Arizona Diamondbacks vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 1 (9/11) MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 1 (9/11) MLB

Credit: photo by   Michael McLoone-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 9:40 p.m. EST
Brewers money line -130
Brewers run line -1.5 (+125)
Diamondbacks money line +108
Diamondbacks run line +1.5 (-145)
Over / under 7.5

 

Key stats

  Milwaukee Brewers  Arizona Diamondbacks
Record 69-60 61-67
Road / home record 34-34 34-32
Last 10 record 6-4 6-4
Streak L3 W5
Over / under record 64-58-7 59-64-5
Runs / game 4.57 4.43
Runs allowed / game 4.29 4.60

 

Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks will host the Milwaukee Brewers to play a 4-game series at the Chase Field. The Dbacks won their last series against the Phillies and the Brewers beat the Pirates 2 of 3 times to win the series. This is the first time these teams meet this season.

 

Milwaukee Brewers

The Brewers get here with a 69-60 record and have won 4 of their last 5 games. They're averaging 4.57 runs while allowing 4.1 runs per game. They're batting for .236 AVG, 589 runs scored in 1021 hits and 181 home runs, ranking #8 in offense in the league behind the Toronto Blue Jays. Rowdy Tellez leads the team with 27 home runs and 75 RBI while Christian Yelich is batting for a .264 AVG.

Defensively they are allowing 4.29 runs per game and ranking #17 in the league. Corbin Burnes leads the pitching staff with a 3.01 ERA, 195 strikeouts and 9 wins recorded with the Brewers.

Probable Pitcher:  Brandon Woodruff (9-3, 3.31 ERA)

Woodruff will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for Milwaukee. Woodruff didn't factor into the decision against the Cubs on Saturday, allowing no runs on four hits while striking out 10 and walking one over six innings. He is 2-0 with an ERA of 3.68 and 30 strikeouts in 5 appearances versus the Diamondbacks in his career.

Arizona Diamondbacks

The Diamondbacks get here with a 61-67 record and have won 6 of their last 7 games. The team is averaging 4.43 runs per game and they're batting for .231 AVG, 572 runs scored in 983 hits and 140 home runs, ranking #13 in offense in the league behind the Minnesota Twins. Christian Walker leads with 30 home runs and 73 RBI and Ketel Marte is batting for .261 AVG. 

Defensively they are allowing 4.60 runs per game and rank #23 in the league. Merrill Kelly leads the team with a 2.97 ERA and 135 strikeouts and 11 wins recorded.

Probable Pitcher:  Merrill Kelly (11-5, 2.97 ERA)

Kelly will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for the Diamondbacks. Kelly earned the win against the White Sox on Saturday, allowing four runs on five hits while striking out seven and walking one over 7.1 innings. He is 1-1 with an ERA of 4.44 and 20 strikeouts in 4 appearances versus the Brewers in his career.

 

BETTING TRENDS

Milwaukee are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.

Milwaukee are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games against Arizona.

Milwaukee are 3-10 SU in their last 13 games on the road.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games at home.

Arizona are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee.

 

Prediction

The Dbacks have been playing great offense and have averaged 6.8 runs per game in their last 10 games. For this game they'll send Merrill Kelly to the mound who has struggled in his last 2 starts allowing 7 runs across 13.1 innings pitched. Brandon Woodruff will start for the Brewers who has been solid this season and the Brewers have won in 6 of his last 7 starts. This should be a close game as both pitchers should dominate on the mound so the best play is the under.

PICK: Under 7.5 (-110) 

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