Paul Goldschmidt's MLB Props - Cardinals vs Pirates 7/22

- A Plus Picks
- Jul 22, 2024, 6:43:24 AM
Paul Goldschmidt's MLB Props - Cardinals vs Pirates 7/22
Game Summary
The St. Louis Cardinals are set to face off against the Pittsburgh Pirates on July 22 at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. This is a key matchup between two National League Central rivals with both teams currently fighting for playoff positioning. The Cardinals have shown resilience this season, boasting a 50-49 record overall, with a balanced performance at both home and away games. The Pirates, on the other hand, have a slightly better record at 52-47 and have been particularly strong at home with a 26-22 record.
Historically, the Cardinals have had the upper hand in matchups against the Pirates. However, recent games indicate that Pittsburgh cannot be underestimated. In their last series, the Cardinals took two out of three games against the Braves, while the Pirates won two out of three against the Phillies. These results set the stage for an exciting contest.
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Player Prop Odds
Paul Goldschmidt - St. Louis Cardinals:
- Batter Doubles Over 0.5: +350
- Batter Doubles Under 0.5: -575
- Batter RBIs Over 0.5: +185
- Batter RBIs Under 0.5: -265
- Batter Runs Scored Over 0.5: +150
- Batter Runs Scored Under 0.5: -210
- Batter Singles Over 0.5: -110
- Batter Singles Under 0.5: -125
- Batter Total Bases Over 1.5: +145
- Batter Total Bases Under 1.5: -195
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Player Analysis
Paul Goldschmidt has been a cornerstone for the Cardinals' offense. As of this season, Goldschmidt has posted a .288 batting average with 18 home runs and 61 RBIs. His ability to hit for power and average makes him a consistent threat at the plate. Goldschmidt also excels in getting on base, which is reflected in his on-base percentage (OBP) of .389.
The veteran first baseman has been particularly effective against right-handed pitching, boasting a .295 average and a .512 slugging percentage against them. Given his current form, Goldschmidt is expected to be a key player in the upcoming game against the Pirates.
Opposing Analysis
The Pirates will be starting Mitch Keller, who has been one of their more reliable pitchers this season. Keller has a 10-5 record with a 3.46 ERA and 105 strikeouts over 114.1 innings pitched. Despite these solid numbers, Keller has had issues with consistency, particularly against experienced hitters like Goldschmidt.
The Pirates' bullpen has also been a mixed bag. While they rank first in saves with 36, their overall ERA of 4.01 places them in the middle of the pack. This could provide opportunities for Goldschmidt to capitalize, especially in late-game situations.
Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mitch Keller (PIT) | 10-5 | 3.46 | 105 |
| Andre Pallante (STL) | 4-4 | 4.21 | 41 |
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Team Previews
St. Louis Cardinals
The Cardinals have been solid offensively, ranking 21st in runs with 414 and 26th in batting average at .233. Despite these numbers, they have key players who can change the game, such as Nolan Arenado and Paul Goldschmidt. Their pitching staff has been a strength, with a team ERA of 3.86, ranking 12th in the league.
Defensively, the Cardinals have committed 48 errors, ranking them tied for 20th. Their relief pitching has been dependable, with 25 saves, placing them 15th in the league.
Pittsburgh Pirates
The Pirates have shown a balanced offensive performance, ranking 12th in batting average at .247 and 24th in runs with 409. Key contributors include Bryan Reynolds and Ke'Bryan Hayes. Their pitching has been slightly above average with a team ERA of 4.01, ranking 16th.
Defensively, the Pirates have committed 46 errors, ranking them tied for 24th. Their bullpen has been a strong suit with 36 saves, leading the league.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Matz | SP | Fri, Jul 19 | Back | Expected to be out until at least Jul 30 |
| Tommy Edman | 2B | Fri, Jul 19 | Wrist | Expected to be out until at least Jul 29 |
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Borucki | RP | Sun, Jul 21 | Wrist | Expected to be out until at least Jul 22 |
| Daulton Jefferies | RP | Sun, Jul 21 | Elbow | Expected to be out until at least Jul 28 |
Recent Games
St. Louis Cardinals
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Atlanta | Postponed | Postponed |
| @ Atlanta | 2-3 | L |
| @ Atlanta | 9-5 | W |
| @ Atlanta | 6-2 | W |
| @ Pittsburgh | 6:40 PM | - |
Pittsburgh Pirates
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Philadelphia | 8-7 | W |
| vs Philadelphia | 4-1 | W |
| vs Philadelphia | 0-6 | L |
| vs St. Louis | 6:40 PM | - |
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Prediction
Given Paul Goldschmidt's current form and his historical success against right-handed pitchers, the prop bet of Over 1.5 Total Bases at +145 provides excellent value. Goldschmidt has consistently been a key player for the Cardinals, and with Mitch Keller's occasional struggles, this prop bet is a solid choice.
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