Astros vs Phillies Prediction MLB Picks Today 4/28

Astros vs Phillies Prediction MLB Picks Today 4/28

© Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports



The Houston Astros will host the Philadelphia Phillies on April 28, 2023, in the first game of a three-game series. Both teams have had a decent start to the season, and fans are excited to see what they can do in this matchup. This article will provide an extensive review of both teams, with a focus on pitching analysis, hitting analysis, and injuries. We will also provide expert picks and predictions for the game.


Pitching Analysis:

The Astros have one of the best starting rotations in the league, with Framber Valdez as the probable starter for the first game of the series. Valdez has been excellent this season, with a 2-2 record, 2.25 ERA, and 34 strikeouts. He has allowed only three home runs in 32 innings pitched, and opposing batters are hitting just .236 against him.

The Phillies will counter with Aaron Nola, who has not been as impressive this season. Nola has a 1-2 record, a 5.40 ERA, and has allowed three home runs in 28.1 innings pitched. Opposing batters are hitting .262 against him, and he has struggled with command, with nine walks on the season.


Hitting Analysis:

The Astros have a powerful lineup that has been producing well this season. Yordan Alvarez leads the team with six home runs and 27 RBIs, while Kyle Tucker and Jose Altuve have also been hitting well. The team is averaging 4.7 runs per game, and their OPS is .712.

The Phillies have also been hitting well, averaging 4.7 runs per game. Alec Bohm leads the team with 20 RBIs, while Bryson Stott and Andrew McCutchen have also been hitting well. The team's OPS is .774, which is higher than the Astros.



The Phillies have a few players on the injured list, including Ranger Suarez, Andrew Painter, and Taijuan Walker. However, none of these players are key contributors to the team, and they should not have a significant impact on the game.

The Astros have a few more significant injuries to deal with, including Lance McCullers Jr. and Jose Altuve. Altuve is one of the team's best hitters, and his absence will be felt. McCullers Jr. is one of the team's top pitchers, and his absence will also be significant.



Both starting pitchers have had strong starts to the season and have a history of success against their opponents. Additionally, both teams have players on the injured list, which could limit their offensive production. Therefore, we predict that this game will have a final score of 4-2 in favor of the Houston Astros.

Overall, this game has the potential to be a low-scoring affair due to the strong pitching matchups. It will be interesting to see if either team's offense can break through and score some runs. However, our experts believe that the under of 7.5 runs is the best bet to make for this game.


Pick: Under 7.5 runs

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