Nolan Arenado's MLB Props - Cardinals vs Pirates 7/22
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Nolan Arenado's MLB Props - Cardinals vs Pirates 7/22

 

Nolan Arenado's MLB Props - Cardinals vs Pirates 7/22

Game Summary

The St. Louis Cardinals will face off against the Pittsburgh Pirates on July 22nd at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. This National League Central matchup features two teams that have had their ups and downs this season.

The Cardinals come into this game with a record of 50-49, sitting just above .500 and looking to make a push for a playoff spot. They have been inconsistent this season, with a middling offense and a solid pitching staff. In their last five games, the Cardinals have gone 3-2, including a series win against the Atlanta Braves. Nolan Arenado has been a key contributor for the Cardinals, leading the team in several offensive categories.

On the other hand, the Pittsburgh Pirates are slightly better with a 52-47 record. They have a well-rounded team with a decent offense and a reliable bullpen. The Pirates have also gone 3-2 in their last five games, including a series win against the Philadelphia Phillies. Bryan Reynolds has been a standout player for the Pirates, leading the team in batting average, home runs, and RBIs.

Historically, the Cardinals have had the upper hand in this matchup, but the Pirates have shown they can compete this season. This game will feature Mitch Keller on the mound for the Pirates and Andre Pallante for the Cardinals. Both pitchers have had solid seasons and will look to continue their success in this game.

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Player Prop Odds

For this game, we will focus on Nolan Arenado's player props. Here are the odds:

Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+330.0) / Under 0.5 (-525.0)
Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+190.0) / Under 0.5 (-270.0)
Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+155.0) / Under 0.5 (-210.0)
Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-130.0) / Under 0.5 (-105.0)
Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+145.0) / Under 1.5 (-200.0)

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Player Analysis

Nolan Arenado has been a cornerstone for the St. Louis Cardinals this season. He is currently batting .288 with 18 home runs and 61 RBIs. Arenado has also contributed significantly in terms of total bases and runs scored. His ability to hit for both power and average makes him a constant threat in the Cardinals lineup.

This season, Arenado has been particularly effective against right-handed pitching, which bodes well for his matchup against Mitch Keller. Arenado's plate discipline and ability to make consistent hard contact make him a prime candidate to exceed his prop bets in this game.

Opposing Analysis

Mitch Keller has been one of the more reliable pitchers for the Pirates this season. He comes into this game with a 10-5 record, a 3.46 ERA, and 105 strikeouts in 114.1 innings pitched. Keller has a solid mix of pitches, including a fastball, curveball, and slider, which he uses effectively to keep hitters off balance.

However, Keller has had some trouble with right-handed hitters this season, allowing a higher batting average and more home runs to righties compared to lefties. This could be an area where Arenado can capitalize, given his strong performance against right-handed pitching.

Pitching Probables

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Player W-L ERA Strikeouts
Andre Pallante (STL) 4-4 4.21 41
Mitch Keller (PIT) 10-5 3.46 105

Team Previews

St. Louis Cardinals

The Cardinals have a well-rounded team with strengths in both hitting and pitching. Offensively, they are led by Nolan Arenado and Paul Goldschmidt. The team has a batting average of .233, which ranks 26th in the league, but they have been more effective in situational hitting. The Cardinals have also been solid defensively, with 48 errors on the season, ranking them tied for 20th.

On the pitching front, the Cardinals have a team ERA of 3.86, which is 12th best in the league. Their bullpen has been reliable, contributing to their 25 saves, which ranks them tied for 15th. With a balanced team, the Cardinals have the potential to compete in any game.

Pittsburgh Pirates

The Pirates have been a surprise team this season, with a solid all-around performance. Offensively, they are led by Bryan Reynolds and Ke'Bryan Hayes. The team has a batting average of .247, which ranks 12th in the league. They have been effective in scoring runs, with a total of 409 runs, ranking them 24th.

On the pitching side, the Pirates have a team ERA of 4.01, which ranks 16th in the league. Their bullpen has been a strength, leading the league with 36 saves. Defensively, the Pirates have committed 46 errors, ranking them tied for 24th. With a balanced team, the Pirates have the potential to compete in any game.

Team Injuries

Player Position Injury Status
Steven Matz SP Expected to be out until at least Jul 30 (Back)
Tommy Edman 2B Expected to be out until at least Jul 29 (Wrist)
Player Position Injury Status
Ryan Borucki RP Expected to be out until at least Jul 22 (Wrist)
Daulton Jefferies RP Expected to be out until at least Jul 28 (Elbow)

Recent Games

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St. Louis Cardinals

Opponent Score Result
@ Atlanta Postponed Postponed
@ Atlanta L 3-2 (F/10) Loss
@ Atlanta W 9-5 Win
@ Atlanta W 6-2 Win
@ Pittsburgh 6:40 PM Upcoming

Pittsburgh Pirates

Opponent Score Result
vs Philadelphia W 8-7 Win
vs Philadelphia W 4-1 Win
vs Philadelphia L 6-0 Loss
vs St. Louis 6:40 PM Upcoming
vs St. Louis 6:40 PM Upcoming

Prediction

Pick: Over 1.5 Total Bases (+145.0)

Nolan Arenado has been in excellent form this season and has a favorable matchup against Mitch Keller, who has struggled against right-handed hitters. Given Arenado's ability to hit for power and average, taking the over on 1.5 total bases at +145 odds offers good value.

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