Alec Burleson Player Props: Cardinals vs Cubs 8/2

Alec Burleson Player Props: Cardinals vs Cubs 8/2

Game Summary: The St. Louis Cardinals (56-53) are set to take on the Chicago Cubs (53-58) in the second game of their series at Wrigley Field on August 2, 2024, at 2:20 PM EDT. The Cubs lead the series 1-0 after a close 5-4 victory in the first game. Chicago has been performing slightly better at home, holding a 28-25 record compared to their overall 53-58. The Cubs have excelled when out-hitting their opponents, boasting a remarkable 38-10 record in such games. The Cardinals, currently positioned second in the NL Central, come into this matchup with an overall record of 56-53 and a road record of 27-28. They have been struggling a bit lately, going 4-6 in their last 10 games and getting outscored by five runs. Notably, the Cardinals maintain the eighth-ranked on-base percentage in the NL at .310, indicating their capability to get players on base. In terms of historical matchups, the Cardinals lead the season series against the Cubs 6-4. Look for key players like Ian Happ and Alec Burleson to make a significant impact in this game, with Burleson looking to capitalize on his recent form as one of the Cardinals' leading hitters.

Player Prop Odds:
- Batter Doubles: 0.5 (+300.0)
- Batter RBIs: 0.5 (+155.0)
- Batter Runs Scored: 0.5 (-105.0)
- Batter Singles: 0.5 (-175.0)
- Batter Total Bases: 1.5 (-105.0)

Player Analysis: Alec Burleson has been an essential part of the Cardinals' lineup this season, boasting a .281 batting average with 19 home runs and 63 RBIs. Over the past week, Burleson has shown consistent hitting, which is crucial for his prop bets. His ability to get on base is reflected in his recent performance statistics, making him a strong candidate for the “over” on runs scored and total bases. Given the odds, his potential to notch at least one hit is high, especially against Cubs’ pitcher Erick Fedde, who has shown vulnerability against left-handed hitters.

Opposing Analysis: The Cubs' pitching staff, particularly Erick Fedde, has been effective but not invulnerable. Fedde holds a solid ERA of 3.11 but has allowed several runs in key situations that could benefit Burleson. The Cubs' bullpen has also been somewhat shaky, especially in high-pressure situations, allowing hitters like Burleson to capitalize on scoring opportunities. The Cubs' lineup has been average lately, which puts pressure on their pitchers to perform at their best. This creates favorable matchups for Burleson, especially if he can take advantage of any mistakes made by Fedde.

Pitching Probables:

Pitcher	W-L	ERA	Strikeouts
Erick Fedde (STL)	7-4	3.11	108
Javier Assad (CHC)	5-3	3.23	86

Team Previews:

St. Louis Cardinals:

The Cardinals have had a mixed season, currently with a batting average of .234, ranking 24th in the league. However, their offense has shown flashes of brilliance, particularly with key players like Nolan Gorman leading the team with 19 home runs. Their pitching staff has also been relatively solid, ranking 9th in the NL with a 3.79 ERA. This combination of hitting and pitching makes them a formidable opponent.

Chicago Cubs:

The Cubs, while sitting at a 53-58 record, have a more robust batting average of .247, placing them 13th in the league. Their bullpen has been a key strength, ranking 2nd in saves with 37. Despite their current standing, the Cubs have shown the ability to out-hit opponents, which has kept them competitive.

Team Injuries:

Player	Position	Status
Lance Lynn	SP	15-Day IL (Knee)
Riley O'Brien	RP	15-Day IL (Forearm)
Adbert Alzolay	RP	Out for the season (Forearm)

Recent Games:

Opponent	Score	W/L
Cubs	W 5-4	W
Texas	W 10-1	W
Texas	L 3-6	L
Washington	L 14-3	L
Washington	W 4-3	W

Prediction:

With Alec Burleson’s recent form and the favorable prop odds, I predict he will achieve over 1.5 total bases in this matchup. The Cubs’ pitching and defense have shown vulnerabilities, particularly against left-handed hitters like Burleson. The odds reflect a strong likelihood for Burleson to contribute positively to the Cardinals' offense, making this a solid bet.

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