Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 26 (9/26): MLB
- Pro Bets 2k
- Sep 26, 2022, 7:23:14 AM
Odds
| Time | 7:10 p.m. EST |
| Red Sox money line | -125 |
| Red Sox run line | -1.5 (+145) |
| Orioles money line | +105 |
| Orioles run line | +1.5 (-170) |
| Over / under | 9.5 |
Key stats
| Boston Red Sox | Baltimore Orioles | |
| Record | 72-80 | 79-73 |
| Home / road record | 37-37 | 35-39 |
| Last 10 record | 3-7 | 4-6 |
| Streak | L4 | W6 |
| Over / under record | 70-72-10 | 68-78-6 |
| Runs / game | 4.52 | 4.18 |
| Runs allowed / game | 4.80 | 4.18 |
Preview
The Baltimore Orioles and the Boston Red Sox will meet again to play a 4-game series at the Fenway Park. The Orioles tied 2-2 in their weekend series vs Astros while the Red Sox were swept by the Yankees and are already eliminated.
Boston Red Sox
The Red Sox get here with a 72-80 record and have lost 5 games in a row. The team is averaging 4.52 runs per game. They're batting for .257 AVG, 678 runs scored in 1328 hits and 141 home runs, ranking #10 in offense in the league, behind the Toronto Blue Jays. Rafael Devers is leading the team with 27 home runs and 84 RBI, batting for .289 AVG.
Defensively they are allowing 4.80 runs per game and rank #24 in the league. Nick Pivetta leads the team with 10 wins recorded with a 4.35 ERA and 160 strikeouts
Probable Pitcher: Connor Seabold (0-3, 10.47 ERA)
Seabold will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for Boston. After getting called up from Triple-A Worcester last week to serve as Boston's No. 5 starter, Seabold dropped to 0-3 after giving up four earned runs on six hits and one walk while striking out four across five innings.
Baltimore Orioles
The Orioles get here with a 79-73 record and have won 3 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.18 runs per game. They're batting for .236 AVG, 576 runs scored in 1085 hits and 146 home runs, ranking #21 in offense in the league behind the Cincinnati Reds. Anthony Santander leads the team with 27 home runs, 79 RBI and Cedric Mullins is batting for an average of .264.
Defensively they are allowing 4.16 runs per game and rank #10 in the league. Jordan Lyles leads the pitching staff with a 4.70 ERA, 129 strikeouts and 10 wins recorded.
Probable Pitcher: Jordan Lyles (11-11, 4.50 ERA)
Lyles will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for the Orioles. Lyles earned the win Wednesday, allowing one run on three hits and no walks with six strikeouts over nine innings against the Tigers. He is 2-2 with an ERA of 6.98 and 34 strikeouts in 8 appearances against the Red Sox in his career.
BETTING TRENDS
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baltimore's last 9 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Baltimore's last 13 games on the road.
Baltimore are 3-9 SU in their last 12 games when playing on the road against Boston.
Boston are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games against Baltimore.
Boston are 8-4 SU in their last 12 games at home.
Prediction
The Orioles continue on the fight for a playoff spot so every game is key for them right now. Jordan Lyles will start for the Orioles who's coming from a solid start vs Tigers but has been pounded in his last 2 starts vs Red Sox. The Red Sox will send Connor Seabold to the mound who has been awful this season and the Red Sox have lost in 3 of his 4 starts. This should be a high scoring game as the total indicates and I like the Orioles to win the game as well but the best play is the over.
PICK: Over 9.5 (-110)
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