Astros vs Blue Jays Over/Under Prediction 7/2

Astros vs Blue Jays Over/Under Prediction 7/2

Game Summary


The Houston Astros will face the Toronto Blue Jays on July 2, 2024, at 7:08 PM at Minute Maid Park. The Astros are leading the AL West, showcasing their dominant hitting and strong pitching. The Blue Jays, while not leading their division, are playoff contenders with a formidable lineup. This matchup is expected to be a high-scoring affair given both teams' offensive capabilities.

Odds and Betting Lines

 

Market Odds
Over 8.5 -112
Under 8.5 -108

 

Pitching Probables

 

Pitcher W-L ERA Strikeouts
Framber Valdez (HOU) 10-4 3.05 125
Alek Manoah (TOR) 9-5 3.15 130

 

Team Previews

 

Houston Astros

Hitting: The Astros' lineup, featuring Jose Altuve and Alex Bregman, is one of the most potent in the league.

Relief Pitching: The bullpen has been solid, with Ryan Pressly closing games effectively.

Fielding: The Astros are strong defensively, minimizing errors and making key plays.

Starting Pitchers: Valdez has been consistent, delivering quality starts regularly.

Toronto Blue Jays

Hitting: The Blue Jays' lineup, led by Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Bo Bichette, is capable of explosive scoring.

Relief Pitching: The bullpen has been reliable, though they've had occasional lapses.

Fielding: Toronto has a solid defensive unit, particularly in the infield.

Starting Pitchers: Manoah has been impressive, often going deep into games.

Projected Starting Lineups

 

# Houston Astros Toronto Blue Jays
1 Jose Altuve George Springer
2 Alex Bregman Bo Bichette
3 Yordan Alvarez Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
4 Kyle Tucker Teoscar Hernandez
5 Jeremy Pena Matt Chapman
6 Chas McCormick Raimel Tapia
7 Martin Maldonado Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
8 Jake Meyers Gabriel Moreno
9 Framber Valdez Alek Manoah

 

Betting Trends

 

  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 10 games.

 

Recent Games

 

Team Opponent Score W/L
Astros Angels 7-3 W
Astros Rangers 4-2 W
Astros Rangers 5-6 L
Blue Jays Orioles 3-1 W
Blue Jays Red Sox 2-5 L

 

Team Rankings

 

Team Hitting Starting Pitching Relief Pitching Fielding
Astros 4th 7th 6th 8th
Blue Jays 7th 10th 14th 11th

 

Significant Betting Stats

 

  • Houston is 6-2 SU in their last 8 home games.
  • Toronto is 4-3 SU in their last 7 road games.
  • Framber Valdez has a 2.90 ERA at home this season.
  • Alek Manoah has a 3.40 ERA in night games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of the last 5 meetings between these teams.
  • Houston's bullpen has a 3.80 ERA in the last 10 games.
  • Toronto has scored 4.5 runs per game over their last 5 games.
  • Houston averages 4.9 runs per game at home.
  • Toronto is 5-3 in Manoah's last 8 starts.
  • Houston is 7-2 in Valdez's last 9 starts.

 

Prediction

 

Given the offensive powerhouses on both teams and the solid but not unbeatable pitching, this game is likely to see over 8.5 runs. Both lineups are capable of scoring in bunches, making the over a strong pick.

Pick: Over 8.5 runs
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