Andrew McCutchen MLB Props - Cardinals vs Pirates 7/23
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Andrew McCutchen MLB Props - Cardinals vs Pirates 7/23

 

 

Andrew McCutchen's MLB Props - Cardinals vs Pirates 7/23

Game Summary

The St. Louis Cardinals will face off against the Pittsburgh Pirates on Tuesday, July 23, 2024, at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. The game is set to begin at 6:40 p.m. EDT. This game marks the eighth meeting between these divisional rivals this season, with the Cardinals leading the season series 4-3. The Pirates took the first game of this series 2-1 in a closely contested match.

The Pirates come into this game with a 51-49 overall record and a .500 record (25-25) at home. They boast the sixth-ranked team ERA in the National League at 3.83, indicating solid pitching depth. Meanwhile, the Cardinals are 52-48 overall and also sport a .500 record (26-26) on the road. The Cardinals have a strong record of 38-19 in games where they record eight or more hits, demonstrating their capability to generate offense effectively.

Both teams have shown mixed form recently. The Pirates are 8-2 in their last ten games, posting a .260 batting average and a 3.03 ERA while outscoring their opponents by 13 runs. The Cardinals, on the other hand, are 4-6 in their last ten games, hitting .269 with a 4.54 ERA and barely outscoring their opponents by one run.

Key performers for the Pirates include Bryan Reynolds, who has 20 doubles, three triples, and 18 home runs while hitting .288. Oneil Cruz has been on fire recently, going 12-for-37 with four doubles and three home runs over the past ten games. For the Cardinals, Nolan Arenado has 14 doubles and nine home runs, while Alec Burleson has been impressive, going 15-for-41 with three doubles and four home runs over the last ten games.

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Player Prop Odds

Andrew McCutchen's player prop odds for the game are as follows:

  • Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+275)
  • Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+250)
  • Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+200)
  • Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-150)
  • Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-115)
  • Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+115)

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Player Analysis

Andrew McCutchen has been a key player for the Pittsburgh Pirates this season. He has been consistent at the plate and has shown the ability to come through in clutch situations. McCutchen has a batting average of .282, with 16 home runs and 54 RBIs so far this season. His on-base percentage is .366, and he has an OPS of .841, making him one of the more reliable hitters on the team.

In recent games, McCutchen has been particularly effective against right-handed pitchers, which bodes well for his matchup against Lance Lynn of the Cardinals. Over the past ten games, McCutchen has a .300 average with three doubles and two home runs. His ability to get on base and drive in runs will be crucial for the Pirates in this game.

Opposing Analysis

Lance Lynn, the starting pitcher for the St. Louis Cardinals, has had a solid season with a 5-4 record, a 4.39 ERA, and 92 strikeouts over 96.1 innings pitched. However, Lynn has shown some vulnerability, particularly against right-handed hitters, who have a .260 batting average against him this season. His WHIP of 1.39 indicates that he allows a fair number of baserunners, which could play into McCutchen's favor.

The Cardinals' bullpen has been somewhat inconsistent, with a team ERA of 3.97, ranked 15th in the league. This could provide opportunities for the Pirates' hitters to capitalize late in the game if Lynn is unable to go deep into the innings.

Pitching Probables

Player W-L ERA WHIP IP H K BB HR
Lance Lynn (STL) 5-4 4.39 1.39 96.1 97 92 37 14
Paul Skenes (PIT) 6-0 1.90 0.92 66.1 48 89 13 7

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Team Previews

St. Louis Cardinals

The Cardinals have a balanced team with strengths in both hitting and pitching. They are ranked 23rd in hits (788) and tied-23rd in runs (416), with a team batting average of .233, which is 26th in the league. Their pitching staff has been more reliable, with a team ERA of 3.83, ranked 12th in the league. The bullpen has recorded 26 saves, tied for 12th in MLB.

Defensively, the Cardinals have made 50 errors this season, tied for 19th in the league. They will need to tighten up their defense to support their pitchers against a potent Pirates lineup.

Pittsburgh Pirates

The Pirates have been solid offensively, with 838 hits (12th in the league) and a batting average of .246, ranked 13th. Their pitching staff has performed well, with a team ERA of 3.97, ranked 15th. The bullpen has been exceptional, leading the league with 36 saves.

Defensively, the Pirates have committed 46 errors, ranked 25th in the league. They will need to maintain their defensive discipline to prevent giving away extra bases to the Cardinals.

Team Injuries

St. Louis Cardinals

Player Position Updated Injury Injury Status
Steven Matz SP Mon, Jul 22 Back Expected to be out until at least Aug 16
Tommy Edman 2B Mon, Jul 22 Wrist Expected to be out until at least Aug 1

Pittsburgh Pirates

Player Position Updated Injury Injury Status
Ryan Borucki RP Mon, Jul 22 Wrist Expected to be out until at least Jul 23
Hunter Stratton RP Mon, Jul 22 Triceps Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
Bailey Falter SP Mon, Jul 22 Triceps Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
Jared Jones SP Mon, Jul 22 Lat Expected to be out until at least Aug 6

Recent Games

St. Louis Cardinals

Opponent Score W/L
@ Atlanta Postponed Postponed
@ Atlanta 3-2 F/10 L
@ Atlanta 9-5 W
@ Atlanta 6-2 W
@ Pittsburgh 2-1 L

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Pittsburgh Pirates

Opponent Score W/L
vs Philadelphia 8-7 W
vs Philadelphia 4-1 W
vs Philadelphia 6-0 L
vs St. Louis 2-1 W

Prediction

For Andrew McCutchen, the prop bet that stands out the most is the Over 1.5 Total Bases at +115 odds. Given his recent form and the fact that Lance Lynn has shown vulnerability against right-handed hitters, McCutchen has a good chance to accumulate at least two total bases in this game.

Pick: Over 1.5 Total Bases (+115)

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