MLB Player Props Value Bets: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Kansas City Royals

- A Plus Picks
- Jul 24, 2024, 2:25:08 AM
MLB Player Props Value Bets: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Kansas City Royals
Photo Credit: © Kamil Krzaczynski-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Arizona Diamondbacks will face off against the Kansas City Royals on July 24, 2023, at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri. The Diamondbacks, with a 56-46 record, have shown strong performances both at home and on the road. Meanwhile, the Royals, standing at 52-50, have struggled to maintain consistency this season. The Diamondbacks are coming off a recent victory against the Royals and will look to continue their momentum. Historically, the Diamondbacks have had the upper hand in recent matchups against the Royals, making this game an exciting one to watch.
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Player Prop Odds
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Here are the player prop odds for Joc Pederson:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+300)
- Batter Hits: Over 1.5 (+270)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+145)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-115)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+100)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+120)
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Player Analysis
Joc Pederson, a seasoned outfielder for the San Francisco Giants, brings significant value with his consistent hitting and power. This season, Pederson has maintained a batting average of .240, with 13 home runs and 40 RBIs. His ability to get on base and drive in runs makes him a valuable player prop bet for this matchup. Pederson has shown a knack for hitting doubles, making the over 0.5 doubles at +300 an attractive option. Additionally, his likelihood of scoring runs and getting total bases further solidifies his potential for prop bets.
Opposing Analysis
For this game, the Diamondbacks' probable starter is Michael Wacha, who has an ERA of 3.55 and a WHIP of 1.20. Wacha has been effective this season, but he has allowed 9 home runs in 96.1 innings pitched. The Royals' offense, led by players like Bobby Witt Jr. and Salvador Perez, will look to capitalize on Wacha's occasional home run susceptibility. On the other hand, the Royals' starting pitcher Ryne Nelson has a higher ERA of 4.78, making the Diamondbacks' hitters a threat in this game.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Wacha (ARI) | 7-6 | 3.55 | 85 |
| Ryne Nelson (KC) | 7-6 | 4.78 | 68 |
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Team Previews
Arizona Diamondbacks
The Diamondbacks have been a strong team this season, currently holding a 56-46 record. Their offense has been productive, ranking 9th in runs scored with 469 and 10th in batting average at .250. Key players like Ketel Marte and Christian Walker have been instrumental in their success. The pitching staff, led by Wacha, has maintained a solid ERA of 3.71, ranking 7th in the league. The Diamondbacks' defense has been reliable, with only 48 errors this season.
Kansas City Royals
The Royals, with a 52-50 record, have shown flashes of brilliance but have struggled with consistency. Their offense ranks 3rd in runs scored with 495 and 9th in batting average at .252. Bobby Witt Jr. and Salvador Perez have been the standout performers for the Royals. However, the pitching staff has been a weak spot, with an ERA of 4.52, ranking 26th in the league. The Royals' defense has committed 42 errors, ranking 28th in the league.
Team Injuries
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Rodriguez | SP | Fri, Jul 19 | Shoulder | Expected to be out until at least Aug 16 |
| MJ Melendez | LF | Tue, Jul 16 | Ankle | Expected to be out until at least Jul 26 |
Recent Games
Arizona Diamondbacks
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Chicago | 5-2 | W |
| @ Chicago | 3-0 | W |
| @ Chicago | 2-1 | L |
| @ Kansas City | 10-4 | L |
| @ Kansas City | 6-2 | W |
Kansas City Royals
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs Chicago | 7-1 | W |
| vs Chicago | 6-1 | W |
| vs Chicago | 4-1 | W |
| vs Arizona | 10-4 | W |
| vs Arizona | 6-2 | L |
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Prediction
Pick: Over 8.5 runs
The combination of the Royals' potent offense and the Diamondbacks' strong hitting against a less effective pitching staff points towards a high-scoring game. Betting on over 8.5 runs seems like a solid pick given the context.


