Athletics vs Orioles Prediction MLB Picks Today 7/5

Athletics vs Orioles Prediction MLB Picks Today 7/5

© Reggie Hildred-USA TODAY Sports

 

MLB Preview and Prediction: Baltimore Orioles vs. Oakland Athletics

Get ready for an exciting showdown as the Baltimore Orioles visit the Oakland Athletics at Oakland Coliseum. With the Orioles aiming to maintain their strong season and the Athletics looking to improve their standings, expect a competitive game.

Game Overview:

  • Date: July 5, 2024
  • Time: 6:40 PM
  • Location: Oakland Coliseum, Oakland, California
  • Line: BAL -190
  • Over/Under: 8.5

Team Breakdown:

Baltimore Orioles:

The Baltimore Orioles come into this game with a strong 55-32 record, demonstrating their dominance in the American League. Their consistent performance, both at home and away, makes them a formidable opponent.

Last 5 Games:

  • 7/3/24: @ SEA, W 4-1
  • 7/2/24: @ SEA, W 2-0
  • 6/30/24: vs TEX, L 11-2
  • 6/29/24: vs TEX, W 6-5
  • 6/28/24: vs TEX, W 2-1

Injury Report:

  • Danny Coulombe (RP): 15-Day IL, expected return September 1
  • Nate Webb (RP): 60-Day IL, expected return February 1
  • Felix Bautista (RP): 60-Day IL, expected return February 1
  • Tyler Wells (SP): 60-Day IL, expected return May 1
  • Kyle Bradish (SP): 15-Day IL, expected return September 1

Pitching Analysis:

Albert Suarez will start for the Orioles, boasting a 4-2 record with a 2.43 ERA. Suarez has been a reliable force on the mound, providing consistency and strong performances throughout the season. His ability to control the game and limit the Athletics' offense will be crucial.

Batting Leaders:

  • Home Runs: Gunnar Henderson (27 HR)
  • Batting Average: Gunnar Henderson (.289 AVG)
  • Runs Batted In: Gunnar Henderson (60 RBI)

With Gunnar Henderson leading the charge, the Orioles' offense has the firepower to provide significant run support for their pitchers.

Oakland Athletics:

The Oakland Athletics, with a 33-56 record, are looking to improve their standings and find some consistency. Despite their struggles, the Athletics have shown flashes of potential, particularly at home.

Last 5 Games:

  • 7/3/24: vs LAA, W 5-0
  • 7/2/24: vs LAA, W 7-5
  • 6/30/24: @ ARI, L 5-1
  • 6/29/24: @ ARI, L 3-0
  • 6/28/24: @ ARI, W 9-4

Injury Report:

  • Max Muncy (SS): 7-Day IL, expected return July 4
  • Kyle Muller (RP): 15-Day IL, expected return July 6
  • Ross Stripling (SP): 15-Day IL, expected return July 19
  • Esteury Ruiz (LF): 10-Day IL, expected return July 19
  • Abraham Toro (3B): 10-Day IL, expected return July 19

Pitching Analysis:

Hogan Harris will take the mound for the Athletics, holding a 1-2 record with a 3.18 ERA. Despite his solid ERA, the Athletics have lost 6 of the 8 games in which Harris has pitched this season. His inconsistency and lack of run support have been challenges.

Batting Leaders:

  • Home Runs: Brent Rooker (17 HR)
  • Batting Average: Brent Rooker (.273 AVG)
  • Runs Batted In: Brent Rooker (50 RBI)

Brent Rooker has been a bright spot for the Athletics' offense, but he'll need more support from his teammates to challenge the Orioles effectively.

Head to Head Record:

The Athletics currently lead the season series 2-1 against the Orioles. The previous games were as follows:

  • 4/26: Athletics 3, Orioles 2 (F/10)
  • 4/27: Athletics 7, Orioles 6
  • 4/28: Orioles 7, Athletics 0

Game Odds:

Team ML Total Spread
BAL (55-32) -190 o8.5 (-105) -1.5 (-110)
OAK (33-56) +160 u8.5 (-115) +1.5 (-110)

Prediction:

For this matchup, we're predicting a victory for the Baltimore Orioles with a -1.5 spread. Here's why:

The Athletics have lost 6 of the 8 games in which Hogan Harris has pitched this season, indicating struggles when he's on the mound. Additionally, the Orioles have demonstrated consistent performance and have a strong lineup that can exploit Harris' weaknesses.

Albert Suarez's reliable pitching, combined with the offensive power of Gunnar Henderson, gives the Orioles a significant advantage. The Orioles' overall strength and consistency make them the clear favorites in this matchup.

Given the Athletics' recent struggles and the Orioles' dominance, we expect the Orioles to cover the -1.5 spread and secure a convincing win.

Pick: Baltimore Orioles -1.5

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