MLB Total Picks Tonight: Atlanta Braves vs Cincinnati Reds 7/24
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MLB Total Picks Tonight: Atlanta Braves vs Cincinnati Reds 7/24

 

 

MLB Total Picks Tonight: Atlanta Braves vs Cincinnati Reds 7/24

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Game Summary

The Atlanta Braves will face off against the Cincinnati Reds on July 24 at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. The Braves, currently holding a record of 54-45, will be looking to bounce back after recent losses. The Reds, with a record of 48-53, are also looking to gain some momentum. This matchup features Chris Sale on the mound for the Braves and Nick Martinez for the Reds. Both teams have had their ups and downs this season, making this an intriguing contest. The Braves have been solid at home with a 30-20 record, while the Reds have struggled slightly on the road with a 23-25 record. The Braves' pitching has been a strong point, ranking 3rd in ERA, while the Reds' hitting has been inconsistent, ranking 28th in batting average. This game will be crucial for both teams as they look to improve their standings.

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Odds and Betting Lines

Market Odds
Over 7.5 -110
Under 7.5 -110

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Pitching Probables

Pitcher W-L ERA Strikeouts
Chris Sale (ATL) 13-3 2.70 140
Nick Martinez (CIN) 3-5 3.88 56

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Team Previews

Atlanta Braves

Hitting: The Braves have accumulated 801 hits this season, ranking 20th, and have scored 418 runs, ranking tied-22nd. Marcell Ozuna leads the team with a .311 batting average, 28 home runs, and 79 RBIs.

Starting Pitchers: Chris Sale has been exceptional, boasting a 13-3 record with a 2.70 ERA and 140 strikeouts. His performance will be crucial in shutting down the Reds' offense.

Relief Pitching: The Braves' bullpen has secured 26 saves, ranking tied-13th. Their overall ERA of 3.46 is the 3rd best in the league.

Fielding: The team has committed 41 errors, ranking 30th, indicating solid defensive play.

Cincinnati Reds

Hitting: The Reds have struggled offensively, with a .230 batting average (28th) and 447 runs scored (14th). Jonathan India holds the highest batting average at .275, while Elly De La Cruz leads with 17 home runs.

Starting Pitchers: Nick Martinez has a 3-5 record with a 3.88 ERA. Although not as dominant as Sale, Martinez will need to deliver a strong performance to keep the Reds in the game.

Relief Pitching: The bullpen has 21 saves, ranking tied-24th, with an overall ERA of 3.85 (13th).

Fielding: The Reds have committed 62 errors, ranking tied-4th, which could be a concern against a strong Braves lineup.

Team Injuries

Atlanta Braves

Player Position Injury Status
Jimmy Herget RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
Whit Merrifield LF Finger Probable for Jul 24
Hurston Waldrep SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 9

Cincinnati Reds

Player Position Injury Status
Peyton Burdick RF Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Jul 26

Betting Trends

  • The total has gone over in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games.
  • The total has gone under in 6 of Cincinnati's last 9 games on the road.
  • The total has gone under in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games.
  • Atlanta is 5-2 SU in their last 7 games against Cincinnati.

Recent Games

Atlanta Braves

Opponent Score W/L
vs St. Louis Postponed Postponed
vs St. Louis W 3-2 F/10 W
vs St. Louis L 9-5 L
vs St. Louis L 6-2 L
vs Cincinnati L 4-1 L

Cincinnati Reds

Opponent Score W/L
@ Washington L 8-5 L
@ Washington L 5-4 L
@ Washington L 5-2 L
@ Atlanta W 4-1 W
@ Atlanta Postponed Postponed

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Team Rankings

Category Atlanta Braves Cincinnati Reds
Hitting 20th 28th
Starting Pitching 3rd 13th
Relief Pitching 13th 24th
Fielding 30th 4th

Significant Betting Stats

  • Chris Sale has a 2.70 ERA and 140 strikeouts this season.
  • Nick Martinez has a 3.88 ERA in 2023.
  • Atlanta Braves are 30-20 at home.
  • Cincinnati Reds are 23-25 on the road.
  • Braves have committed 41 errors this season, ranking 30th.
  • Reds' batting average is .230, ranking 28th.
  • Marcell Ozuna leads the Braves with 28 home runs and 79 RBIs.
  • Reds have scored 447 runs, ranking 14th in the league.
  • Braves' bullpen has secured 26 saves, tied-13th in the league.
  • The total has gone under in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games.

Weather

Cloudy with a temperature of 79°F.

Prediction

Given the pitching matchups and recent form of both teams, the total of 7.5 runs seems achievable. Chris Sale's dominant season and the Braves' strong home record suggest that they will limit the Reds' scoring opportunities. However, the Reds' recent offensive struggles also point towards a low-scoring game. Considering these factors, the smart money is on the under.

Pick: Under 7.5 runs

 

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Yesterday winnings ($252)
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