Mitch Garver's MLB Props - Angels vs Mariners 7/22

- Lm Tipster
- Jul 22, 2024, 11:17:10 PM
MLB Player Props Picks Tonight: Los Angeles Angels vs Seattle Mariners
Game Summary
On Monday, July 22, 2024, the Seattle Mariners will host the Los Angeles Angels to kick off a three-game series at T-Mobile Park in Seattle. The Mariners come into this matchup with a 53-48 record, placing them second in the AL West, while the Angels hold a 42-57 record, ranking fourth in the same division. Seattle has been strong at home with a 31-20 record and has shown a potent offense, especially when hitting multiple home runs. On the other hand, Los Angeles has struggled on the road with a 20-28 record.
The Mariners and Angels have faced each other seven times this season, with Seattle leading the series 4-3. The Mariners are riding high on the performances of players like Cal Raleigh, who has hit 20 home runs this season, and Julio Rodriguez, who has been on fire over the last 10 games with a .438 batting average, including three home runs and seven RBIs. For the Angels, Jo Adell has been a reliable power source with 15 home runs, while Zachary Neto has also been productive recently.
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Player Prop Odds
For Mitch Garver, here are the current player prop odds:
- Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-140)
- Batter Home Runs: Yes 0.5 (+450)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+180)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-110)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+150)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+175)
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Player Analysis
Mitch Garver has been a key contributor for the Los Angeles Angels this season. Although his batting average sits at .218, he has shown a knack for producing in critical moments. Garver has accumulated 15 home runs and 45 RBIs, making him one of the primary power threats in the Angels' lineup. Additionally, Garver's recent form has been solid, with multiple games where he has contributed significantly in terms of hits and RBIs.
Garver's ability to hit home runs and drive in runs makes him a valuable asset for prop bets, especially against pitchers who are prone to giving up the long ball. His performance against the Mariners' pitching staff will be crucial, and the odds reflect some value in betting on his hitting props.
Opposing Analysis
Opposing Mitch Garver will be Seattle Mariners' pitcher Bryce Miller. Miller has had a decent season with a 7-7 record, a 3.63 ERA, and 98 strikeouts over 109 innings pitched. While Miller has been effective overall, he has shown vulnerabilities against power hitters. His WHIP of 1.06 indicates that he doesn't allow many baserunners, but when he does, he can be susceptible to giving up home runs.
The Mariners' bullpen has been respectable, but they have had their struggles as well, especially in high-leverage situations. This could work to Garver's advantage, particularly if he faces relievers who have been less consistent.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Anderson (LAA) | 8-8 | 2.97 | 1.17 | 118.0 | 91 | 81 | 47 | 14 |
| Bryce Miller (SEA) | 7-7 | 3.63 | 1.06 | 109.0 | 87 | 98 | 29 | 15 |
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Team Previews
Los Angeles Angels
The Los Angeles Angels have struggled this season, particularly on the road where they hold a 20-28 record. Their team batting average of .236 ranks 10th in the AL, and they have struggled to generate consistent offense. Jo Adell and Zachary Neto have been bright spots in an otherwise inconsistent lineup. The Angels' pitching staff has been middle-of-the-pack, with a team ERA of 3.47, ranking 3rd in the league. However, their bullpen has shown vulnerabilities, particularly in close games.
Seattle Mariners
The Seattle Mariners have been stronger at home with a 31-20 record. They rely heavily on their power hitters, with a 21-12 record in games where they hit at least two home runs. Cal Raleigh and Julio Rodriguez have been the standout performers, providing much-needed pop in the lineup. The Mariners' pitching staff has a combined ERA of 4.72, which ranks 29th in the league. While their starters have been effective, the bullpen has had its share of struggles, particularly in high-leverage situations.
Team Injuries
Los Angeles Angels
| Player | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Schanuel | 1B | Calf | Day-to-Day |
| Griffin Canning | SP | Elbow | Day-to-Day |
| Luis Rengifo | 2B | Hand | 10-Day IL |
| Andrew Wantz | RP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| Patrick Sandoval | SP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| Adam Cimber | RP | Shoulder | 15-Day IL |
| Jose Cisnero | RP | Shoulder | 60-Day IL |
| Kelvin Caceres | RP | Lat | 60-Day IL |
| Mike Trout | CF | Meniscus | 10-Day IL |
| Robert William Stephenson | RP | Shoulder | 60-Day IL |
| Jose Quijada | RP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
Seattle Mariners
| Player | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryne Stanek | RP | Back | Day-to-Day |
| Dominic Canzone | OF | Abductor | 10-Day IL |
| Sam Haggerty | 2B | Achilles | 60-Day IL |
| Matt Brash | RP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| Jackson Kowar | RP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
Recent Games
Los Angeles Angels
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Oakland | 13-3 | L |
| @ Oakland | 8-2 | L |
| @ Oakland | 8-5 | W |
| @ Seattle | Upcoming | - |
| @ Seattle | Upcoming | - |
Seattle Mariners
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Houston | 3-0 | L |
| vs Houston | 4-2 | L |
| vs Houston | 6-4 | W |
| vs Los Angeles | Upcoming | - |
| vs Los Angeles | Upcoming | - |
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Prediction
Pick: Over 1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Given Mitch Garver's power-hitting capabilities and the vulnerability of Bryce Miller to give up home runs, the Over 1.5 total bases prop bet offers excellent value. Garver has consistently shown his ability to hit for power, and with the Mariners' bullpen's inconsistency, he has a good chance to capitalize on his opportunities. The +175 odds provide attractive value for a player with Garver's profile, making this a solid pick for tonight's game.
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