Astros vs Mariners Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 1 (9/1): MLB

Astros vs Mariners Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 1 (9/1): MLB

Credit: photo by Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports

Time 4:10 p.m. EST
Astros money line -147
Astros run line -1.5 (+110)
Mariners money line +127
Mariners run line +1.5 (-130)
Over / under 8.5 (-120)


Key stats
  Astros Mariners
Record 78-54 70-62
Road / home record 37-29 39-29
Last 10 record 6-4 5-5
Streak 1L 1W
Over / under record 70-58-4 65-64-3
Runs / game 5.34 4.20
Runs allowed / game 3.98 4.67



The Astros and Mariners face off today for the last game of their 3 game series in Seattle. Seattle was able to pull off the win lastnight with the help of former Astro Abraham Toro. Seattle currently sits 3.5 games back of an AL wildcard spot, while the Astros have a 5 game lead in the AL West.  The last 2 games of this series have been low scoring affairs, theres a chance that changes and the bats wake up today for both teams today.   

Pitching matchup


Jake Odorizzi (6-6, 4.46 ERA) will be the one throwing the rock today for the Houston Astros.  He enters this game with a 1.25 WHIP and 5.32 XFIP this season.  He  carries a mediocre 19.3% strikeout rate followed up by a 8.6% walk rate. He has been getting hit hard this season and giving up some premium contact. Odorizzi shut this same Mariners team down a couple starts ago going 5.2 innings, with 8 strikeouts, allowing 1 ER.  Look for him to come out and try and have that same type of performance this time around. 


Logan Gilbert (5-5, 5.44 ERA) will be toeing the rubber for the Seattle Mariners today. He enters this game backed by a 1.23 WHIP and 4.25 XFIP.  This season Gilbert has a nice 26.1% strikeout rate accompanied by a low 5.6% walk rate.  Gilbert has been getting sheld in his last few starts as teams may be starting to figure out the young right hander.  This same Houston team put up 9 ER's in 4.2 innings the last time Gilbert faced them.  He's been allowing an absurd amount of hard conatct. 


This game features 2 mediocre pitchers at this point in the season.  Gilbert has the advantage in the strikeout department but facing an astros team that doesn't strikeout alot will shrink that a bit.  Both pitchers have been hit hard and have been giving up runs. I'll look for both teams to score in this game a good bit so I will be hammering the total. 

PICK: Over 8.5 (-120)

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