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MLB Player Props Prediction Today: Philadelphia Phillies vs Pittsburgh Pirates 7/21

MLB Player Props Prediction Today: Philadelphia Phillies vs Pittsburgh Pirates 7/21

 

MLB Player Props Prediction Today: Philadelphia Phillies vs Pittsburgh Pirates 7/21

Photo Credit: © Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports

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Game Summary

The Pittsburgh Pirates host the Philadelphia Phillies in what promises to be an exciting matchup at PNC Park. The Pirates, who are on a three-game home win streak, will look to continue their strong performance against the Phillies. Pittsburgh boasts a 24-24 home record and a 50-48 overall record, placing them third in the NL Central. The Pirates' offense has been a driving force, ranking ninth in the NL with 101 home runs.

On the other hand, the Philadelphia Phillies are leading the NL East with a 62-36 record, including a 25-20 record on the road. Phillies hitters have been impressive, with a collective .331 on-base percentage, the third-highest in the NL. This game marks the seventh meeting between these two teams this season, with the Pirates currently leading the season series 4-2.

Top performers for the Pirates include Andrew McCutchen, who has 11 doubles, a triple, and 13 home runs, and Oneil Cruz, who is 14-for-38 with four doubles and three home runs over the past 10 games. For the Phillies, Bryce Harper leads with a .299 batting average, 21 doubles, and 22 home runs, while Trea Turner has been on fire recently, going 13-for-38 with five home runs and 12 RBIs over the last 10 games.

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Odds and Betting Lines

  • Moneyline: Phillies -143, Pirates +120
  • Over/Under: 9 runs
  • Spread: Phillies -1.5 (+110), Pirates +1.5 (-130)

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Pitching Probables

Pitcher W-L ERA WHIP IP H K BB HR
Tyler Phillips (PHI) 1-0 4.50 0.90 10.0 9 12 0 3
Marco Gonzales (PIT) 1-0 2.45 1.23 22.0 22 15 5 1

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Team Previews

Philadelphia Phillies

Hitting: The Phillies have been consistent at the plate, led by Bryce Harper, who boasts a .299 average, 21 doubles, and 22 home runs. The team has a collective .331 on-base percentage, ranking third in the NL. Trea Turner's recent hot streak adds to the Phillies' offensive capabilities.

Relief Pitching: The Phillies' bullpen has been solid, with a collective 3.86 ERA, ranking 12th in the league. Key relievers have stepped up in crucial situations, providing stability in late innings.

Fielding: Philadelphia's defense has been reliable, with 48 errors on the season, placing them tied for 20th in the league. Their fielding percentage has been a key factor in their successful campaign.

Starting Pitchers: Tyler Phillips (1-0, 4.50 ERA) will be on the mound for the Phillies. Phillips has shown promise in limited innings, with 12 strikeouts and a 0.90 WHIP over 10 innings pitched.

Pittsburgh Pirates

Hitting: The Pirates' offense has been potent, ranking third in the NL with a .258 batting average and fifth in runs scored with 485. Andrew McCutchen and Oneil Cruz have been key contributors to the team's success.

Relief Pitching: Pittsburgh's bullpen has been effective, with a 3.47 ERA, ranking third in the league. The relievers have been able to maintain leads and keep games close.

Fielding: The Pirates' defense has been sharp, committing 57 errors this season, tying them for 10th in the league. Their fielding efficiency has been a significant factor in their overall performance.

Starting Pitchers: Marco Gonzales (1-0, 2.45 ERA) will start for the Pirates. Gonzales has been reliable, with 15 strikeouts and a 1.23 WHIP over 22 innings pitched.

Team Injuries

Philadelphia Phillies

Player Name Position Injury Injury Status
Zack Wheeler SP Back Day-to-day
Michael Rucker RP Hand 60-Day IL

Pittsburgh Pirates

Player Name Position Injury Injury Status
Ryan Borucki RP Tricep 60-Day IL

Recent Games

Philadelphia Phillies

Opponent Score W/L
@ Pittsburgh 7-8 L
@ Pittsburgh 1-4 L

Pittsburgh Pirates

Opponent Score W/L
vs Philadelphia 8-7 W
vs Philadelphia 4-1 W

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Team Rankings

Category Phillies Pirates
Hitting (AVG) .233 (26th) .258 (3rd)
Starting Pitching (ERA) 3.86 (12th) 3.47 (3rd)
Relief Pitching (ERA) 3.86 (12th) 3.47 (3rd)
Fielding (Errors) 48 (20th) 57 (10th)

Prediction

Pick: Alec Bohm Over 1.5 Total Bases (-130)

Alec Bohm has been a crucial player for the Phillies, and his recent form suggests he will continue to be a key contributor. Bohm's ability to get on base and his power at the plate make him an attractive pick for over 1.5 total bases. The Pirates' starting pitcher, Marco Gonzales, has a respectable ERA but has allowed a decent number of hits. Given Bohm's current form and the favorable matchup, betting on him to accumulate over 1.5 total bases is a strong play.

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