Mark Canha's MLB Props - Tigers vs Guardians 7/22

- A Plus Picks
- Jul 22, 2024, 6:26:57 AM
Mark Canha's MLB Props - Tigers vs Guardians 7/22
Game Summary
On July 22, 2023, the Detroit Tigers will face off against the Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio. This matchup will feature two teams with contrasting records and aspirations. The Tigers come into this game with a respectable 59-39 record, currently holding one of the top spots in their division. On the other side, the Guardians have had a more challenging season with a 49-51 record, fighting to get back to .500 and stay competitive in their division.
The recent performances of both teams highlight their current form. The Tigers are coming off a series against the Toronto Blue Jays where they managed a 2-1 series win. Notable performances included a 7-3 victory on July 20, where Alex Faedo secured the win and Kerry Carpenter provided offensive power. Conversely, the Guardians had a mixed series against the San Diego Padres, winning the opener 7-0 but dropping the next two games.
Historically, matchups between these two teams have been competitive. The Tigers have had the upper hand recently, but the Guardians always pose a significant threat, especially at home. With both teams looking to gain momentum, this game promises to be a thrilling contest.
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Player Prop Odds
For Mark Canha, the following player prop odds are available:
Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+345) | Under 0.5 (-579)
Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-199) | Under 0.5 (+143)
Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+184) | Under 0.5 (-264)
Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+133) | Under 0.5 (-184)
Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (-106) | Under 0.5 (-129)
Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+146) | Under 1.5 (-204)
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Player Analysis
Mark Canha has been a consistent performer for the Tigers this season. With a batting average of .271 and 17 home runs, Canha has been a critical piece of Detroit's offensive puzzle. His ability to get on base and drive in runs is reflected in his 51 RBIs. Canha's recent form has been encouraging, with several multi-hit games in the past week, suggesting he is seeing the ball well.
Canha's performance against right-handed pitchers has been particularly noteworthy. With a batting average of .280 against righties, he poses a significant threat to any opposing pitcher. His plate discipline and ability to work counts often result in favorable hitting situations, making him a valuable asset in the Tigers' lineup.
Opposing Analysis
For this game, Canha will be facing Carlos Carrasco of the Cleveland Guardians. Carrasco has had a challenging season, with a record of 3-7 and an ERA of 5.02. His struggles have been evident in his last few outings, where he has given up several runs and failed to go deep into games. Carrasco's WHIP of 1.36 indicates that he allows quite a few baserunners, which could play into Canha's strengths.
The Guardians' bullpen has been a mixed bag this season. While they have had some standout performances, inconsistency has plagued them. This could provide opportunities for Canha, especially in the later innings when the game could be in the balance.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Carrasco (CLE) | 3-7 | 5.02 | 68 |
| Tarik Skubal (DET) | 10-3 | 2.41 | 140 |
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Team Previews
Detroit Tigers
The Detroit Tigers have had a strong season, with their pitching and hitting both contributing to their success. Offensively, the Tigers rank 16th in batting average (.242) and 10th in runs scored (461), showing they can put up runs consistently. Steven Kwan has been a standout performer with a .346 batting average, while Jose Ramirez leads the team in home runs (23) and RBIs (79).
The Tigers' pitching staff has been solid, with a team ERA of 3.68, ranking 6th in the league. Their bullpen has been reliable, with 34 saves, the second-most in the league. Defensively, the Tigers have committed 51 errors, ranking them 15th.
Cleveland Guardians
The Cleveland Guardians have struggled offensively, ranking 24th in batting average (.234) and 16th in runs scored (425). Riley Greene has been a bright spot with a .271 average, 17 home runs, and 51 RBIs. However, the team has lacked consistency in driving in runs.
Pitching-wise, the Guardians have a team ERA of 3.94, ranking 14th. Their bullpen has been inconsistent, and injuries have affected their performance. Defensively, the Guardians have committed 59 errors, ranking them 6th.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Meadows | CF | Sun, Jul 21 | Hamstring | Expected to be out until at least Jul 26 |
| Reese Olson | SP | Sun, Jul 21 | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Aug 6 |
| Kerry Carpenter | RF | Sun, Jul 21 | Back | Expected to be out until at least Aug 6 |
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Karinchak | RP | Sun, Jul 21 | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Jul 31 |
Recent Games
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | W-L | WIN | LOSS | SAVE | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ Toronto | W5-4 | 48-50 | Flaherty 7-5 | Bassitt 8-8 | Holton 3 | 39697 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Toronto | W7-3 | 49-50 | Faedo 5-1 | Kikuchi 4-9 | NaN | 38583 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Toronto | L5-4 | 49-51 | Gausman 8-8 | Montero 1-3 | Green 7 | 38766 |
| Mon, Jul 22 | @ Cleveland | 6:40 PM | NaN | Skubal | Carrasco | Tickets as low as $21 | Tickets as low as $21 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ Cleveland | 6:40 PM | NaN | NaN | Curry | Tickets as low as $15 | Tickets as low as $15 |
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | W-L | WIN | LOSS | SAVE | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs San Diego | W7-0 | 59-37 | Bibee 8-4 | Waldron 5-9 | NaN | 37242 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs San Diego | L7-0 | 59-38 | Cease 9-8 | Williams 0-2 | NaN | 37485 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs San Diego | L2-1 | 59-39 | King 8-6 | Lively 8-6 | Suarez 23 | 30491 |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs Detroit | 6:40 PM | NaN | Carrasco | Skubal | Tickets as low as $21 | Tickets as low as $21 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs Detroit | 6:40 PM | NaN | Curry | NaN | Tickets as low as $15 | Tickets as low as $15 |
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Prediction
Given the current form of Mark Canha and the struggles of Carlos Carrasco, our prop prediction focuses on Canha's ability to get hits. With the odds favoring an Over 0.5 hits at -199, this prop bet seems like a solid pick. Canha's recent form and Carrasco's tendency to allow baserunners make this a favorable bet.
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