Boston Red Sox vs Miami Marlins Over/Under Prediction 7/2

Boston Red Sox vs Miami Marlins Over/Under Prediction 7/2

© Brian Fluharty-USA TODAY Sports

 

Game Summary


The Boston Red Sox will face off against the Miami Marlins on July 2, 2024, at 6:41 PM at Fenway Park. Both teams are coming off intense series, and this matchup promises to be exciting. The Red Sox have been struggling with consistency, currently sitting mid-table in the AL East. Their offense, led by Rafael Devers, has shown flashes of brilliance but has often been let down by their pitching staff. On the other hand, the Marlins, while not playoff contenders, have shown resilience, especially with their young prospects making strides.

Odds and Betting Lines

 

Market Odds
Over 8.0 -110
Under 8.0 -110

 

Pitching Probables

 

Pitcher W-L ERA Strikeouts
Chris Sale (BOS) 7-4 3.56 102
Sandy Alcantara (MIA) 5-7 3.78 110

 

Team Previews

 

Boston Red Sox

Hitting: The Red Sox lineup, anchored by Rafael Devers and Xander Bogaerts, has the potential to explode but has been inconsistent.

Relief Pitching: The bullpen has been a weak point, often blowing leads in the late innings.

Fielding: Solid but unspectacular, with occasional lapses costing them games.

Starting Pitchers: Chris Sale leads the rotation, but injuries have plagued their starters.

Miami Marlins

Hitting: Young talents like Jazz Chisholm Jr. have injected energy into the lineup, though they lack depth.

Relief Pitching: The bullpen has been a surprise strength, keeping them in close games.

Fielding: The Marlins have shown flashes of excellent defense, particularly in the outfield.

Starting Pitchers: Alcantara has been solid, but the rotation lacks depth.

Projected Starting Lineups

 

# Boston Red Sox Miami Marlins
1 Enrique Hernandez Jazz Chisholm Jr.
2 Rafael Devers Jesus Aguilar
3 Xander Bogaerts Garrett Cooper
4 J.D. Martinez Brian Anderson
5 Alex Verdugo Lewin Diaz
6 Bobby Dalbec Jon Berti
7 Christian Arroyo Nick Fortes
8 Kevin Plawecki Brian De La Cruz
9 Jarren Duran Luke Williams

 

Betting Trends

 

  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 9 games.

 

Recent Games

 

Team Opponent Score W/L
Red Sox Yankees 3-5 L
Red Sox Blue Jays 6-2 W
Red Sox Blue Jays 7-8 L
Marlins Braves 4-6 L
Marlins Nationals 2-1 W

 

Team Rankings

 

Team Hitting Starting Pitching Relief Pitching Fielding
Red Sox 10th 18th 22nd 15th
Marlins 21st 14th 12th 20th

 

Significant Betting Stats

 

  • Boston is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games at home.
  • Miami is 3-7 SU in their last 10 road games.
  • Chris Sale has a 2.95 ERA at home this season.
  • Sandy Alcantara has a 4.25 ERA in night games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of the last 7 meetings between these teams.
  • Boston's bullpen has a 4.50 ERA in the last 10 games.
  • Miami has scored 3.2 runs per game over their last 5 games.
  • Boston averages 5.1 runs per game at home.
  • Miami is 2-5 in Alcantara's last 7 starts.
  • Boston is 3-4 in Sale's last 7 starts.

 

Prediction

 

The combination of inconsistent pitching from both teams and the potential for offensive outbursts makes the over 8.0 runs a strong pick. Both Sale and Alcantara have had their struggles, and given the betting trends, this game is likely to see more than eight runs scored.

Pick: Over 8.0 runs
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