Arizona Diamondbacks vs Miami Marlins Moneyline Prediction 8/20
Read our expert moneyline pick for the Arizona Diamondbacks vs Miami Marlins game tonight. Get the latest odds, betting trends, and in-depth team analysis.
Game Summary
The Arizona Diamondbacks (70-56) are set to face off against the Miami Marlins (46-79) in Game 2 of their series on August 20, 2024, at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. After winning the opener, the Diamondbacks will look to maintain their momentum against a struggling Marlins team. Arizona sits third in the NL West, while Miami is languishing in fifth place in the NL East. Despite Miami's recent struggles, they have performed better at home with a 24-40 record, while the Diamondbacks are 33-30 on the road.
The Diamondbacks boast the second-best on-base percentage in the MLB at .333, indicating their offensive prowess. Corbin Carroll has been a bright spot for Arizona with 13 home runs and 50 RBIs, though he has struggled with a .219 batting average. Jake McCarthy has also been impressive lately, hitting .375 with three home runs and 15 RBIs over his last ten games.
On the mound, Eduardo Rodriguez (1-0, 5.06 ERA) will start for the Diamondbacks, and he has shown flashes of potential despite a relatively high ERA. He has only pitched 10.2 innings this season but has recorded six strikeouts. The Marlins will counter with Edward Cabrera (2-4, 5.76 ERA), who has been inconsistent, allowing 11 home runs in 59.1 innings. Given these pitching matchups, runs could be scored in abundance.
Historically, the season series is tied 2-2, adding extra intrigue to this matchup. Miami has shown resilience when scoring five or more runs, winning 27 of those games this season. However, with the Diamondbacks riding a wave of confidence from their recent victories and a strong offense, they are favored to win. The betting line reflects this confidence with Arizona at -154, while Miami is at +129.
Odds and Betting Lines
| Bet Type | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over/Under | 7.5 |
| Diamondbacks Spread | -1.5 |
| Marlins Spread | +1.5 |
| Diamondbacks Moneyline | -154 |
| Marlins Moneyline | +129 |
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | WHIP | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Rodriguez (ARI) | 1-0 | 5.06 | 1.22 | 6 |
| Edward Cabrera (MIA) | 2-4 | 5.76 | 1.50 | 70 |
Team Previews
Arizona Diamondbacks
The Diamondbacks have showcased a balanced attack this season, combining solid hitting and pitching. Their batting average of .238 ranks them in the middle of the league, but they excel in getting on base, as evidenced by their high on-base percentage. With players like Corbin Carroll leading the way and Jake McCarthy heating up, they have the potential to score runs in bunches.
On the pitching side, Rodriguez's recent performance can be a concern, but his ability to limit damage with a respectable WHIP gives him a fighting chance against a struggling Marlins lineup. The Diamondbacks' bullpen has also shown resilience, helping them secure crucial late-game victories.
Miami Marlins
The Marlins have experienced a challenging season, particularly in the pitching department. Cabrera's inconsistency and high ERA could be problematic against an aggressive Diamondbacks offense. However, the Marlins have been able to squeeze out wins when their bats come alive, particularly at home. Players like Jake Burger have been pivotal, contributing significantly to their offensive efforts this season.
Despite their struggles, the Marlins have shown potential when they can score early, which will be crucial against Arizona's pitching. Their ability to capitalize on mistakes will be key to flipping the script on their recent form.
Team Injuries
Arizona Diamondbacks
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ketel Marte | 2B | Ankle | Expected to be out until at least August 29 |
Miami Marlins
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Simpson | RP | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least August 20 |
| Sixto Sanchez | RP | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least August 28 |
Betting Trends
- Diamondbacks are 7-3 in their last 10 games.
- Marlins are 3-7 in their last 10 games.
- Diamondbacks are 33-30 on the road this season.
- Marlins are 24-40 at home this season.
- Over is 5-1 in the Diamondbacks' last 6 games.
- Marlins are 27-16 when scoring 5 or more runs.
Recent Games
Arizona Diamondbacks
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Tampa Bay | L 5-4 | L |
| @ Tampa Bay | L 6-1 | L |
| @ Tampa Bay | L 8-7 F/12 | L |
| @ Miami | W 9-6 | W |
| vs Philadelphia | W 12-5 | W |
Miami Marlins
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Arizona | L 9-6 | L |
| @ New York | W 3-2 | W |
| @ New York | L 4-0 | L |
| @ New York | L 7-3 | L |
| @ Philadelphia | W 5-0 | W |
Team Rankings
| Team | Hitting | Starting Pitching | Relief Pitching | Fielding |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Diamondbacks | 21st | 28th | 29th | 28th |
| Miami Marlins | 4th | 25th | 16th | 30th |
Significant Betting Stats
- Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 games against Marlins.
- Marlins have a 5-15 record in their last 20 games against a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these teams.
- Diamondbacks are 5-2 in their last 7 road games.
- Marlins are 1-4 in their last 5 home games.
- Diamondbacks are 6-1 in their last 7 games against the NL East.
- Marlins are 2-8 in their last 10 games overall.
- Diamondbacks are 7-3 in their last 10 overall.
- Over is 6-2 in the Marlins' last 8 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Diamondbacks have a .333 OBP, second-best in MLB.
Weather
Cloudy, temperature at 87°F.
Prediction
In this matchup between the Arizona Diamondbacks and the Miami Marlins, the Diamondbacks are favored to win based on their recent form and offensive capabilities. The Marlins have struggled significantly, particularly in their pitching rotation, and with Cabrera on the mound, they may find it difficult to contain the Diamondbacks' bats. Additionally, with the Diamondbacks' ability to score runs in bunches, I expect this game to exceed 7.5 runs.
