Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Pick and Preview, October 15 (10/15): MLB
- Lm Tipster
- Oct 14, 2022, 10:22:08 PM
|Time||2:07 p.m. EST|
|Phillies money line||+108|
|Phillies run line||+1.5 (-150)|
|Braves money line||-130|
|Braves run line||-1.5 (+130)|
|Over / under||8.5|
|Philadelphia Phillies||Atlanta Braves|
|Home / road record||48-34||46-36|
|Last 10 record||7-3||6-4|
|Over / under record||84-77-6||82-75-8|
|Runs / game||4.61||4.87|
|Runs allowed / game||4.20||3.76|
The Atlanta Braves and the Philadelphia Phillies will play the 4th game of the National League Divisional Series at the Citizens Bank Park on Saturday. The Phillies destroyed the Braves 9-1 on Friday's game to take the lead 2-1 in the series.
The Phillies get to this game with a 91-76 record and have won 4 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.61 runs per game. They're batting for .253 AVG, 747 runs scored in 1392 hits and 205 home runs, ranking #7 in offense in the league behind the NY Mets. Kyle Schwarber leads the team with 46 home runs and 94 RBI while Alec Bohm is batting for .281 avg.
Defensively they are allowing 4.20 runs per game and rank #13 in the league. Zack Wheeler leads the team with a 2.82 ERA, 163 strikeouts and 12 wins recorded for the Phillies.
Probable Pitcher: Noah Syndergaard (10-10, 3.94 ERA)
Syndergaard will be on the mound in the 4th game of the series for the Phillies. After the Phillies win Game 3 on Friday, Syndergaard will have the opportunity to send the team to the NLCS with a solid performance. He relieved in Game 2 of the NLDS and tossed one inning. He has a record of 0-3 with an ERA of 3.96 and 51 strikeouts in 10 appearances versus the Braves in his career.
The Braves get here with a 102-63 record and have lost 4 of their last 6 games. The team is averaging 4.87 runs and and they're batting for .254 AVG, 789 runs scored in 1394 hits and 243 home runs, ranking #3 in offense in the league behind the NY Yankees. Austin Riley is leading the team with 38 home runs and 93 RBI while Dansby Swanson has the better batting average with .277.
Defensively they are allowing 3.72 runs per game and rank #4 in the league. Max Fried leads the pitching staff with a 2.48 ERA, 170 strikeouts and 14 wins recorded with the Braves.
Probable Pitcher: Charlie Morton (9-6, 4.34 ERA)
Morton will be on the mound in the 4th game of the series for the Braves. Morton didn't factor into the decision during Sunday's 5-3 victory over the Mets, allowing three runs on nine hits and one walk with five strikeouts in 4.1 innings. He has a record of 5-6 with an ERA of 4.81 and 93 strikeouts in 17 appearances against the Phillies in his career.
Atlanta are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games.
Atlanta are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia.
Philadelphia are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games against Atlanta.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games at home.
The Phillies offense exploded in the 3rd game of the series outscoring the Braves 9-1 and are just one win away from the NLCS. Noah Syndergaard will start for the Phillies who pitched only 1 inning in Game 2 at Atlanta. Charlie Morton will take the mound for the Braves who has been up and down this season and was pounded by the Phillies with 6 runs the last time he faced them. Expect both offenses to respond on this game and with the over cashing in 7 of the last 9 head to head games in Philly I think that's the play again.
PICK: Over 8.5 (-120)
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