Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction MLB Picks Today 6/27

Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction MLB Picks Today 6/27

© Wendell Cruz-USA TODAY Sports

 

MLB Preview: New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Prediction

On June 27, 2024, the New York Yankees will face the Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre. This preview covers the teams' recent performances, pitching matchups, and key players.

Game Overview:

  • Date: June 27, 2024
  • Time: 4:07 PM
  • Location: Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario

 

Team Breakdown:

New York Yankees:

The New York Yankees enter this game with a 52-30 record, including a 28-16 record on the road. They are currently leading the American League East division, but have lost four of their last five games.

Pitching:

Carlos Rodon will start for the Yankees. Rodon has a 9-4 record with a 3.86 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP over 88.2 innings pitched. While he has been effective, he has shown vulnerability to giving up runs, allowing 14 home runs this season.

Recent Performance:

The Yankees have faced some tough losses recently, with their pitching staff allowing a significant number of runs. Their offense, led by Aaron Judge, has remained potent, keeping them competitive in high-scoring games.

Key Players:

  • Home Runs: Aaron Judge (30 HR)
  • Batting Average: Aaron Judge (.309 AVG)
  • Runs Batted In: Aaron Judge (77 RBI)

The Yankees are dealing with injuries to Greg Allen, Caleb Durbin, Sean Boyle, Chase Hampton, and Scott Effross, affecting their depth.

Toronto Blue Jays:

The Toronto Blue Jays hold a 36-43 record, including an 18-19 record at home. They are currently in fifth place in the American League East division and have lost four of their last five games.

Pitching:

Jose Berrios will start for the Blue Jays. Berrios has a 6-6 record with a 3.43 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP over 97 innings pitched. While he has been solid, he has also been prone to giving up home runs, allowing 17 this season.

Recent Performance:

The Blue Jays have struggled recently, with their pitching staff allowing a significant number of runs. Their offense, led by Vladimir Guerrero Jr., has shown flashes of brilliance, but has been inconsistent.

Key Players:

  • Home Runs: Daulton Varsho (11 HR)
  • Batting Average: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (.288 AVG)
  • Runs Batted In: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (40 RBI)

Toronto is managing injuries to Luis De Los Santos, Daulton Varsho, Ricky Tiedemann, Joey Votto, and Yimi Garcia, affecting their lineup and pitching depth.

Game Odds:

Team Moneyline Total Run Line
NYY (52-30) -140 o8.5 (-105) -1.5 (+115)
TOR (36-43) +120 u8.5 (-120) +1.5 (-135)

 

Prediction:

Considering the pitching matchup and the recent performances of both teams, the pick for this game is the over on 8.5 runs. Carlos Rodon, the starting pitcher for the Yankees, has a solid record but has been susceptible to giving up home runs, which can lead to high-scoring games. On the other side, Jose Berrios has also been prone to allowing home runs, with 17 given up this season.

Both teams have powerful offenses capable of capitalizing on these vulnerabilities. The Yankees, led by Aaron Judge, have consistently shown the ability to score runs in bunches. Judge's impressive 30 home runs and 77 RBIs highlight the offensive firepower the Yankees bring to the game. Similarly, the Blue Jays have capable hitters like Vladimir Guerrero Jr., who can exploit any mistakes made by the pitchers.

Moreover, both teams have shown recent trends toward high-scoring games. The Yankees' recent losses have seen their pitching staff struggle to contain opponents, leading to high total runs. The Blue Jays have also participated in high-scoring affairs, indicating their ability to both score and concede runs in substantial numbers.

Given the combination of pitchers prone to allowing home runs and potent offenses on both sides, the over on 8.5 runs is a compelling pick for this matchup. The likelihood of a high-scoring game is supported by the recent trends and the capabilities of both lineups to produce significant offensive output.

Pick: Over 8.5 Runs (-105)

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