Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, Pick and Preview, October 3 (10/3): MLB

Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, Pick and Preview, October 3 (10/3): MLB

 

Odds

Time 7:05 p.m. EST
Blue Jays money line -135
Blue Jays run line -1.5 (+120)
Orioles money line +113
Orioles run line +1.5 (-140)
Over / under 7.5

 

Key stats

  Toronto Blue Jays  Baltimore Orioles
Record 90-69 82-77
Home / road record 43-35 44-34
Last 10 record 6-4 4-6
Streak W3 W1
Over / under record 82-73-4 71-82-6
Runs / game 4.76 4.19
Runs allowed / game 4.23 4.24

 

Preview

The Baltimore Orioles and the Toronto Blue Jays will play their final series of the regular season at theOriole Park at Camden Yards. The Orioles won their last series against the Yankees while the Blue Jays swept the Red Sox.

 

Toronto Blue Jays

The Blue Jays get here with a 90-69 record and have won 6 of their last 8 games. The team is averaging 4.76 runs per game and they're batting for .263 AVG, have 761 runs scored in 1433 hits and 198 home runs, ranking #5 in offense in the league behind the Philadelphia Phillies. Vladimir Guerrero Jr leads the team with .285 ERA, 96 RBI and 31 home runs. Alejandro Kirk is batting for .302 AVG.

Defensively as they are allowing 4.23 runs per game and rank #13 in the league. All-Star Alek Manoah leads the team with a 2.24 ERA and 180 strikeouts recording 16 wins for the Jays. 

Probable Pitcher:  Jose Berrios (11-7, 5.37 ERA)

Berrios will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for Toronto. Berrios took the loss Tuesday, coughing up five runs on nine hits and two walks over 5.1 innings as the Blue Jays were downed 5-2 by the Yankees. He struck out seven. He has an 8-0 record with an ERA of 3.04 and 62 strikeouts in 11 appearances versus the Orioles in his career.

Baltimore Orioles

The Orioles get here with a 82-77 record and have lost 4 of their last 6 games. The team is averaging 4.19 runs per game. They're batting for .236 AVG, 667 runs scored in 1264 hits and 170 home runs, ranking #20 in offense in the league behind the Cincinnati Reds. Anthony Santander leads the team with 33 home runs, 88 RBI and Cedric Mullins is batting for an average of .264.

Defensively they are allowing 4.24 runs per game and rank #16 in the league. Jordan Lyles leads the pitching staff with a 4.42 ERA, 144 strikeouts and 12 wins recorded.

Probable Pitcher:  Dean Kremer (8-6, 3.17 ERA)

Kremer will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for the Orioles. Kremer took the loss against Boston on Wednesday, allowing three runs on six hits and four walks with two strikeouts over five innings. He has a 1-2 record with an ERA of 6.04 and 20 strikeouts in 6 appearances against the Blue Jays in his career.

 

BETTING TRENDS

Toronto are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games against Baltimore.

Toronto are 14-5 SU in their last 19 games on the road.

The total has gone OVER in 8 of Toronto's last 9 games when playing on the road against Baltimore.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games.

Baltimore are 3-6 SU in their last 9 games.

The total has gone OVER in 14 of Baltimore's last 18 games against Toronto.

 

Prediction

The Orioles didn't show good offense in their last series but still beat the Yankees in 2 of 3 times and are 7-8 vs Blue Jays this season. Kremer will start for the Orioles who has been pretty good lately as the Orioles have won in 7 of his last 8 starts including 2 wins vs Toronto. Jose Berrios will be called to start this game and he has struggled in his last 2 outings but has good number vs Orioles in his career. The Blue Jays don't need to force anything here so I'll go with the Orioles to win this one at home. 

PICK: Orioles ML (+113)

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