Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Pick and Preview, October 11 (10/11): MLB
- Lm Tipster
- Oct 10, 2022, 6:05:31 PM
|Time||1:07 p.m. EST|
|Phillies money line||+160|
|Phillies run line||+1.5 (-135)|
|Braves money line||-195|
|Braves run line||-1.5 (+115)|
|Over / under||7|
|Philadelphia Phillies||Atlanta Braves|
|Road / home record||42-41||55-26|
|Last 10 record||7-3||7-3|
|Over / under record||82-76-6||80-74-8|
|Runs / game||4.61||4.87|
|Runs allowed / game||4.20||3.76|
The Atlanta Braves will host the Philadelphia Phillies to play the first 2 games of the National League Divisional Series at the Truist Park. The Phillies beat the Cardinals 2-0 in the Wild Card series played in St Louis but are 8-11 vs Braves this season.
The Phillies get to this game with a 89-75 record and have won 5 of their last 7 games. The team is averaging 4.61 runs per game. They're batting for .253 AVG, 747 runs scored in 1392 hits and 205 home runs, ranking #7 in offense in the league behind the NY Mets. Kyle Schwarber leads the team with 46 home runs and 94 RBI while Alec Bohm is batting for .281 avg.
Defensively they are allowing 4.20 runs per game and rank #13 in the league. Zack Wheeler leads the team with a 2.82 ERA, 163 strikeouts and 12 wins recorded for the Phillies.
Probable Pitcher: Ranger Suarez (10-7, 3.65 ERA)
Suarez will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for the Phillies. Suarez allowed six runs on seven hits and two walks while striking out two over three innings, taking the loss Tuesday versus the Astros. He has a record of 2-2 with an ERA of 3.21, 41 strikeouts and 1 save in 15 appearances versus the Braves in his career.
The Braves get here with a 101-61 record and have won 4 of their last 6 games. The team is averaging 4.87 runs and and they're batting for .254 AVG, 789 runs scored in 1394 hits and 243 home runs, ranking #3 in offense in the league behind the NY Yankees. Austin Riley is leading the team with 38 home runs and 93 RBI while Dansby Swanson has the better batting average with .277.
Defensively they are allowing 3.72 runs per game and rank #4 in the league. Max Fried leads the pitching staff with a 2.48 ERA, 170 strikeouts and 14 wins recorded with the Braves.
Probable Pitcher: Max Fried (14-7, 2.48 ERA)
Fried will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for the Braves. Fried was forced to leave his final start of the regular season on September 30 due to illness, but if Atlanta had required him to take the mound for a potential division-clinching game last Wednesday, he most certainly would have been ready to go. Last Tuesday, Atlanta won the NL East, so the team decided to leave him out of the rotation to give him the best chance of being healthy for the start of the postseason. He has a 4-4 record with an ERA of 3.74 and 79 strikeouts in 18 appearances against the Phillies in his career.
Philadelphia are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games.
Philadelphia are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games against Atlanta.
Philadelphia are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games against an opponent in the National League.
Philadelphia are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta.
Atlanta are 8-3 SU in their last 11 games.
Atlanta are 13-1 SU in their last 14 games at home.
The Phillies didn't give the Cardinals a chance in the Wild Card series as they won the first 2 games to won the series but they'll now face one of the hottest teams in the league. The Braves have been playing great at home with a 55-26 record and are 4-1 in the last 5 games at home vs Phillies. Max Fried will start for the Braves who was solid all season and has allowed 2 runs or less in each of his last 10 starts. Ranger Suarez will start for the Phillies who has been up and down this season and was pounded with 6 runs in his last start. It's hard to go against the Braves at home and with their best pitcher on the mound. Take the Braves.
PICK: Braves -1.5 (+115)
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