Kingpin analysis
MLB Player Props Trends: San Diego Padres vs Cleveland Guardians 7/21

MLB Player Props Trends: San Diego Padres vs Cleveland Guardians
Photo Credit: © Ken Blaze-USA TODAY Sports
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Game Summary
The San Diego Padres (51-50, third in the NL West) will face off against the Cleveland Guardians (59-38, first in the AL Central) at Progressive Field on Sunday, July 21, 2024, at 1:40 p.m. EDT. Both teams are looking to secure a series win with a victory in this rubber match. Cleveland boasts an impressive 31-12 record at home and ranks eighth in the AL with 109 total home runs, averaging 1.1 per game. On the other hand, San Diego has a 25-22 record in road games and ranks sixth in the NL with a collective .406 slugging percentage.
In the pitching matchup, Michael King (7-6, 3.41 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 129 strikeouts) will take the mound for the Padres, while Ben Lively (8-5, 3.58 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 78 strikeouts) will start for the Guardians. This is the third meeting between these teams this season. Key performers for the Guardians include Jose Ramirez, who leads the team with 23 home runs and a .513 slugging percentage, and Steven Kwan, who is 10-for-39 with a double over the past 10 games. For the Padres, Jake Cronenworth leads with 14 home runs and a .438 slugging percentage, while Donovan Solano is 13-for-38 with four doubles and two RBI over the last 10 games.
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Odds and Betting Lines
Here's a look at the current odds for the game:
- Moneyline: Guardians -112, Padres -107
- Over/Under: 8 runs
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Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | Team | W-L | ERA | WHIP | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael King | Padres | 7-6 | 3.41 | 1.23 | 129 |
| Ben Lively | Guardians | 8-5 | 3.58 | 1.17 | 78 |
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Team Previews
San Diego Padres
Hitting: The Padres' lineup is led by Jake Cronenworth, who has hit 14 home runs this season and boasts a .438 slugging percentage. Donovan Solano has also been productive, going 13-for-38 with four doubles and two RBIs over the last 10 games. As a team, the Padres have a collective .244 batting average and rank tenth in the league with 461 runs scored.
Relief Pitching: The Padres' bullpen has been strong, with the team ranking second in saves with 34. However, they have struggled recently, as evidenced by their 5.10 ERA over the last 10 games.
Fielding: San Diego's defense has been solid, committing 51 errors this season, which is tied for 15th in the league.
Starting Pitchers: Michael King has been a reliable starter, posting a 3.41 ERA and striking out 129 batters this season. The Padres' starting rotation has an overall ERA of 3.68, which ranks sixth in the league.
Cleveland Guardians
Hitting: Jose Ramirez leads the Guardians with 23 home runs and a .513 slugging percentage. Steven Kwan has also been contributing, going 10-for-39 with a double over the past 10 games. The Guardians have a team batting average of .260, which ranks second in the league, and they have scored 455 runs this season.
Relief Pitching: The Guardians' bullpen has been effective, ranking 17th in the league with 24 saves. Their pitchers have posted a collective ERA of 4.15, which ranks 20th in the league.
Fielding: Cleveland's defense has committed 48 errors this season, which is tied for 20th in the league.
Starting Pitchers: Ben Lively has been a key part of the Guardians' rotation, posting a 3.58 ERA and striking out 78 batters this season. The starting rotation has an overall ERA of 4.15, which ranks 20th in the league.
Team Injuries
San Diego Padres
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wandy Peralta | RP | Adductor | 15-Day IL |
| Joe Musgrove | SP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| Tom Cosgrove | RP | Elbow | 15-Day IL |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | RF | Quadriceps | 10-Day IL |
| Luis Patino | RP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
Cleveland Guardians
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Hentges | RP | Undisclosed | 15-Day IL |
| Matthew Boyd | SP | Elbow | 15-Day IL |
| Shane Bieber | SP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| Trevor Stephan | RP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| James Karinchak | RP | Shoulder | 60-Day IL |
Recent Games
| San Diego Padres | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Cleveland | 0-7 | L |
| @ Cleveland | 7-0 | W |
| @ Washington | N/A | N/A |
| @ Washington | N/A | N/A |
| @ Washington | N/A | N/A |
| Cleveland Guardians | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs San Diego | 7-0 | W |
| vs San Diego | 0-7 | L |
| vs Detroit | N/A | N/A |
| vs Detroit | N/A | N/A |
| vs Detroit | N/A | N/A |
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Team Rankings
| Team | Hitting | Starting Pitching | Relief Pitching | Fielding |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego Padres | 16th | 6th | 2nd | 15th |
| Cleveland Guardians | 2nd | 20th | 17th | 20th |
Prediction
Pick: Ha-Seong Kim to record over 0.5 hits (-170)
Considering the recent form and statistics, Ha-Seong Kim is likely to get at least one hit in the upcoming game. Kim has been a consistent performer for the Padres with a .224 batting average and 10 home runs this season. His odds of recording over 0.5 hits are favorable at -170. With the Padres looking to secure a series win and Kim's ability to deliver in crucial moments, betting on him to get a hit is a solid choice.
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