Arizona Diamondbacks vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 4 (9/4) MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 4 (9/4) MLB

Credit: photo by   Michael McLoone-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 8:10 p.m. EST
Brewers money line -200
Brewers run line -1.5 (-115)
Diamondbacks money line +165
Diamondbacks run line +1.5 (-105)
Over / under 8

 

Key stats

  Milwaukee Brewers  Arizona Diamondbacks
Record 69-62 63-67
Road / home record 34-36 36-32
Last 10 record 5-5 7-3
Streak L5 W2
Over / under record 64-60-7 59-66-5
Runs / game 4.57 4.43
Runs allowed / game 4.29 4.60

 

Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks and the Milwaukee Brewers will play the 3rd game of the series at the Chase Field on Saturday. The Dbacks beat the Brewers again in the 2nd game of the series.Rivera had three hits, Jake McCarthy added the go-ahead RBI single and the Diamondbacks beat the Milwaukee Brewers 2-1.

 

Milwaukee Brewers

The Brewers get here with a 69-62 record and have lost 3 of their last 4 games. They're averaging 4.57 runs while allowing 4.1 runs per game. They're batting for .236 AVG, 589 runs scored in 1021 hits and 181 home runs, ranking #8 in offense in the league behind the Toronto Blue Jays. Rowdy Tellez leads the team with 27 home runs and 75 RBI while Christian Yelich is batting for a .264 AVG.

Defensively they are allowing 4.29 runs per game and ranking #17 in the league. Corbin Burnes leads the pitching staff with a 3.01 ERA, 195 strikeouts and 9 wins recorded with the Brewers.

Probable Pitcher:  Corbin Burnes (9-6, 3.01 ERA)

Burnes will be on the mound in the 3rd game of the series for Milwaukee. Burnes allowed five runs on eight hits and a walk over six innings against Pittsburgh on Monday. He struck out five and did not factor in the decision. He has not allowed any runs on 4 hits with 13 strikeouts in 7 innings versus the Diamondbacks in his career. He has been credited with the win.

Arizona Diamondbacks

The Diamondbacks get here with a 63-67 record and have won 8 of their last 10 games. The team is averaging 4.43 runs per game and they're batting for .231 AVG, 572 runs scored in 983 hits and 140 home runs, ranking #13 in offense in the league behind the Minnesota Twins. Christian Walker leads with 30 home runs and 73 RBI and Ketel Marte is batting for .261 AVG. 

Defensively they are allowing 4.60 runs per game and rank #23 in the league. Merrill Kelly leads the team with a 2.97 ERA and 135 strikeouts and 11 wins recorded.

Probable Pitcher:  Madison Bumgarner (6-13, 4.87 ERA)

Bumgarner will be on the mound in the 3rd game of the series for the Diamondbacks. Bumgarner allowed seven runs on 11 hits and no walks while striking out two batters over 3.2 innings against Philadelphia on Monday, but he didn't factor into the decision. He has a 7-4 record with an ERA of 2.61 and 82 strikeouts in 14 appearances versus the Brewers in his career.

 

BETTING TRENDS

Milwaukee are 15-5 SU in their last 20 games against Arizona.

Milwaukee are 3-12 SU in their last 15 games on the road.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing on the road against Arizona.

Arizona are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona's last 6 games against Milwaukee.

 

Prediction

The Brewers have struggled offensively as they have score only 1 run on this series but they might have better chances against Madison Bumgarner who has been pounded all season and has allowed 5 runs or more in each of his last 4 starts. Corbin Burnes will start for the Brewers who has struggled lately allowing 12 runs in his last 9.2 innings pitched but has dominated the Dbacks in his career. Expect Burnes to bounce back and have a great game while Bumgarner will continue to fail. Take the Brewers.

PICK: Brewers -1.5 (-115) 

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