MLB Spread Play: Baltimore Orioles vs Miami Marlins - 7/24

 

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Game Summary

The Baltimore Orioles, sitting at the top of the AL East with a 60-40 record, will face the Miami Marlins, who are struggling at the bottom of the NL East with a 36-65 record. The game will take place at loanDepot park in Miami on Wednesday at 6:40 p.m. EDT. Baltimore's Chayce McDermott, making his MLB debut, will face Miami's Edward Cabrera, who has a 1-3 record with a 7.36 ERA. The Orioles have been strong on the road with a 30-18 record, while the Marlins have a disappointing 21-33 home record. Miami took the first game of the series with a 6-3 victory.

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Odds and Betting Lines

Betting Market	Odds
Over/Under	8.5 runs
Baltimore Orioles Spread	-1.5
Miami Marlins Spread	+1.5
Baltimore Orioles Moneyline	-144
Miami Marlins Moneyline	+122

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Pitching Probables

Player	W-L	ERA	Strikeouts	WHIP
Chayce McDermott (BAL)	0-0	-	-	-
Edward Cabrera (MIA)	1-3	7.36	43	1.67

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Team Previews

Baltimore Orioles

Hitting: The Orioles boast the highest team slugging percentage in the AL at .452. Gunnar Henderson leads the team with a .287 batting average, contributing 19 doubles, five triples, and 28 home runs. Anthony Santander has also been in fine form, going 12-for-40 with four home runs and nine RBIs in the past 10 games.

Relief Pitching: The Orioles have struggled in relief pitching, with a team ERA of 4.51, ranking 27th in the league. Their bullpen has seen its fair share of injuries, impacting performance.

Fielding: Baltimore's defense has been solid, but injuries to key players like Ramon Urias have forced adjustments. They have committed 71 errors, the most in the league.

Starting Pitchers: Chayce McDermott will make his MLB debut, filling in for injured starters. The Orioles' rotation has been plagued by injuries, with Kyle Bradish, Tyler Wells, and John Means all on the IL.

Miami Marlins

Hitting: Jazz Chisholm Jr. has been a standout performer for the Marlins, hitting .251 with 13 home runs and 47 RBIs. Bryan De La Cruz has also contributed significantly, leading the team with 17 home runs.

Relief Pitching: Miami's bullpen has been relatively effective, with a team ERA of 3.71, ranking 7th in the league. Despite the struggles in their starting rotation, their relievers have kept them competitive in close games.

Fielding: The Marlins have committed 45 errors, which places them in the lower half of the league. Injuries to key players like Sixto Sanchez and Sandy Alcantara have necessitated frequent lineup changes.

Starting Pitchers: Edward Cabrera has struggled with consistency, posting a 1-3 record and a 7.36 ERA. Injuries have decimated Miami's rotation, with several key pitchers on the IL.

Team Injuries

Baltimore Orioles

Player Name	Position	Injury	Injury status
Albert Suarez	SP	Leg	Expected to be out until at least Jul 28
Jorge Mateo	2B	Arm	Probable for Jul 24
Ramon Urias	3B	Neck	Probable for Jul 24

Miami Marlins

Player Name	Position	Injury	Injury status
Ryan Weathers	SP	Finger	Expected to be out until at least Aug 23
Josh Simpson	RP	Elbow	Expected to be out until at least Aug 16

Betting Trends

• The Orioles have covered the spread in 54 of their 106 games.
• Baltimore is 30-18 on the road this season.
• The Marlins are 21-33 at home this season.
• Miami has a 4-6 record in their last 10 games.
• Baltimore has a 3-7 record in their last 10 games.

Recent Games

Date	Opponent	Score	W/L
Tue, Jul 23	@ Miami	3-6	L
Sun, Jul 21	@ Texas	2-3	L
Sat, Jul 20	@ Texas	8-4	W
Fri, Jul 19	@ Texas	9-1	W
Wed, Jul 18	vs New York	2-4	L

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Team Rankings

Category	Baltimore Orioles	Miami Marlins
Hitting	.287 (7th)	.251 (21st)
Starting Pitching	4.51 ERA (27th)	3.71 ERA (7th)
Relief Pitching	4.91 ERA (28th)	4.71 ERA (25th)
Fielding	71 errors (1st)	45 errors (26th)

Significant Betting Stats

• The Orioles are 6-4 against the spread in their last 10 games.
• Baltimore is 30-18 on the road this season.
• The Marlins are 21-33 at home this season.
• Miami has scored at least five runs in 19 of their 36 wins.
• The Orioles have the highest slugging percentage in the AL at .452.
• Gunnar Henderson leads the Orioles with a .287 batting average.
• Jazz Chisholm Jr. leads the Marlins with 13 home runs and 47 RBIs.
• Edward Cabrera has a 7.36 ERA for Miami.
• The Orioles have committed 71 errors, the most in the league.
• Baltimore has been outscored by 18 runs in their last 10 games.

Weather

Mostly sunny with a high of 89°F.

Prediction

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