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MLB Player Props Projections: San Diego Padres vs Cleveland Guardians 7/21
MLB Player Props Projections: San Diego Padres vs Cleveland Guardians
Photo Credit: © Ken Blaze-USA TODAY Sports
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Game Summary
On Sunday, the San Diego Padres (51-50, third in the NL West) will face off against the Cleveland Guardians (59-38, first in the AL Central) at Progressive Field. This matchup is the rubber game of their series, with both teams aiming to clinch the series win. The Padres are looking to improve their road record, while the Guardians aim to maintain their strong home performance.
The Guardians have been impressive at home, boasting a 31-12 record. Offensively, they rank eighth in the AL with 109 total home runs and are led by Jose Ramirez, who has slugged 23 home runs this season. In contrast, the Padres have a 25-22 road record, with their hitters collectively slugging .406, ranking sixth in the NL. They are led by Jake Cronenworth, who has 14 home runs to his name this season.
This game marks the third meeting between these teams this season, with each team having won one game so far. The Guardians took the series opener with a 7-0 win, while the Padres bounced back to win the second game by the same score.
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Odds and Betting Lines
- Guardians Moneyline: -112
- Padres Moneyline: -107
- Over/Under: 8 runs
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Pitching Probables
| Pitcher | W-L | ERA | WHIP | Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael King (SD) | 7-6 | 3.41 | 1.23 | 129 |
| Ben Lively (CLE) | 8-5 | 3.58 | 1.17 | 78 |
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Team Previews
San Diego Padres
Hitting: The Padres have a collective .406 slugging percentage, ranking sixth in the NL. Jake Cronenworth leads the team with 14 home runs. Other key hitters include Manny Machado (.261 BA, 13 HR, 52 RBI) and Ha-Seong Kim (.224 BA, 10 HR, 40 RBI).
Relief Pitching: The Padres' bullpen has been solid, contributing to their 34 saves, which ranks second in the league.
Fielding: The Padres have committed 51 errors, placing them in the middle of the pack defensively.
Starting Pitchers: Michael King has been one of the Padres' most reliable starters, with a 7-6 record and a 3.41 ERA.
Cleveland Guardians
Hitting: The Guardians have a team batting average of .260, ranking second in the AL. Jose Ramirez is their top performer with 23 home runs and 79 RBIs. Other notable hitters include Steven Kwan (.351 BA) and Donovan Solano (13-for-38, 4 doubles in the last 10 games).
Relief Pitching: The Guardians' bullpen has 24 saves, ranking 17th in the league.
Fielding: The Guardians have committed 48 errors, placing them 20th in defensive rankings.
Starting Pitchers: Ben Lively has been effective with an 8-5 record and a 3.58 ERA.
Team Injuries
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wandy Peralta | RP | Adductor | 15-Day IL |
| Joe Musgrove | SP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| Tom Cosgrove | RP | Elbow | 15-Day IL |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | RF | Quadriceps | 10-Day IL |
| Luis Patino | SP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Hentges | RP | Undisclosed | 15-Day IL |
| Matthew Boyd | SP | Elbow | 15-Day IL |
| Shane Bieber | SP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| Trevor Stephan | RP | Elbow | 60-Day IL |
| James Karinchak | RP | Shoulder | 60-Day IL |
Recent Games
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| @ Cleveland | 7-0 | L |
| @ Cleveland | 7-0 | W |
| @ Washington | 6:45 PM | Upcoming |
| @ Washington | 6:45 PM | Upcoming |
| @ Washington | 12:05 PM | Upcoming |
| Opponent | Score | W/L |
|---|---|---|
| vs San Diego | 7-0 | W |
| vs San Diego | 7-0 | L |
| vs Detroit | 6:40 PM | Upcoming |
| vs Detroit | 6:40 PM | Upcoming |
| vs Detroit | 6:40 PM | Upcoming |
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Team Rankings
| Category | San Diego Padres | Cleveland Guardians |
|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 21st | 1st |
| Starting Pitching | 6th | 20th |
| Relief Pitching | 2nd | 17th |
| Fielding | 15th | 20th |
Prediction
Pick: Over 1.5 Total Bases for Jurickson Profar
Jurickson Profar has been a consistent performer for the Cleveland Guardians this season, with a .298 batting average and 14 home runs. Facing Michael King, who has a decent but not overpowering ERA of 3.41, Profar has a good chance to exceed 1.5 total bases. Given his recent form and the odds provided, taking the over on this prop bet seems like a smart move.
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