Alec Burleson MLB Props - Cardinals vs Pirates 7/23
- Lm Tipster
- Jul 23, 2024, 6:34:09 AM
Alec Burleson's MLB Props - Cardinals vs Pirates 7/23
Game Summary
The St. Louis Cardinals face off against the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park in Pittsburgh on Tuesday, July 23, at 6:40 p.m. EDT. The Pirates currently lead the series 1-0 after a narrow 2-1 victory in the previous game. This matchup brings together two closely matched teams in the NL Central division, with the Cardinals holding a 52-48 record and the Pirates just behind at 51-49. Historically, the Cardinals have a slight edge, leading the season series 4-3.
The Pirates boast the sixth-ranked team ERA in the NL at 3.83, making their pitching a critical factor in their success. In contrast, the Cardinals have shown a strong offensive presence, particularly when they record eight or more hits, boasting a 38-19 record in such games. Recent performances add another layer of intrigue, with the Pirates going 8-2 in their last ten games, showcasing a .260 batting average and an impressive 3.03 ERA. Meanwhile, the Cardinals have struggled slightly, going 4-6 with a .269 batting average and a 4.54 ERA.
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Player Prop Odds
Alec Burleson:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+275)
- Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+210)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+175)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+105)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-140)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+105)
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Player Analysis
Alec Burleson has been a significant offensive force for the St. Louis Cardinals this season. With a batting average of .293, Burleson has 19 home runs and 59 RBIs to his name. Over the last 10 games, Burleson has been particularly hot, hitting .366 with three doubles and four home runs.
Burleson's ability to get on base and drive in runs makes him a crucial player for the Cardinals. His recent form suggests that he is seeing the ball well and making solid contact, which bodes well for his chances of hitting the over on several of his prop bets.
Opposing Analysis
The Pittsburgh Pirates' pitching staff has been solid this season, boasting a team ERA of 3.83, which ranks sixth in the NL. Paul Skenes, who will be starting for the Pirates, has been exceptional with a 6-0 record, a 1.90 ERA, and 89 strikeouts over 66.1 innings.
Skenes' ability to limit hits and runs makes him a tough opponent. However, he has shown some vulnerability against left-handed hitters, who have a slightly higher batting average against him compared to right-handed hitters. This could play into Burleson's favor as a left-handed batter.
Pitching Probables
St. Louis Cardinals: Lance Lynn (5-4, 4.39 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, 92 strikeouts)
Pittsburgh Pirates: Paul Skenes (6-0, 1.90 ERA, 0.92 WHIP, 89 strikeouts)
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Team Previews
St. Louis Cardinals:
- Hitting: The Cardinals have 788 hits (23rd in the league) and a team batting average of .233 (26th in the league).
- Relief Pitching: Their bullpen has secured 26 saves, ranking 12th in the league.
- Fielding: The team has committed 50 errors, ranking 19th in the league.
- Starting Pitchers: Lance Lynn will start with a 5-4 record and a 4.39 ERA.
Pittsburgh Pirates:
- Hitting: The Pirates have 838 hits (12th in the league) and a team batting average of .246 (13th in the league).
- Relief Pitching: Their bullpen has secured 36 saves, making them the best in the league.
- Fielding: The team has committed 46 errors, ranking 25th in the league.
- Starting Pitchers: Paul Skenes will start with a 6-0 record and a 1.90 ERA.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|
| Steven Matz | SP | 60-Day IL (back) |
| Tommy Edman | 2B | 60-Day IL (wrist) |
| Bailey Falter | SP | 15-Day IL (arm) |
| Jared Jones | SP | 15-Day IL (lat) |
Recent Games
| Team | Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cardinals | @ Atlanta | Postponed | - |
| Cardinals | @ Atlanta | L 3-2 (F/10) | L |
| Cardinals | @ Atlanta | W 9-5 | W |
| Cardinals | @ Atlanta | W 6-2 | W |
| Cardinals | @ Pittsburgh | L 2-1 | L |
| Pirates | vs Philadelphia | W 8-7 | W |
| Pirates | vs Philadelphia | W 4-1 | W |
| Pirates | vs Philadelphia | L 6-0 | L |
| Pirates | vs St. Louis | W 2-1 | W |
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Prediction
Considering Alec Burleson's recent form and the fact that Paul Skenes has shown some vulnerability against left-handed hitters, the prop bet for Burleson to hit over 1.5 total bases at +105 odds presents good value. Given his ability to hit for both average and power, Burleson has a solid chance to exceed this mark.
Pick: Over 1.5 Total Bases (+105)
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