Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, Pick and Preview, April 28 (4/28): MLB

Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, Pick and Preview, April 28 (4/28): MLB

Credit: photo by John E. Sokolowski-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 3:07 p.m. EST
Red Sox money line +145
Red Sox run line +1.5 (-145)
Blue Jays money line -157
Blue Jays run line -1.5 (+125)
Over / under 8

 

Key stats

  Boston Red Sox Toronto Blue Jays
Record 8-11 12-7
Road / home record 5-7 6-3
Last 10 record 4-6 6-4
Streak W1 L1
Over / under record 5-13-1 6-12-1
Runs / game 3.61 4.33
Runs allowed / game 4.22 3.89

Preview

The Boston Red Sox and the Toronto Blue Jays will play the 4th game of the series at the Tropicana Field on Thursday. Toronto won the first 2 games but the Red Sox won the 3rd. Bogaerts went 4 for 4 with four singles and a walk.

Boston Red Sox

The Red Sox get to this game with a 8-11 record and are 5-7 on the road. The team is averaging 3.61 runs and allowing 4.22 runs per game. Alex Verdugo is leading the team with 3 home runs and 13 RBI while Xander Bogaerts is batting for .397 AVG.

Michael Wacha (2-0) earned his second straight win. The right-hander allowed one run and four hits in six innings.

Probable Pitcher: 

Garrett Whitlock (1-0, 0.66 ERA) will take the mound in the 4th game of the series for the Red Sox. Whitlock made his first start of the season Saturday against the Rays and allowed a hit and no walks while striking out seven in four scoreless innings. 

Toronto Blue Jays

The Blue Jays get here with a 12-7 record and are 6-3 at home. The team is averaging 4.33 runs while allowing 3.89 runs per game. Vladimir Guerrero leads the team, batting for a .309 avg and has 13 RBI with 5 home runs.

Stripling allowed five hits in a season-high five innings. He struck out a season-high seven and walked none.

Probable Pitcher:

Alek Manoah (3-0, 2.00 ERA) will be on the mound for the Blue Jays in the 4th game of the series. Manoah allowed two earned runs on seven hits and no walks while striking out five across six innings to earn the win Saturday against Houston. He started 2 games against the Red Sox last season and allowed only 3 runs across 11 innings.

BETTING TRENDS

Boston are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games against Toronto.

The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Boston's last 11 games on the road.

Toronto are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 9 games against Boston.

Prediction

As I predicted for the 3rd game of the series, Wacha had a great game and the Red Sox offense responded to win the game but now they'll be facing Alek Manoah who has been great so far this season. With the under cashing big times for both teams and 2 good starters on the mound I think the best play is the under.

PICK: Under 8 (-110)

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