Baltimore Orioles vs New York Mets Spread Prediction 8/20
In this matchup, the Baltimore Orioles look to bounce back against the New York Mets after dropping the first game in the series. With the Mets currently holding a 1-0 series lead, this game is crucial for both teams as they strive for better positioning within their respective divisions.
Game Summary
The Baltimore Orioles (73-53) will face off against the New York Mets (65-60) in the second game of their series on August 20, 2024. This game will take place at Citi Field in Queens, New York, with a start time of 7:10 p.m. EDT. The Mets are coming off a narrow victory in the first game, where they showcased their offensive capabilities. Currently, the Mets sit third in the NL East while the Orioles hold the second spot in the AL East.
Both teams have had a mix of results in their recent outings. The Mets are 4-6 in their last 10 games, struggling to maintain consistency with a batting average of .239 and an ERA of 4.66. In contrast, the Orioles have managed a slightly better 5-5 record in their last 10 games, holding a batting average of .265 and an ERA of 4.29. The Orioles need to improve their performance on the road, where they have a 36-25 record.
Looking at the season statistics, the Mets rank sixth in the National League with a .249 batting average, while the Orioles have a .250 average, which ranks them 12th in the American League. Notably, the Orioles perform exceptionally well when they score at least five runs, boasting an impressive 52-8 record in such games. The Mets will rely on their key players, including Francisco Lindor, who has been a standout performer this season with 24 home runs and 72 RBIs.
Injury reports indicate that both teams face challenges in their rosters. The Mets are without key players like Kodai Senga and Ronny Mauricio, while the Orioles will miss Jorge Mateo and Felix Bautista due to elbow injuries. The absence of these players could play a crucial role in the outcome of the game.
As the teams prepare for this critical matchup, the Orioles will look for a strong performance from Dean Kremer, who has shown flashes of brilliance despite his 5-9 record and 4.48 ERA. Meanwhile, Jose Quintana will start for the Mets, aiming to improve his 6-8 record and 4.26 ERA. With both teams battling for playoff positions, this game promises to be intense and closely contested.
Odds and Betting Lines
| Bet Type | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over/Under | 8.5 |
| Baltimore Orioles Spread | +1.5 |
| New York Mets Spread | -1.5 |
| Baltimore Orioles Moneyline | +103 |
| New York Mets Moneyline | -123 |
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | WHIP | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dean Kremer (BAL) | 5-9 | 4.48 | 1.28 | 84 |
| Jose Quintana (NYM) | 6-8 | 4.26 | 1.29 | 103 |
Team Previews
Baltimore Orioles
The Orioles have been a competitive force in the AL East, currently sitting second behind the New York Yankees. Their hitting has been led by Gunnar Henderson, who boasts a .287 average and is tied for the league lead in home runs with 33. Ryan Mountcastle has also made significant contributions with 11 hits in his last 10 games. The Orioles possess a solid pitching staff, but injuries to key pitchers like Grayson Rodriguez and Tyler Wells have put extra pressure on the remaining staff. Their bullpen has a 4.12 ERA, which ranks them 18th in the league, and they will need to tighten up if they want to contend for a postseason spot.
New York Mets
The Mets are currently third in the NL East and are looking to capitalize on their home advantage to improve their standing. With a strong batting lineup, they have been able to score 633 runs this season, ranking them third in the league. Francisco Lindor has been a key player for the Mets, contributing significantly with 24 home runs and an impressive 72 RBIs. However, the Mets have struggled defensively, sitting in the bottom half of the league in errors. Their pitching staff, especially the starters, have been inconsistent, which has put a strain on their bullpen. Injuries have also affected their performance, with several key players on the IL.
Team Injuries
Baltimore Orioles
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jorge Mateo | 2B | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Sep 24 |
| Felix Bautista | RP | Elbow | Out for the season |
New York Mets
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo | LF | Shoulder | Probable for Aug 20 |
| Ronny Mauricio | 2B | Knee | Out for the season |
| Dedniel Nunez | RP | Forearm | Expected to be out until at least Aug 30 |
Betting Trends
- The Orioles are 52-8 when scoring at least five runs.
- The Mets are 34-32 in home games this season.
- The Mets have won 4 of their last 6 games against teams with a winning record.
- The Orioles are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
- The total has gone over in 5 of the last 6 games for the Mets.
Recent Games
Baltimore Orioles Recent Games
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Boston | W4-2 | W |
| @ New York | L4-3 | L |
| vs Washington | W4-1 | W |
| vs Boston | L12-10 | L |
| vs Boston | L5-1 | L |
New York Mets Recent Games
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Baltimore | W4-3 | W |
| vs Miami | L3-2 | L |
| vs Miami | W7-3 | W |
| vs Oakland | L9-4 | L |
| vs Oakland | W9-1 | W |
Team Rankings
| Team | Hitting | Starting Pitching | Relief Pitching | Fielding |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Orioles | 12th | 18th | 18th | Tied-3rd |
| New York Mets | 7th | 14th | 6th | 21st |
Significant Betting Stats
- The Orioles are 73-52 against the spread this season.
- The Mets have an impressive home record of 37-28.
- The total has gone over in 5 of the last 6 games for the Mets.
- The Orioles are 36-25 on the road this season.
- The Mets are 65-60 overall against all teams.
- The Orioles have a winning record when they score 5 or more runs.
- Quintana has a better ERA than Kremer this season.
- The Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 home games against the Orioles.
- Dean Kremer's WHIP is slightly better than Jose Quintana's.
- The total has gone over in 4 of the last 5 games for the Orioles.
Weather
Conditions are projected to be cloudy with a temperature around 84°F on the day of the game.
