Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 11 (9/11): MLB

Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 11 (9/11): MLB

 

Odds

Time 1:05 p.m. EST
Orioles money line -115
Orioles run line +1.5 (-185)
Red Sox money line -105
Red Sox run line -1.5 (+160)
Over / under 8.5

 

Key stats

  Baltimore Orioles Boston Red Sox
Record 73-66 68-72
Home / road record 41-29 33-38
Last 10 record 5-5 6-4
Streak L1 W1
Over / under record 62-72-5 64-66-10
Runs / game 4.20 4.52
Runs allowed / game 4.10 4.86

 

Preview

The Boston Red Sox and the Baltimore Orioles will play the 3rd game of the series at the Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Sunday. The Red Sox outscored the Orioles 17-4 to tie the series. Devers hit a first-inning grand slam and Kiké Hernández had four hits.

 

Baltimore Orioles

The Orioles get here with a 73-66 record and have lost 5 of their last 7 games. The team is averaging 4.20 runs per game. They're batting for .236 AVG, 576 runs scored in 1085 hits and 146 home runs, ranking #20 in offense in the league behind the Cincinnati Reds. Anthony Santander leads the team with 27 home runs, 79 RBI and Cedric Mullins is batting for an average of .264.

Defensively they are allowing 4.10 runs per game and rank #10 in the league. Jordan Lyles leads the pitching staff with a 4.25 ERA, 123 strikeouts and 10 wins recorded.

Probable Pitcher:

Kyle Bradish (3-5, 5.30 ERA) will be on the mound for the Orioles in the 3rd game of the series. Bradish didn't factor into the decision in Tuesday's 9-6 win over the Blue Jays, giving up three runs on six hits and two walks over three-plus innings. He struck out three. He has a record of 0-2 with an ERA of 7.43 and 10 strikeouts in 3 appearances against the Red Sox in his career.

Boston Red Sox

The Red Sox get here with a 68-72 record and have lost 4 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.52 runs per game. They're batting for .257 AVG, 624 runs scored in 1231 hits and 130 home runs, ranking #9 in offense in the league, behind the Milwaukee Brewers. Rafael Devers is leading the team with 25 home runs and 73 RBI, batting for .289 AVG.

Defensively they are allowing 4.86 runs per game and rank #25 in the league. Nick Pivetta leads the team with 9 wins recorded with a 4.29 ERA and 148 strikeouts.

Probable Pitcher:

Rich Hill (6-6, 4.79 ERA) will be on the mound for the Red Sox in the 3rd game of the series. Hill took the loss Tuesday in Tampa Bay, allowing five runs on nine hits and a walk while striking out three in four innings. He is 3-1 with an ERA of 3.15 and 41 strikeouts in 17 appearances versus the Orioles in his career.

 

BETTING TRENDS

Boston are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games.

Boston are 2-7 SU in their last 9 games on the road.

The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Boston's last 13 games when playing on the road against Baltimore.

Baltimore are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games against Boston.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games at home.

 

Prediction

The Red Sox destroyed the Orioles in the second game of the series and are now 3-5 when have played on the road against the Orioles this season. For this game they'll send Rich Hill to the mound who has struggled lately and got rocked by the Orioles the last time he faced them allowing 6 runs in 4 innings. The Orioles will send Kyle Bradish who  has struggled against the Red Sox in his career. Expect the Red Sox to stay hot on this game but the Orioles will respond as well so the best play is the over.

PICK: Over 8.5 (-110)

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