MLB Player Props Projections: Los Angeles Angels vs Seattle Mariners 7/24

Photo Credit: © Steven Bisig-USA TODAY Sports

Game Summary

The Los Angeles Angels, riding a three-game win streak, are set to take on the Seattle Mariners at T-Mobile Park in Seattle on Wednesday, July 24th at 3:40 p.m. EDT. The Mariners, who currently hold a 53-50 record and sit second in the AL West, will be looking to capitalize on their home-field advantage where they have been strong, boasting a 31-22 record at home. The Angels, on the other hand, have struggled on the road with a 22-28 record and sit fourth in the AL West with a 44-57 overall record.

This matchup will be the 10th meeting between the two teams this season, with the Angels leading the season series 5-4. Recent performances have seen the Angels hitting a .222 average over their last 10 games with a 4.75 ERA, whereas the Mariners have hit a .194 average with a 2.35 ERA in the same span. Notably, the Mariners have been outscored by one run in their last 10 games, while the Angels have been outscored by 10 runs.

Key players to watch include Cal Raleigh of the Mariners, who leads his team with 20 home runs, and Julio Rodriguez, who has been red-hot with three home runs and seven RBIs in his last 10 games. For the Angels, Jo Adell leads with 15 home runs, and Zachary Neto has been impressive with two home runs and six RBIs in his last 10 games.

The pitching duel for the game features Griffin Canning (3-10, 5.28 ERA) for the Angels against Luis Castillo (8-10, 3.55 ERA) for the Mariners. The Mariners are favored with a -163 moneyline, while the Angels are underdogs at +138. The over/under for the game is set at 6.5 runs.

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Player Prop Odds

Here are the player prop odds for Zach Neto:

• Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+480.0), Under 0.5 (-954.0)
• Batter Hits: Over 0.5 (-131.0), Under 0.5 (-104.0)
• Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+219.0), Under 0.5 (-324.0)
• Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (+159.0), Under 0.5 (-224.0)
• Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+146.0), Under 0.5 (-204.0)
• Batter Total Bases: Over 0.5 (-131.0), Under 0.5 (-104.0)

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Player Analysis

Zach Neto has been one of the standout performers for the Los Angeles Angels recently. Over the past 10 games, he has managed to hit 12-for-31, which translates to an impressive .387 batting average. In this period, Neto has also contributed two home runs and six RBIs, showcasing his ability to drive in runs and provide power at crucial moments.

On the season, Neto has been a consistent hitter, maintaining a solid batting average and contributing to the team's offense in various ways. His ability to get on base and create scoring opportunities makes him a vital player for the Angels, especially in a matchup against a tough pitcher like Luis Castillo.

Opposing Analysis

Luis Castillo, the probable starting pitcher for the Mariners, has been a reliable arm for Seattle this season. With an 8-10 record, a 3.55 ERA, and 119 strikeouts over 124.1 innings pitched, Castillo has shown that he can dominate opposing hitters. His WHIP of 1.16 indicates his ability to limit baserunners, making him a challenging opponent for any batter.

However, the Angels have had some success against Castillo in the past, and players like Zach Neto will need to capitalize on any mistakes he might make. Castillo's tendency to give up home runs (15 allowed this season) could be an area where Neto can exploit if he gets a favorable pitch.

Pitching Probables

Pitcher	W-L	ERA	WHIP	IP	H	K	BB	HR
Griffin Canning (LAA)	3-10	5.28	1.42	105.2	112	73	38	19
Luis Castillo (SEA)	8-10	3.55	1.16	124.1	109	119	35	15

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Team Previews

Los Angeles Angels: The Angels have struggled this season, reflected in their 44-57 record. Offensively, they rank near the bottom in several key categories, including hits (721, 30th), runs (388, 28th), and batting average (.217, 30th). However, they have shown some resilience and ability to score runs in bunches, especially when they manage to put up five or more runs in a game (30-13 record). Their bullpen has been a bright spot with 27 saves, tied for 9th in MLB.

Seattle Mariners: The Mariners have had a more balanced season with a 53-50 record. They have hit 112 home runs, ranking 7th in the AL, and have a team batting average of .235, which is 21st in the league. Their pitching has been solid, anchored by starters like Luis Castillo, but their bullpen has been inconsistent at times. Defensively, they have committed 51 errors, tied for 17th in MLB.

Team Injuries

Player	Position	Injury Status
Andrew Wantz	RP	60-Day IL (elbow)
Patrick Sandoval	SP	60-Day IL (elbow)
Jose Cisnero	RP	60-Day IL (shoulder)
Kelvin Caceres	RP	60-Day IL (lat)
Mike Trout	CF	10-Day IL (meniscus)
Robert William Stephenson	RP	60-Day IL (shoulder)

 

Player	Position	Injury Status
J.P. Crawford	SS	10-Day IL (hand)
Julio Rodriguez	CF	10-Day IL (ankle)
Dominic Canzone	OF	10-Day IL (abductor)
Sam Haggerty	2B	60-Day IL (achilles)
Matt Brash	RP	60-Day IL (elbow)
Jackson Kowar	SP	60-Day IL (elbow)

Recent Games

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Date	Opponent	Score	W/L
Fri, Jul 19	@ Oakland	L 13-3	L
Sat, Jul 20	@ Oakland	L 8-2	L
Sun, Jul 21	@ Oakland	W 8-5	W
Mon, Jul 22	@ Seattle	W 3-1	W
Tue, Jul 23	@ Seattle	W 5-1	W

 

Date	Opponent	Score	W/L
Fri, Jul 19	vs Houston	L 3-0	L
Sat, Jul 20	vs Houston	L 4-2	L
Sun, Jul 21	vs Houston	W 6-4	W
Mon, Jul 22	vs Los Angeles	L 3-1	L
Tue, Jul 23	vs Los Angeles	L 5-1	L

Prediction

Considering the recent form of Zach Neto and the pitching matchup against Luis Castillo, the over on Zach Neto's hits at 0.5 seems like a solid bet. Neto's recent performance, combined with Castillo's occasional propensity to allow hits, supports this prediction.