Atlanta Braves vs Houston Astros Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 19 (8/19): MLB

Atlanta Braves vs Houston Astros Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 19 (8/19): MLB

Credit: photo by Erik Williams-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 7:20 p.m. EST
Braves money line -130
Braves run line -1.5 (+150)
Astros money line +108
Astros run line +1.5 (-175)
Over / under 8.5

 

Key stats

  Atlanta Braves Houston Astros
Record 73-47 77-43
Home / road record 40-23 38-25
Last 10 record 9-1 7-3
Streak W1 W2
Over / under record 60-53-7 44-69-6
Runs / game 4.89 4.48
Runs allowed / game 4.38 3.31

 

Preview

The Houston Astros visit the Atlanta Braves to play a 3-game series at the Truist Park. The Astros tied in their last series vs White Sox while the Braves beat the Mets 3 of 4 times.

Atlanta Braves

The Braves get here with a 73-47 record and have won 9 their last 10 games. The team is averaging 4.89 runs per game. They're batting for .252 AVG, 585 runs scored in 1030 hits and 183 home runs, ranking #3 in offense in the league behind the NY Yankees. Austin Riley is leading the team with 30 home runs and 75 RBI while Dansby Swanson has the better batting average with .292. 

Defensively they are allowing 3.97 runs per game and rank #7 in the league. Max Fried leads the pitching staff with a 2.60 ERA, 133 strikeouts and 11 wins recorded with the Braves. 

Probable Pitcher:

Kyle Wright (14-5, 3.14 ERA) will be on the mound for the Braves in the 1st game of the series. Coming out of his last outing Aug. 10 in Boston, Wright experienced some right arm fatigue, but the extended break looks like it's provided him with sufficient time to recover from the issue. He's not expected to face any major workload restrictions when he takes the hill Friday.

Houston Astros

The Astros get here with a 77-43 record and have won 6 of their last 8 games. They're averaging 4.48 runs and batting for .246 AVG, 554 runs scored in 987 hits and 164 home runs, ranking #13 in offense in the league behind the Colorado Rockies. Yordan Alvarez leads the team batting for .303 avg with 31 home runs and 77 RBI. 

Defensively they are allowing 3.31 runs per game and ranking #2 in the league. Justin Verlander leads the pitching staff with a 1.95 ERA, 138 strikeouts and 15 wins recorded for the Astros.

Probable Pitcher:

Lance McCullers Jr. (1-0, 0.00 ERA) will be on the mound for the Astros in the 1st game of the series. McCullers earned the win against Oakland on Saturday, allowing no runs on two hits while striking out five and walking four across six innings. He showed a little rust in his season debut after returning from the IL, but he still managed to pitch well enough to win

 

BETTING TRENDS

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 9 games on the road.

The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Houston's last 11 games when playing on the road against Atlanta.

Atlanta are 9-1 SU in their last 10 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Atlanta's last 16 games against Houston.

Atlanta are 7-2 SU in their last 9 games at home.

 

Prediction

The Astros offense exploded in their last game vs White Sox destroying them 21-5 but they'll now face one of the hottest teams in the National League. The Braves dominated the Mets in their last series and have won 9 of their last 10 games. Kyle Wright will take the mound who's having a good season and the Braves have won in 8 of his last 9 starts. Lance McCullers will start for the Astros who didn't allow a single run in his debut but this will be a tough test for him. It's hard to go against any of these teams and with both offenses playing great I think the best play is the over.

PICK: Astros ML (-128)

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