Bailey Ober: MLB Player Props Play: Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers 7/28

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Game Summary

The Minnesota Twins (57-46, second in the AL Central) will face off against the Detroit Tigers (52-54, fourth in the AL Central) on Sunday, July 28, 2024, at Comerica Park in Detroit. The game is set to start at 1:40 p.m. EDT. Both teams are looking for a series win as the season series is currently tied at 6-6. The Twins have a 28-25 record on the road, while the Tigers are 25-25 at home, making this a balanced matchup.

Recent performances indicate that the Tigers have been slightly better, winning 6 out of their last 10 games, while the Twins have won 4 out of their last 10. Detroit has a strong record when hitting at least two home runs, going 24-4 in such games. Minnesota, on the other hand, is 22-8 when they do not give up a home run. This game could be decided by which team plays to its strengths.

The Tigers' Matt Vierling and Javier Baez have been key contributors, with Vierling hitting .255 with 18 doubles, five triples, and 13 home runs. Baez has also shown power recently, hitting three home runs in his last 10 games. For the Twins, Carlos Santana and Byron Buxton have been standouts. Santana has 20 doubles and 14 home runs, while Buxton is hitting .302 with five doubles and three home runs in his last 10 games.

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Player Prop Odds

Pitcher to Record a Win: Bailey Ober

Yes: +116 | No: -160

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Player Analysis: Bailey Ober

Bailey Ober has been a solid presence on the mound for the Twins this season. With a 9-5 record, a 4.04 ERA, and a 1.06 WHIP over 107.0 innings pitched, Ober has proven to be reliable. He has struck out 110 batters while walking only 25, showing good control and effectiveness. His ability to limit base runners and keep the ball in the park (17 home runs allowed) has been crucial for the Twins.

Ober's recent form has been a bit inconsistent, but he has the potential to dominate a lineup when he's on his game. Given his WHIP, it's clear that he doesn't allow many base runners, which is a positive sign for his chances of recording a win.

Opposing Analysis: Detroit Tigers

The Detroit Tigers have been a middle-of-the-pack offensive team this season. They rank 10th in hits (879) and 7th in runs scored (498), with a team batting average of .253. However, they have struggled at times with consistency. Players like Matt Vierling and Javier Baez have shown flashes of power, but the team as a whole has been up and down.

Opposing pitchers have found some success against the Tigers, as they rank 19th in ERA (4.10). Ober will need to navigate through the power threats in the lineup, particularly Vierling and Baez, to have a successful outing.

Pitching Probables

Player	W-L	ERA	WHIP	IP	H	K	BB	HR
Bailey Ober (MIN)	9-5	4.04	1.06	107.0	88	110	25	17
Alex Faedo (DET)	5-1	3.47	1.24	49.1	42	45	19	8

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Team Previews

Minnesota Twins

The Twins have been a solid team this season, particularly on the road with a 28-25 record. Offensively, they rank 19th in hits (821) and 17th in runs scored (448), with a team batting average of .233. They have shown the ability to win games without giving up home runs, boasting a 22-8 record in such games.

On the pitching side, the Twins have a team ERA of 3.92, ranking 14th in the league. Their relief pitching has been decent, with 23 saves, and they have committed 60 errors, ranking 8th in the league. The starting pitching has been a strength, with Bailey Ober leading the way.

Detroit Tigers

The Tigers have been competitive this season, particularly at home with a 25-25 record. Offensively, they rank 10th in hits (879) and 7th in runs scored (498), with a team batting average of .253. They have a strong record when hitting at least two home runs, going 24-4 in such games.

On the pitching side, the Tigers have a team ERA of 4.10, ranking 19th in the league. Their relief pitching has been solid, with 30 saves, and they have committed 49 errors, ranking 23rd in the league. Alex Faedo has been a key part of their starting rotation, with a 5-1 record and a 3.47 ERA.

Team Injuries

Minnesota Twins

Player	Position	Injury	Status
Kody Funderburk	RP	Oblique	15-Day IL
Carlos Correa	SS	Foot	10-Day IL
Chris Paddack	SP	Forearm	15-Day IL
Kyle Farmer	2B	Shoulder	10-Day IL
Alex Kirilloff	OF	Back	10-Day IL
Justin Topa	RP	Knee	60-Day IL
Daniel Duarte	RP	Tricep	60-Day IL
Anthony DeSclafani	SP	Elbow	60-Day IL

Detroit Tigers

Player	Position	Injury	Status
Riley Greene	LF	Hamstring	10-Day IL
Kerry Carpenter	OF	Spine	60-Day IL
Reese Olson	SP	Shoulder	15-Day IL
Parker Meadows	OF	Hamstring	10-Day IL
Casey Mize	SP	Hamstring	15-Day IL
Sawyer Gipson-Long	RP	Groin	60-Day IL

Recent Games

Minnesota Twins

Opponent	Score	W/L
vs Milwaukee	L 8-4 (12)	W
vs Milwaukee	L 8-7	L
vs Philadelphia	W 7-2	W
vs Philadelphia	L 3-0	L
vs Philadelphia	W 5-4	W
@ Detroit	W 9-3	W
@ Detroit	L 7-2	L

Detroit Tigers

Opponent	Score	W/L
@ Toronto	W 5-4	W
@ Toronto	W 7-3	W
@ Toronto	L 5-4	L
@ Cleveland	W 8-2	W
@ Cleveland	L 5-4	L
@ Cleveland	L 2-1	L
@ Cleveland	W 3-0	W
vs Minnesota	L 9-3	L
vs Minnesota	W 7-2	W

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Prediction

Given Bailey Ober's solid season and the Twins' ability to win games without giving up home runs, he has a good chance to record a win against the Tigers. Detroit's offense has been inconsistent, and while they have some power threats, Ober's control and ability to limit base runners should give him an advantage.

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