Braves vs Marlins Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 16: MLB

Braves vs Marlins Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 16: MLB

Time 7:10 p.m. EST
Braves money line -149
Braves run line -1.5 (+120)
Marlins money line +125
Marlins run line +1.5 (-120)
Over / under 8.0 (-110)


Key stats
  Braves Marlins
Record 62-56 51-67
Road / home record 31-27 30-27
Last 10 record 8-2 5-5
Streak W3 W4
Over / under record 60-53-5 53-57-8
Runs / game 4.86 4.06
Runs allowed / game 4.26 4.16



The Braves travel to Miami to take on the Marlins in the first game of a three game series Monday night.  The Braves are coming off a sweep of the Nationals, winning 4-2, 12-2 and 6-5.  It's their fourth series win in a row, with a sweep of the Cardinals as well.  The Marlins come off a sweep at home vs the Cubs, winning 14-10, 5-4 and 4-1.  They've won 4 in a row now after dropping the previous 5.

Both teams are hitting well.  The Braves scored 22 in the Nationals series, 14 in the Reds series, 14 in the previous Nationals series and 21 in the Cardinals series (all three game series), averaging almost 6 runs per game.

The Marlins scored 23 in the Cubs series after scoring 15 in the Padres series.  The bats have come alive, averaging over 6 runs in their previous 6 games. 

Pitching matchup


Touki Toussaint (1-2, 4.28 ERA) starts for the Braves.  He's coming off a 4.03 ERA 2018, 5.62 ERA 2019 and 8.88 ERA 2020.  He pitched decently last time out vs the Reds, lasting 5.0 innings, giving up 4 hits, 3 walks and 2 earned runs.  He started the season with two quality starts in July, but struggled against the Brewers before bouncing back against the Cardinals and Reds.  Marlins batters have only seen Toussaint 11 times, getting 4 hits (.364 AVG) and 1 walk.


Braxton Garrett (1-1, 4.65 ERA) takes the mound for the Marlins, coming off a 5.87 ERA 2020.  He generally only goes about 70 pitches before being pulled, and is coming off a beating vs the Padres, going 3.1 innings with 8 hits, 1 walk and 5 earned runs.  He hasn't faced the Braves previously.


Both teams are hitting the ball well, with each averaging 6 runs per game recently.  Toussaint has had some quality starts this season, but he should revert to his 5+ ERA norm.  Expect Garrett to go 4-5 innings before the Marlin's bullpen comes into action.  We see this as a high scoring game.

PICK: Over 8.0 (-110)

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