6/29/24: vs PIT, W 2-1 (F/10)
  • 6/28/24: vs PIT, W 6-1

Injury Report:

  • Brian Anderson (RF): 10-Day IL, expected return July 4
  • Huascar Ynoa (SP): 60-Day IL, expected return July 4
  • Orlando Arcia (SS): Day-to-Day, expected return July 5
  • Jimmy Herget (RP): 15-Day IL, expected return July 6
  • Michael Harris II (CF): 10-Day IL, expected return July 19

Pitching Analysis:

Max Fried will start for the Braves, with a 7-3 record and a 2.91 ERA. Fried has been effective this season, providing the Braves with quality starts. His matchup against Nola will be a key factor in this game.

Batting Leaders:

  • Home Runs: Marcell Ozuna (21 HR)
  • Batting Average: Marcell Ozuna (.296 AVG)
  • Runs Batted In: Marcell Ozuna (67 RBI)

Marcell Ozuna's performance will be critical in providing the Braves with the necessary offensive firepower to compete with the Phillies.

Head to Head Record:

The Braves currently lead the season series 2-1 against the Phillies. The previous games were as follows:

  • 3/29: Braves 9, Phillies 3
  • 3/30: Braves 12, Phillies 4
  • 3/31: Phillies 5, Braves 4

Game Odds:

Team ML Total Spread
PHI (57-30) +120 o7.5 (-115) +1.5 (-180)
ATL (47-38) -140 u7.5 (-105) -1.5 (+150)

 

Prediction:

For this matchup, we're predicting a victory for the Philadelphia Phillies. Here's why:

The Phillies are currently the best team in the National League, boasting a league-leading 57-30 record. Their consistent performance throughout the season demonstrates their capability to win crucial games.

Aaron Nola, with his 9-4 record and 3.43 ERA, has been a reliable ace for the Phillies. His ability to control the game and deliver quality starts provides the Phillies with a significant advantage.

Offensively, the Phillies are led by Bryce Harper and Alec Bohm, who have consistently driven in runs and provided the necessary offensive support. This potent lineup will be crucial against Max Fried and the Braves.

Considering the Phillies' overall performance and Nola's reliability on the mound, we expect the Phillies to secure a win. Therefore, our pick is the Phillies on the money line (ML).

Pick: Philadelphia Phillies ML

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